Dual Model for International Roughness Index Classification and Prediction
Existing models for predicting the international roughness index (IRI) of a road surface often lack adaptability, struggling to accurately reflect variations in climate, traffic, and pavement distresses—factors critical for effective and sustainable maintenance. This study presents a novel dual-mode...
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| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
MDPI AG
2025-01-01
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| Series: | Infrastructures |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2412-3811/10/1/23 |
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| Summary: | Existing models for predicting the international roughness index (IRI) of a road surface often lack adaptability, struggling to accurately reflect variations in climate, traffic, and pavement distresses—factors critical for effective and sustainable maintenance. This study presents a novel dual-model approach that integrates pavement condition index (PCI), pavement distress types, climatic, and traffic data to improve IRI prediction. Using data from the Long-Term Pavement Performance database, a dual-model approach was developed: pavements were classified into groups based on key factors, and tailored regression models were subsequently applied within each group. The model exhibits good predictive accuracy, with <i>R</i><sup>2</sup> values of 0.62, 0.72, and 0.82 for the individual groups. Furthermore, the validation results (<i>R</i><sup>2</sup> = 0.89) confirm that the combination of logistic regression and linear regression enhances the precision of IRI value predictions. This approach enhances adaptability and practicality, offering a versatile tool for estimating IRI under diverse conditions. The proposed methodology has the potential to support more effective, data-driven decisions in pavement maintenance, fostering sustainability and cost efficiency. |
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| ISSN: | 2412-3811 |