Nonlinear Fluctuation Behavior of Financial Time Series Model by Statistical Physics System

We develop a random financial time series model of stock market by one of statistical physics systems, the stochastic contact interacting system. Contact process is a continuous time Markov process; one interpretation of this model is as a model for the spread of an infection, where the epidemic spr...

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Main Authors: Wuyang Cheng, Jun Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2014-01-01
Series:Abstract and Applied Analysis
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/806271
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author Wuyang Cheng
Jun Wang
author_facet Wuyang Cheng
Jun Wang
author_sort Wuyang Cheng
collection DOAJ
description We develop a random financial time series model of stock market by one of statistical physics systems, the stochastic contact interacting system. Contact process is a continuous time Markov process; one interpretation of this model is as a model for the spread of an infection, where the epidemic spreading mimics the interplay of local infections and recovery of individuals. From this financial model, we study the statistical behaviors of return time series, and the corresponding behaviors of returns for Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SSECI) and Hang Seng Index (HSI) are also comparatively studied. Further, we investigate the Zipf distribution and multifractal phenomenon of returns and price changes. Zipf analysis and MF-DFA analysis are applied to investigate the natures of fluctuations for the stock market.
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institution Kabale University
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series Abstract and Applied Analysis
spelling doaj-art-7a3b7d701ddf4721a6c2b1966c4ef3512025-02-03T01:02:41ZengWileyAbstract and Applied Analysis1085-33751687-04092014-01-01201410.1155/2014/806271806271Nonlinear Fluctuation Behavior of Financial Time Series Model by Statistical Physics SystemWuyang Cheng0Jun Wang1School of Science, Beijing Jiaotong University, Key Laboratory of Communication and Information System, Beijing 100044, ChinaSchool of Science, Beijing Jiaotong University, Key Laboratory of Communication and Information System, Beijing 100044, ChinaWe develop a random financial time series model of stock market by one of statistical physics systems, the stochastic contact interacting system. Contact process is a continuous time Markov process; one interpretation of this model is as a model for the spread of an infection, where the epidemic spreading mimics the interplay of local infections and recovery of individuals. From this financial model, we study the statistical behaviors of return time series, and the corresponding behaviors of returns for Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SSECI) and Hang Seng Index (HSI) are also comparatively studied. Further, we investigate the Zipf distribution and multifractal phenomenon of returns and price changes. Zipf analysis and MF-DFA analysis are applied to investigate the natures of fluctuations for the stock market.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/806271
spellingShingle Wuyang Cheng
Jun Wang
Nonlinear Fluctuation Behavior of Financial Time Series Model by Statistical Physics System
Abstract and Applied Analysis
title Nonlinear Fluctuation Behavior of Financial Time Series Model by Statistical Physics System
title_full Nonlinear Fluctuation Behavior of Financial Time Series Model by Statistical Physics System
title_fullStr Nonlinear Fluctuation Behavior of Financial Time Series Model by Statistical Physics System
title_full_unstemmed Nonlinear Fluctuation Behavior of Financial Time Series Model by Statistical Physics System
title_short Nonlinear Fluctuation Behavior of Financial Time Series Model by Statistical Physics System
title_sort nonlinear fluctuation behavior of financial time series model by statistical physics system
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/806271
work_keys_str_mv AT wuyangcheng nonlinearfluctuationbehavioroffinancialtimeseriesmodelbystatisticalphysicssystem
AT junwang nonlinearfluctuationbehavioroffinancialtimeseriesmodelbystatisticalphysicssystem