An interpretable and stacking ensemble model for predicting heat and mass transfer of desiccant wheel

The Solid desiccant air conditioning system is popular due to their thorough dehumidification, low energy consumption, and independent temperature and humidity control. In order to design, simulate and optimize the solid desiccant air conditioning system, an accurate model of desiccant wheel must be...

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Main Authors: Mengyang Li, Liu Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-03-01
Series:Results in Engineering
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590123025002671
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author Mengyang Li
Liu Chen
author_facet Mengyang Li
Liu Chen
author_sort Mengyang Li
collection DOAJ
description The Solid desiccant air conditioning system is popular due to their thorough dehumidification, low energy consumption, and independent temperature and humidity control. In order to design, simulate and optimize the solid desiccant air conditioning system, an accurate model of desiccant wheel must be established. A prediction model by stacking ensemble learning for desiccant wheel is presented. The model uses an integration approach, Light Gradient Boosting Machine, Random Forest and Back Propagation Neural Network models are used as the first-level base models to learn the data, and the Linear Regression model as a meta-model integrates the output of the base model to obtain the final prediction results. Each base model uses Bayesian optimization for hyperparameter tuning. In addition, the contribution of each input feature and the decision-making process of the model are analyzed using the Shapley additive explanations. To evaluate the model, 13,095 data sets of desiccant wheel operation data were collected. The focus was on predicting the outlet temperature and humidity ratio. Results indicate that the proposed stacking model has notably enhanced its forecasting ability for these parameters. Coefficient of Determination (R2), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) were used to measure this stacking model: the process side outlet temperature (R2 = 0.9467, RMSE=1.5239, and MAE = 1.2721), the process side outlet humidity ratio (R2 = 0.9743, RMSE = 0.5728, MAE = 0.4531). In conclusion, the proposed stacking model can provide reliable theoretical guidance for the solid air conditioning system with desiccant wheel as the core.
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spelling doaj-art-75177c52e3f54f81ae4240e7907f3fc92025-01-30T05:14:53ZengElsevierResults in Engineering2590-12302025-03-0125104181An interpretable and stacking ensemble model for predicting heat and mass transfer of desiccant wheelMengyang Li0Liu Chen1Energy School, Xi'an University of Science and Technology, Yanta Road Xi'an 710054, ChinaCorresponding author.; Energy School, Xi'an University of Science and Technology, Yanta Road Xi'an 710054, ChinaThe Solid desiccant air conditioning system is popular due to their thorough dehumidification, low energy consumption, and independent temperature and humidity control. In order to design, simulate and optimize the solid desiccant air conditioning system, an accurate model of desiccant wheel must be established. A prediction model by stacking ensemble learning for desiccant wheel is presented. The model uses an integration approach, Light Gradient Boosting Machine, Random Forest and Back Propagation Neural Network models are used as the first-level base models to learn the data, and the Linear Regression model as a meta-model integrates the output of the base model to obtain the final prediction results. Each base model uses Bayesian optimization for hyperparameter tuning. In addition, the contribution of each input feature and the decision-making process of the model are analyzed using the Shapley additive explanations. To evaluate the model, 13,095 data sets of desiccant wheel operation data were collected. The focus was on predicting the outlet temperature and humidity ratio. Results indicate that the proposed stacking model has notably enhanced its forecasting ability for these parameters. Coefficient of Determination (R2), Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) were used to measure this stacking model: the process side outlet temperature (R2 = 0.9467, RMSE=1.5239, and MAE = 1.2721), the process side outlet humidity ratio (R2 = 0.9743, RMSE = 0.5728, MAE = 0.4531). In conclusion, the proposed stacking model can provide reliable theoretical guidance for the solid air conditioning system with desiccant wheel as the core.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590123025002671Desiccant wheelData-driven modelingStacking ensemble learningPerformance evaluationShapley additive explanations
spellingShingle Mengyang Li
Liu Chen
An interpretable and stacking ensemble model for predicting heat and mass transfer of desiccant wheel
Results in Engineering
Desiccant wheel
Data-driven modeling
Stacking ensemble learning
Performance evaluation
Shapley additive explanations
title An interpretable and stacking ensemble model for predicting heat and mass transfer of desiccant wheel
title_full An interpretable and stacking ensemble model for predicting heat and mass transfer of desiccant wheel
title_fullStr An interpretable and stacking ensemble model for predicting heat and mass transfer of desiccant wheel
title_full_unstemmed An interpretable and stacking ensemble model for predicting heat and mass transfer of desiccant wheel
title_short An interpretable and stacking ensemble model for predicting heat and mass transfer of desiccant wheel
title_sort interpretable and stacking ensemble model for predicting heat and mass transfer of desiccant wheel
topic Desiccant wheel
Data-driven modeling
Stacking ensemble learning
Performance evaluation
Shapley additive explanations
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590123025002671
work_keys_str_mv AT mengyangli aninterpretableandstackingensemblemodelforpredictingheatandmasstransferofdesiccantwheel
AT liuchen aninterpretableandstackingensemblemodelforpredictingheatandmasstransferofdesiccantwheel
AT mengyangli interpretableandstackingensemblemodelforpredictingheatandmasstransferofdesiccantwheel
AT liuchen interpretableandstackingensemblemodelforpredictingheatandmasstransferofdesiccantwheel