Modeling diseases with latency and relapse

A general mathematical model for a disease with an exposed(latent) period and relapse is proposed. Such a model isappropriate for tuberculosis, including bovine tuberculosis incattle and wildlife, and for herpes. For this model with ageneral probability of remaining in the exposed class, the bas...

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Main Authors: P. van den Driessche, Lin Wang, Xingfu Zou
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2007-01-01
Series:Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2007.4.205
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author P. van den Driessche
Lin Wang
Xingfu Zou
author_facet P. van den Driessche
Lin Wang
Xingfu Zou
author_sort P. van den Driessche
collection DOAJ
description A general mathematical model for a disease with an exposed(latent) period and relapse is proposed. Such a model isappropriate for tuberculosis, including bovine tuberculosis incattle and wildlife, and for herpes. For this model with ageneral probability of remaining in the exposed class, the basicreproduction number $\R_0$ is identified and its thresholdproperty is discussed. In particular, the disease-free equilibriumis proved to be globally asymptotically stable if $\R_01$, and the disease is shown to be uniformly persistentwith the infective population size either approaching oroscillating about the endemic level. Numerical simulations (forparameters appropriate for bovine tuberculosis in cattle) with$\mathcal{R}_0>1$ indicate that solutions tend to this endemicstate.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1551-0018
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publisher AIMS Press
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spelling doaj-art-76dfd16adbc24ce7853b565c282724892025-01-24T01:53:27ZengAIMS PressMathematical Biosciences and Engineering1551-00182007-01-014220521910.3934/mbe.2007.4.205Modeling diseases with latency and relapseP. van den Driessche0Lin Wang1Xingfu Zou2Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Victoria, Victoria B.C., Canada V8W 3P4Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Victoria, Victoria B.C., Canada V8W 3P4Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Victoria, Victoria B.C., Canada V8W 3P4A general mathematical model for a disease with an exposed(latent) period and relapse is proposed. Such a model isappropriate for tuberculosis, including bovine tuberculosis incattle and wildlife, and for herpes. For this model with ageneral probability of remaining in the exposed class, the basicreproduction number $\R_0$ is identified and its thresholdproperty is discussed. In particular, the disease-free equilibriumis proved to be globally asymptotically stable if $\R_01$, and the disease is shown to be uniformly persistentwith the infective population size either approaching oroscillating about the endemic level. Numerical simulations (forparameters appropriate for bovine tuberculosis in cattle) with$\mathcal{R}_0>1$ indicate that solutions tend to this endemicstate.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2007.4.205bovine tuberculosisdelay differential equationuniform persistence.endemic equilibriumglobal asymptotic stabilitydisease-free equilibriumtuberculosis
spellingShingle P. van den Driessche
Lin Wang
Xingfu Zou
Modeling diseases with latency and relapse
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
bovine tuberculosis
delay differential equation
uniform persistence.
endemic equilibrium
global asymptotic stability
disease-free equilibrium
tuberculosis
title Modeling diseases with latency and relapse
title_full Modeling diseases with latency and relapse
title_fullStr Modeling diseases with latency and relapse
title_full_unstemmed Modeling diseases with latency and relapse
title_short Modeling diseases with latency and relapse
title_sort modeling diseases with latency and relapse
topic bovine tuberculosis
delay differential equation
uniform persistence.
endemic equilibrium
global asymptotic stability
disease-free equilibrium
tuberculosis
url https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2007.4.205
work_keys_str_mv AT pvandendriessche modelingdiseaseswithlatencyandrelapse
AT linwang modelingdiseaseswithlatencyandrelapse
AT xingfuzou modelingdiseaseswithlatencyandrelapse