CECILIA Regional Climate Simulations for Future Climate: Analysis of Climate Change Signal

Regional climate models (RCMs) are important tools used for downscaling climate simulations from global scale models. In project CECILIA, two RCMs were used to provide climate change information for regions of Central and Eastern Europe. Models RegCM and ALADIN-Climate were employed in downscaling g...

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Main Authors: Michal Belda, Petr Skalák, Aleš Farda, Tomáš Halenka, Michel Déqué, Gabriella Csima, Judit Bartholy, Csaba Torma, Constanta Boroneant, Mihaela Caian, Valery Spiridonov
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2015-01-01
Series:Advances in Meteorology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/354727
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author Michal Belda
Petr Skalák
Aleš Farda
Tomáš Halenka
Michel Déqué
Gabriella Csima
Judit Bartholy
Csaba Torma
Constanta Boroneant
Mihaela Caian
Valery Spiridonov
author_facet Michal Belda
Petr Skalák
Aleš Farda
Tomáš Halenka
Michel Déqué
Gabriella Csima
Judit Bartholy
Csaba Torma
Constanta Boroneant
Mihaela Caian
Valery Spiridonov
author_sort Michal Belda
collection DOAJ
description Regional climate models (RCMs) are important tools used for downscaling climate simulations from global scale models. In project CECILIA, two RCMs were used to provide climate change information for regions of Central and Eastern Europe. Models RegCM and ALADIN-Climate were employed in downscaling global simulations from ECHAM5 and ARPEGE-CLIMAT under IPCC A1B emission scenario in periods 2021–2050 and 2071–2100. Climate change signal present in these simulations is consistent with respective driving data, showing similar large-scale features: warming between 0 and 3°C in the first period and 2 and 5°C in the second period with the least warming in northwestern part of the domain increasing in the southeastern direction and small precipitation changes within range of +1 to −1 mm/day. Regional features are amplified by the RCMs, more so in case of the ALADIN family of models.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 1687-9309
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language English
publishDate 2015-01-01
publisher Wiley
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series Advances in Meteorology
spelling doaj-art-7a591a11f39a4fc19a25a28c7097db832025-02-03T05:58:40ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172015-01-01201510.1155/2015/354727354727CECILIA Regional Climate Simulations for Future Climate: Analysis of Climate Change SignalMichal Belda0Petr Skalák1Aleš Farda2Tomáš Halenka3Michel Déqué4Gabriella Csima5Judit Bartholy6Csaba Torma7Constanta Boroneant8Mihaela Caian9Valery Spiridonov10Department of Meteorology and Environment Protection, Charles University in Prague, 18200 Prague, Czech RepublicCzech Hydrometeorological Institute, 14306 Prague, Czech RepublicCzech Hydrometeorological Institute, 14306 Prague, Czech RepublicDepartment of Meteorology and Environment Protection, Charles University in Prague, 18200 Prague, Czech RepublicNational Centre for Meteorological Research, Météo France, 31057 Toulouse, FranceHungarian Meteorological Service, Budapest 1525, HungaryDepartment of Meteorology, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest 1518, HungaryThe Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics, 34151 Trieste, ItalyCentre for Climate Change, Rovira i Virgili University, 43500 Tarragona, SpainRossby Centre, SMHI, 60176 Norrköping, SwedenNational Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, 1784 Sofia, BulgariaRegional climate models (RCMs) are important tools used for downscaling climate simulations from global scale models. In project CECILIA, two RCMs were used to provide climate change information for regions of Central and Eastern Europe. Models RegCM and ALADIN-Climate were employed in downscaling global simulations from ECHAM5 and ARPEGE-CLIMAT under IPCC A1B emission scenario in periods 2021–2050 and 2071–2100. Climate change signal present in these simulations is consistent with respective driving data, showing similar large-scale features: warming between 0 and 3°C in the first period and 2 and 5°C in the second period with the least warming in northwestern part of the domain increasing in the southeastern direction and small precipitation changes within range of +1 to −1 mm/day. Regional features are amplified by the RCMs, more so in case of the ALADIN family of models.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/354727
spellingShingle Michal Belda
Petr Skalák
Aleš Farda
Tomáš Halenka
Michel Déqué
Gabriella Csima
Judit Bartholy
Csaba Torma
Constanta Boroneant
Mihaela Caian
Valery Spiridonov
CECILIA Regional Climate Simulations for Future Climate: Analysis of Climate Change Signal
Advances in Meteorology
title CECILIA Regional Climate Simulations for Future Climate: Analysis of Climate Change Signal
title_full CECILIA Regional Climate Simulations for Future Climate: Analysis of Climate Change Signal
title_fullStr CECILIA Regional Climate Simulations for Future Climate: Analysis of Climate Change Signal
title_full_unstemmed CECILIA Regional Climate Simulations for Future Climate: Analysis of Climate Change Signal
title_short CECILIA Regional Climate Simulations for Future Climate: Analysis of Climate Change Signal
title_sort cecilia regional climate simulations for future climate analysis of climate change signal
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/354727
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