Impact of Climate Change on Hydrologic Extremes in the Upper Basin of the Yellow River Basin of China

To reveal the revolution law of hydrologic extremes in the next 50 years and analyze the impact of climate change on hydrologic extremes, the following main works were carried on: firstly, the long duration (15 d, 30 d, and 60 d) rainfall extremes according to observed time-series and forecast time-...

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Main Authors: Jun Wang, Zhongmin Liang, Dong Wang, Tian Liu, Jing Yang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2016-01-01
Series:Advances in Meteorology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/1404290
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author Jun Wang
Zhongmin Liang
Dong Wang
Tian Liu
Jing Yang
author_facet Jun Wang
Zhongmin Liang
Dong Wang
Tian Liu
Jing Yang
author_sort Jun Wang
collection DOAJ
description To reveal the revolution law of hydrologic extremes in the next 50 years and analyze the impact of climate change on hydrologic extremes, the following main works were carried on: firstly, the long duration (15 d, 30 d, and 60 d) rainfall extremes according to observed time-series and forecast time-series by dynamical climate model product (BCC-CSM-1.1) were deduced, respectively, on the basis that the quantitative estimation of the impact of climate change on rainfall extremes was conducted; secondly, the SWAT model was used to deduce design flood with the input of design rainfall for the next 50 years. On this basis, quantitative estimation of the impact of climate change on long duration flood volume extremes was conducted. It indicates that (1) the value of long duration rainfall extremes for given probabilities (1%, 2%, 5%, and 10%) of the Tangnaihai basin will rise with slight increasing rate from 1% to 6% in the next 50 years and (2) long duration flood volume extremes of given probabilities of the Tangnaihai basin will rise with slight increasing rate from 1% to 6% in the next 50 years. The conclusions may provide technical supports for basin level planning of flood control and hydropower production.
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spelling doaj-art-7af4bdafc8af4323ae0a6aae724d6aae2025-02-03T01:10:45ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172016-01-01201610.1155/2016/14042901404290Impact of Climate Change on Hydrologic Extremes in the Upper Basin of the Yellow River Basin of ChinaJun Wang0Zhongmin Liang1Dong Wang2Tian Liu3Jing Yang4College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, ChinaCollege of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, ChinaCollege of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, ChinaCollege of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, ChinaCollege of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, ChinaTo reveal the revolution law of hydrologic extremes in the next 50 years and analyze the impact of climate change on hydrologic extremes, the following main works were carried on: firstly, the long duration (15 d, 30 d, and 60 d) rainfall extremes according to observed time-series and forecast time-series by dynamical climate model product (BCC-CSM-1.1) were deduced, respectively, on the basis that the quantitative estimation of the impact of climate change on rainfall extremes was conducted; secondly, the SWAT model was used to deduce design flood with the input of design rainfall for the next 50 years. On this basis, quantitative estimation of the impact of climate change on long duration flood volume extremes was conducted. It indicates that (1) the value of long duration rainfall extremes for given probabilities (1%, 2%, 5%, and 10%) of the Tangnaihai basin will rise with slight increasing rate from 1% to 6% in the next 50 years and (2) long duration flood volume extremes of given probabilities of the Tangnaihai basin will rise with slight increasing rate from 1% to 6% in the next 50 years. The conclusions may provide technical supports for basin level planning of flood control and hydropower production.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/1404290
spellingShingle Jun Wang
Zhongmin Liang
Dong Wang
Tian Liu
Jing Yang
Impact of Climate Change on Hydrologic Extremes in the Upper Basin of the Yellow River Basin of China
Advances in Meteorology
title Impact of Climate Change on Hydrologic Extremes in the Upper Basin of the Yellow River Basin of China
title_full Impact of Climate Change on Hydrologic Extremes in the Upper Basin of the Yellow River Basin of China
title_fullStr Impact of Climate Change on Hydrologic Extremes in the Upper Basin of the Yellow River Basin of China
title_full_unstemmed Impact of Climate Change on Hydrologic Extremes in the Upper Basin of the Yellow River Basin of China
title_short Impact of Climate Change on Hydrologic Extremes in the Upper Basin of the Yellow River Basin of China
title_sort impact of climate change on hydrologic extremes in the upper basin of the yellow river basin of china
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/1404290
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