Change in Atrial Fibrillation Burden over Time in Patients with Nonpermanent Atrial Fibrillation

Introduction. The natural course of atrial fibrillation (AF) is not well defined. We aimed to investigate the change in AF burden over time and its associated risk factors among AF patients. Methods. Fifty-four participants with recently documented paroxysmal or persistent AF were enrolled. Main exc...

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Main Authors: Philipp Krisai, Stefanie Aeschbacher, Matthias Bossard, Elena Herber, Steffen Blum, Pascal Meyre, Thilo Burkard, Michael Kühne, Stefan Osswald, Beat A. Kaufmann, David Conen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2020-01-01
Series:Cardiology Research and Practice
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/9583409
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author Philipp Krisai
Stefanie Aeschbacher
Matthias Bossard
Elena Herber
Steffen Blum
Pascal Meyre
Thilo Burkard
Michael Kühne
Stefan Osswald
Beat A. Kaufmann
David Conen
author_facet Philipp Krisai
Stefanie Aeschbacher
Matthias Bossard
Elena Herber
Steffen Blum
Pascal Meyre
Thilo Burkard
Michael Kühne
Stefan Osswald
Beat A. Kaufmann
David Conen
author_sort Philipp Krisai
collection DOAJ
description Introduction. The natural course of atrial fibrillation (AF) is not well defined. We aimed to investigate the change in AF burden over time and its associated risk factors among AF patients. Methods. Fifty-four participants with recently documented paroxysmal or persistent AF were enrolled. Main exclusion criteria were permanent AF or previous catheter ablation for AF. AF burden was calculated as time in AF divided by total recording time using yearly continuous 7-day Holter-ECG recordings. A relative change ≥10% or an absolute change >0.5% in AF burden between two yearly Holter-ECG recordings was considered significant. Results. Mean age was 67 years, 72% were men. The proportion of patients with no recorded AF increased from 53.7% at baseline to 78.6% (p=0.1) after 4 years of follow-up. In 7-day Holter-ECG recordings performed after baseline, 23.7% of participants had a decrease and 23.7% an increase in AF burden. In separate mixed effect models, AF burden over time was associated with prior stroke (β 42.59, 95% CI (23.40; 61.77); p<0.0001), BNP (β 0.05, CI (0.02; 0.09); p=0.005) end-diastolic (β 0.49, CI (0.23; 0.74); p=0.0003) as well as end-systolic (β 0.25, CI (0.05; 0.46); p=0.02) left atrial volume, left atrial ejection fraction (β −0.43, CI (−0.76;−0.10); p=0.01), E-wave (β 36.67, CI (12.96; 60.38); p=0.003), and deceleration time (β −0.1, CI (−0.16; −0.05); p=0.002). In a multivariable model, a history of prior stroke (β 29.87, CI (2.61; 57.13); p=0.03) and BNP levels (β 0.05, CI (0.01; 0.08); p=0.007) remained significantly associated with AF burden. Conclusions. Few patients with paroxysmal or persistent AF have AF episodes on yearly 7-day Holter-ECG recordings, and AF progression is rare. AF burden was independently associated with a history of prior stroke and BNP levels.
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spelling doaj-art-7888a2e35a704f6fa7369a52a031057c2025-02-03T06:46:07ZengWileyCardiology Research and Practice2090-80162090-05972020-01-01202010.1155/2020/95834099583409Change in Atrial Fibrillation Burden over Time in Patients with Nonpermanent Atrial FibrillationPhilipp Krisai0Stefanie Aeschbacher1Matthias Bossard2Elena Herber3Steffen Blum4Pascal Meyre5Thilo Burkard6Michael Kühne7Stefan Osswald8Beat A. Kaufmann9David Conen10Department of Cardiology, University Hospital Basel, Basel, SwitzerlandDepartment of Cardiology, University Hospital Basel, Basel, SwitzerlandCardiology Division, Heart Center, Luzerner Kantonsspital, Luzern, SwitzerlandCardiovascular Research Institute Basel, University Hospital Basel, Basel, SwitzerlandDepartment of Cardiology, University Hospital Basel, Basel, SwitzerlandDepartment of Cardiology, University Hospital Basel, Basel, SwitzerlandDepartment of Cardiology, University Hospital Basel, Basel, SwitzerlandDepartment of Cardiology, University Hospital Basel, Basel, SwitzerlandDepartment of Cardiology, University Hospital Basel, Basel, SwitzerlandDepartment of Cardiology, University Hospital Basel, Basel, SwitzerlandCardiovascular Research Institute Basel, University Hospital Basel, Basel, SwitzerlandIntroduction. The natural course of atrial fibrillation (AF) is not well defined. We aimed to investigate the change in AF burden over time and its associated risk factors among AF patients. Methods. Fifty-four participants with recently documented paroxysmal or persistent AF were enrolled. Main exclusion criteria were permanent AF or previous catheter ablation for AF. AF burden was calculated as time in AF divided by total recording time using yearly continuous 7-day Holter-ECG recordings. A relative change ≥10% or an absolute change >0.5% in AF burden between two yearly Holter-ECG recordings was considered significant. Results. Mean age was 67 years, 72% were men. The proportion of patients with no recorded AF increased from 53.7% at baseline to 78.6% (p=0.1) after 4 years of follow-up. In 7-day Holter-ECG recordings performed after baseline, 23.7% of participants had a decrease and 23.7% an increase in AF burden. In separate mixed effect models, AF burden over time was associated with prior stroke (β 42.59, 95% CI (23.40; 61.77); p<0.0001), BNP (β 0.05, CI (0.02; 0.09); p=0.005) end-diastolic (β 0.49, CI (0.23; 0.74); p=0.0003) as well as end-systolic (β 0.25, CI (0.05; 0.46); p=0.02) left atrial volume, left atrial ejection fraction (β −0.43, CI (−0.76;−0.10); p=0.01), E-wave (β 36.67, CI (12.96; 60.38); p=0.003), and deceleration time (β −0.1, CI (−0.16; −0.05); p=0.002). In a multivariable model, a history of prior stroke (β 29.87, CI (2.61; 57.13); p=0.03) and BNP levels (β 0.05, CI (0.01; 0.08); p=0.007) remained significantly associated with AF burden. Conclusions. Few patients with paroxysmal or persistent AF have AF episodes on yearly 7-day Holter-ECG recordings, and AF progression is rare. AF burden was independently associated with a history of prior stroke and BNP levels.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/9583409
spellingShingle Philipp Krisai
Stefanie Aeschbacher
Matthias Bossard
Elena Herber
Steffen Blum
Pascal Meyre
Thilo Burkard
Michael Kühne
Stefan Osswald
Beat A. Kaufmann
David Conen
Change in Atrial Fibrillation Burden over Time in Patients with Nonpermanent Atrial Fibrillation
Cardiology Research and Practice
title Change in Atrial Fibrillation Burden over Time in Patients with Nonpermanent Atrial Fibrillation
title_full Change in Atrial Fibrillation Burden over Time in Patients with Nonpermanent Atrial Fibrillation
title_fullStr Change in Atrial Fibrillation Burden over Time in Patients with Nonpermanent Atrial Fibrillation
title_full_unstemmed Change in Atrial Fibrillation Burden over Time in Patients with Nonpermanent Atrial Fibrillation
title_short Change in Atrial Fibrillation Burden over Time in Patients with Nonpermanent Atrial Fibrillation
title_sort change in atrial fibrillation burden over time in patients with nonpermanent atrial fibrillation
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/9583409
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