EXPERT RISK ASSESSMENT OF FMD INTRODUCTION TO THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION FROM INFECTED COUNTRIES

Predictive assessment of possible risks of FMD introduction from neighboring countries to the territory of eight RF Federal Districts was presented. The risk quantitative parameters were determined by experts, specialists in the field of FMD epidemiology. To implement the expert survey method most s...

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Main Authors: V. M. Gulenkin, A. K. Karaulov, D. A. Lozovoy, V. M. Zakharov
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Da Vinci Media 2018-07-01
Series:Ветеринария сегодня
Subjects:
Online Access:https://veterinary.arriah.ru/jour/article/view/359
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author V. M. Gulenkin
A. K. Karaulov
D. A. Lozovoy
V. M. Zakharov
author_facet V. M. Gulenkin
A. K. Karaulov
D. A. Lozovoy
V. M. Zakharov
author_sort V. M. Gulenkin
collection DOAJ
description Predictive assessment of possible risks of FMD introduction from neighboring countries to the territory of eight RF Federal Districts was presented. The risk quantitative parameters were determined by experts, specialists in the field of FMD epidemiology. To implement the expert survey method most significant routes of infection introduction to the RF were determined. The experts performed FMD introduction risk assessment for each federal district and determined its score. As a result of statistical analysis the greatest probability was determined for the Far-Eastern Federal District. The North Caucasus and Siberian Federal Okrugs demonstrate lower probability. Basing on the obtained data the major routes of FMD introduction to the territory of the country were determined. Preventive vaccination of susceptible animal population is carried out in order to prevent FMD occurrence and spread in the zones at risk of its introduction. It is aimed at FMD outbreak prevention in the specified RF Subjects by inducing protective immunity in at least 81% of immunized cattle and at least 95% of immunized pigs.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2304-196X
2658-6959
language English
publishDate 2018-07-01
publisher Da Vinci Media
record_format Article
series Ветеринария сегодня
spelling doaj-art-779f821a4f904b06bb3d12bf61a671e42025-02-06T09:52:07ZengDa Vinci MediaВетеринария сегодня2304-196X2658-69592018-07-0102364110.29326/2304-196X-2018-2-25-36-41358EXPERT RISK ASSESSMENT OF FMD INTRODUCTION TO THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION FROM INFECTED COUNTRIESV. M. Gulenkin0A. K. Karaulov1D. A. Lozovoy2V. M. Zakharov3FGBI "ARRIAH", VladimirFGBI "ARRIAH", VladimirFGBI "ARRIAH", VladimirFGBI "ARRIAH", VladimirPredictive assessment of possible risks of FMD introduction from neighboring countries to the territory of eight RF Federal Districts was presented. The risk quantitative parameters were determined by experts, specialists in the field of FMD epidemiology. To implement the expert survey method most significant routes of infection introduction to the RF were determined. The experts performed FMD introduction risk assessment for each federal district and determined its score. As a result of statistical analysis the greatest probability was determined for the Far-Eastern Federal District. The North Caucasus and Siberian Federal Okrugs demonstrate lower probability. Basing on the obtained data the major routes of FMD introduction to the territory of the country were determined. Preventive vaccination of susceptible animal population is carried out in order to prevent FMD occurrence and spread in the zones at risk of its introduction. It is aimed at FMD outbreak prevention in the specified RF Subjects by inducing protective immunity in at least 81% of immunized cattle and at least 95% of immunized pigs.https://veterinary.arriah.ru/jour/article/view/359fmdepidemic situationexpert assessmentintroduction riskanti-epidemic measures
spellingShingle V. M. Gulenkin
A. K. Karaulov
D. A. Lozovoy
V. M. Zakharov
EXPERT RISK ASSESSMENT OF FMD INTRODUCTION TO THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION FROM INFECTED COUNTRIES
Ветеринария сегодня
fmd
epidemic situation
expert assessment
introduction risk
anti-epidemic measures
title EXPERT RISK ASSESSMENT OF FMD INTRODUCTION TO THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION FROM INFECTED COUNTRIES
title_full EXPERT RISK ASSESSMENT OF FMD INTRODUCTION TO THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION FROM INFECTED COUNTRIES
title_fullStr EXPERT RISK ASSESSMENT OF FMD INTRODUCTION TO THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION FROM INFECTED COUNTRIES
title_full_unstemmed EXPERT RISK ASSESSMENT OF FMD INTRODUCTION TO THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION FROM INFECTED COUNTRIES
title_short EXPERT RISK ASSESSMENT OF FMD INTRODUCTION TO THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION FROM INFECTED COUNTRIES
title_sort expert risk assessment of fmd introduction to the russian federation from infected countries
topic fmd
epidemic situation
expert assessment
introduction risk
anti-epidemic measures
url https://veterinary.arriah.ru/jour/article/view/359
work_keys_str_mv AT vmgulenkin expertriskassessmentoffmdintroductiontotherussianfederationfrominfectedcountries
AT akkaraulov expertriskassessmentoffmdintroductiontotherussianfederationfrominfectedcountries
AT dalozovoy expertriskassessmentoffmdintroductiontotherussianfederationfrominfectedcountries
AT vmzakharov expertriskassessmentoffmdintroductiontotherussianfederationfrominfectedcountries