Investment Timing and Capacity Choice under Uncertainty

This paper examines strategic investment between two firms that compete not only for investment timing but also for capacity under stochastic market demand. The value functions of real option for the follower, the dominant leader, and the preemptive leader are derived and their investment decisions...

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Main Authors: Xiumei Lv, Shiqin Xu, Xiaoling Tang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2014-01-01
Series:Abstract and Applied Analysis
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/801862
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author Xiumei Lv
Shiqin Xu
Xiaoling Tang
author_facet Xiumei Lv
Shiqin Xu
Xiaoling Tang
author_sort Xiumei Lv
collection DOAJ
description This paper examines strategic investment between two firms that compete not only for investment timing but also for capacity under stochastic market demand. The value functions of real option for the follower, the dominant leader, and the preemptive leader are derived and their investment decisions are investigated. It finds that both firms will delay investment and the delayed margin of the follower will surpass that of the leader under greater uncertainty. Furthermore, both firms will provide more outputs in the face of increasing uncertainty and the growth rate of the follower’s capacity will exceed that of the leader’s. In addition, this paper finds that the follower will end up with a larger capacity than the leader.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1085-3375
1687-0409
language English
publishDate 2014-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Abstract and Applied Analysis
spelling doaj-art-7224ca1304474ad5bca4d60d6a1353502025-02-03T05:53:58ZengWileyAbstract and Applied Analysis1085-33751687-04092014-01-01201410.1155/2014/801862801862Investment Timing and Capacity Choice under UncertaintyXiumei Lv0Shiqin Xu1Xiaoling Tang2School of Finance, Chongqing Technology and Business University, Chongqing 400067, ChinaSchool of Finance, Chongqing Technology and Business University, Chongqing 400067, ChinaSchool of Finance, Chongqing Technology and Business University, Chongqing 400067, ChinaThis paper examines strategic investment between two firms that compete not only for investment timing but also for capacity under stochastic market demand. The value functions of real option for the follower, the dominant leader, and the preemptive leader are derived and their investment decisions are investigated. It finds that both firms will delay investment and the delayed margin of the follower will surpass that of the leader under greater uncertainty. Furthermore, both firms will provide more outputs in the face of increasing uncertainty and the growth rate of the follower’s capacity will exceed that of the leader’s. In addition, this paper finds that the follower will end up with a larger capacity than the leader.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/801862
spellingShingle Xiumei Lv
Shiqin Xu
Xiaoling Tang
Investment Timing and Capacity Choice under Uncertainty
Abstract and Applied Analysis
title Investment Timing and Capacity Choice under Uncertainty
title_full Investment Timing and Capacity Choice under Uncertainty
title_fullStr Investment Timing and Capacity Choice under Uncertainty
title_full_unstemmed Investment Timing and Capacity Choice under Uncertainty
title_short Investment Timing and Capacity Choice under Uncertainty
title_sort investment timing and capacity choice under uncertainty
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/801862
work_keys_str_mv AT xiumeilv investmenttimingandcapacitychoiceunderuncertainty
AT shiqinxu investmenttimingandcapacitychoiceunderuncertainty
AT xiaolingtang investmenttimingandcapacitychoiceunderuncertainty