CECILIA Regional Climate Simulations for Future Climate: Analysis of Climate Change Signal
Regional climate models (RCMs) are important tools used for downscaling climate simulations from global scale models. In project CECILIA, two RCMs were used to provide climate change information for regions of Central and Eastern Europe. Models RegCM and ALADIN-Climate were employed in downscaling g...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
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Wiley
2015-01-01
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Series: | Advances in Meteorology |
Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/354727 |
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author | Michal Belda Petr Skalák Aleš Farda Tomáš Halenka Michel Déqué Gabriella Csima Judit Bartholy Csaba Torma Constanta Boroneant Mihaela Caian Valery Spiridonov |
author_facet | Michal Belda Petr Skalák Aleš Farda Tomáš Halenka Michel Déqué Gabriella Csima Judit Bartholy Csaba Torma Constanta Boroneant Mihaela Caian Valery Spiridonov |
author_sort | Michal Belda |
collection | DOAJ |
description | Regional climate models (RCMs) are important tools used for downscaling climate simulations from global scale models. In project CECILIA, two RCMs were used to provide climate change information for regions of Central and Eastern Europe. Models RegCM and ALADIN-Climate were employed in downscaling global simulations from ECHAM5 and ARPEGE-CLIMAT under IPCC A1B emission scenario in periods 2021–2050 and 2071–2100. Climate change signal present in these simulations is consistent with respective driving data, showing similar large-scale features: warming between 0 and 3°C in the first period and 2 and 5°C in the second period with the least warming in northwestern part of the domain increasing in the southeastern direction and small precipitation changes within range of +1 to −1 mm/day. Regional features are amplified by the RCMs, more so in case of the ALADIN family of models. |
format | Article |
id | doaj-art-7a591a11f39a4fc19a25a28c7097db83 |
institution | Kabale University |
issn | 1687-9309 1687-9317 |
language | English |
publishDate | 2015-01-01 |
publisher | Wiley |
record_format | Article |
series | Advances in Meteorology |
spelling | doaj-art-7a591a11f39a4fc19a25a28c7097db832025-02-03T05:58:40ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172015-01-01201510.1155/2015/354727354727CECILIA Regional Climate Simulations for Future Climate: Analysis of Climate Change SignalMichal Belda0Petr Skalák1Aleš Farda2Tomáš Halenka3Michel Déqué4Gabriella Csima5Judit Bartholy6Csaba Torma7Constanta Boroneant8Mihaela Caian9Valery Spiridonov10Department of Meteorology and Environment Protection, Charles University in Prague, 18200 Prague, Czech RepublicCzech Hydrometeorological Institute, 14306 Prague, Czech RepublicCzech Hydrometeorological Institute, 14306 Prague, Czech RepublicDepartment of Meteorology and Environment Protection, Charles University in Prague, 18200 Prague, Czech RepublicNational Centre for Meteorological Research, Météo France, 31057 Toulouse, FranceHungarian Meteorological Service, Budapest 1525, HungaryDepartment of Meteorology, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest 1518, HungaryThe Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, 34151 Trieste, ItalyCentre for Climate Change, Rovira i Virgili University, 43500 Tarragona, SpainRossby Centre, SMHI, 60176 Norrköping, SwedenNational Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, 1784 Sofia, BulgariaRegional climate models (RCMs) are important tools used for downscaling climate simulations from global scale models. In project CECILIA, two RCMs were used to provide climate change information for regions of Central and Eastern Europe. Models RegCM and ALADIN-Climate were employed in downscaling global simulations from ECHAM5 and ARPEGE-CLIMAT under IPCC A1B emission scenario in periods 2021–2050 and 2071–2100. Climate change signal present in these simulations is consistent with respective driving data, showing similar large-scale features: warming between 0 and 3°C in the first period and 2 and 5°C in the second period with the least warming in northwestern part of the domain increasing in the southeastern direction and small precipitation changes within range of +1 to −1 mm/day. Regional features are amplified by the RCMs, more so in case of the ALADIN family of models.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/354727 |
spellingShingle | Michal Belda Petr Skalák Aleš Farda Tomáš Halenka Michel Déqué Gabriella Csima Judit Bartholy Csaba Torma Constanta Boroneant Mihaela Caian Valery Spiridonov CECILIA Regional Climate Simulations for Future Climate: Analysis of Climate Change Signal Advances in Meteorology |
title | CECILIA Regional Climate Simulations for Future Climate: Analysis of Climate Change Signal |
title_full | CECILIA Regional Climate Simulations for Future Climate: Analysis of Climate Change Signal |
title_fullStr | CECILIA Regional Climate Simulations for Future Climate: Analysis of Climate Change Signal |
title_full_unstemmed | CECILIA Regional Climate Simulations for Future Climate: Analysis of Climate Change Signal |
title_short | CECILIA Regional Climate Simulations for Future Climate: Analysis of Climate Change Signal |
title_sort | cecilia regional climate simulations for future climate analysis of climate change signal |
url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/354727 |
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