The Impact of Covid-19 on Selected Turkish Financial Indicators: Empirical Evidence from the Toda Yamamoto Causality Test

This paper examines the impact of COVID-19 cases and deaths on selected financial indicators in Turkey between March 2020 and July 2020. This study analyzes the causal relationship between COVID-19 and liquidity and risk perception in Turkey. To measure the impact of COVID-19 on liquidity and risk p...

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Main Authors: Sabri Burak Arzova, Bertaç Şakir Şahin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Istanbul University Press 2022-04-01
Series:Istanbul Business Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/D278996B20CF4583BE2B062706EF9431
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author Sabri Burak Arzova
Bertaç Şakir Şahin
author_facet Sabri Burak Arzova
Bertaç Şakir Şahin
author_sort Sabri Burak Arzova
collection DOAJ
description This paper examines the impact of COVID-19 cases and deaths on selected financial indicators in Turkey between March 2020 and July 2020. This study analyzes the causal relationship between COVID-19 and liquidity and risk perception in Turkey. To measure the impact of COVID-19 on liquidity and risk perception in Turkey, financial indicators, such as the BIST100, credit default swap, 2-year Turkish bond yields, and 10-year Turkish bond yields were examined. The stationarity of variables was tested usingunit root tests. Since all variables were stationary at the first difference, the Toda Yamamoto causality test was chosen to examine the causality relationship between variables. According to the Johansen co-integration test, there was a co-integration relationship between variables. The empirical results of the Toda Yamamoto causality test show that there was a unidirectional Granger causality from the number of COVID-19 deaths to credit default swap. Moreover, there was a unidirectional Granger causality from the Turkish bond yields (2- 10 years) to BIST 100. However, between March 2020 andJuly 2020, there is no Granger relationship between the number of COVID-19 cases and the selected financial variables.
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spelling doaj-art-71a0ba32b4c74cf5b5a0c0c37ce941d02025-08-20T03:52:32ZengIstanbul University PressIstanbul Business Research2630-54882022-04-0151131332610.26650/ibr.2022.51.977814123456The Impact of Covid-19 on Selected Turkish Financial Indicators: Empirical Evidence from the Toda Yamamoto Causality TestSabri Burak Arzova0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9616-4197Bertaç Şakir Şahin1https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0414-5402Marmara Üniversitesi, İstanbul, TürkiyeYıldız Teknik Üniversitesi, Istanbul, TurkiyeThis paper examines the impact of COVID-19 cases and deaths on selected financial indicators in Turkey between March 2020 and July 2020. This study analyzes the causal relationship between COVID-19 and liquidity and risk perception in Turkey. To measure the impact of COVID-19 on liquidity and risk perception in Turkey, financial indicators, such as the BIST100, credit default swap, 2-year Turkish bond yields, and 10-year Turkish bond yields were examined. The stationarity of variables was tested usingunit root tests. Since all variables were stationary at the first difference, the Toda Yamamoto causality test was chosen to examine the causality relationship between variables. According to the Johansen co-integration test, there was a co-integration relationship between variables. The empirical results of the Toda Yamamoto causality test show that there was a unidirectional Granger causality from the number of COVID-19 deaths to credit default swap. Moreover, there was a unidirectional Granger causality from the Turkish bond yields (2- 10 years) to BIST 100. However, between March 2020 andJuly 2020, there is no Granger relationship between the number of COVID-19 cases and the selected financial variables.https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/D278996B20CF4583BE2B062706EF9431covid-19financial indicatorsturkey
spellingShingle Sabri Burak Arzova
Bertaç Şakir Şahin
The Impact of Covid-19 on Selected Turkish Financial Indicators: Empirical Evidence from the Toda Yamamoto Causality Test
Istanbul Business Research
covid-19
financial indicators
turkey
title The Impact of Covid-19 on Selected Turkish Financial Indicators: Empirical Evidence from the Toda Yamamoto Causality Test
title_full The Impact of Covid-19 on Selected Turkish Financial Indicators: Empirical Evidence from the Toda Yamamoto Causality Test
title_fullStr The Impact of Covid-19 on Selected Turkish Financial Indicators: Empirical Evidence from the Toda Yamamoto Causality Test
title_full_unstemmed The Impact of Covid-19 on Selected Turkish Financial Indicators: Empirical Evidence from the Toda Yamamoto Causality Test
title_short The Impact of Covid-19 on Selected Turkish Financial Indicators: Empirical Evidence from the Toda Yamamoto Causality Test
title_sort impact of covid 19 on selected turkish financial indicators empirical evidence from the toda yamamoto causality test
topic covid-19
financial indicators
turkey
url https://cdn.istanbul.edu.tr/file/JTA6CLJ8T5/D278996B20CF4583BE2B062706EF9431
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