Modeling diseases with latency and relapse

A general mathematical model for a disease with an exposed(latent) period and relapse is proposed. Such a model isappropriate for tuberculosis, including bovine tuberculosis incattle and wildlife, and for herpes. For this model with ageneral probability of remaining in the exposed class, the bas...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: P. van den Driessche, Lin Wang, Xingfu Zou
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2007-01-01
Series:Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
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Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2007.4.205
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Summary:A general mathematical model for a disease with an exposed(latent) period and relapse is proposed. Such a model isappropriate for tuberculosis, including bovine tuberculosis incattle and wildlife, and for herpes. For this model with ageneral probability of remaining in the exposed class, the basicreproduction number $\R_0$ is identified and its thresholdproperty is discussed. In particular, the disease-free equilibriumis proved to be globally asymptotically stable if $\R_01$, and the disease is shown to be uniformly persistentwith the infective population size either approaching oroscillating about the endemic level. Numerical simulations (forparameters appropriate for bovine tuberculosis in cattle) with$\mathcal{R}_0>1$ indicate that solutions tend to this endemicstate.
ISSN:1551-0018