Diagnosing and Predicting the Earth’s Health via Ecological Network Analysis

Ecological balance is one of the most attractive topics in biological, environmental, earth sciences, and so on. However, due to the complexity of ecosystems, it is not easy to find a perfect way to conclusively explain all the potential impacts. In this paper, by considering several important eleme...

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Main Authors: Zi-Ke Zhang, Ye Sun, Chu-Xu Zhang, Kuan Fang, Xiang Xu, Chuang Liu, Xueqi Wang, Kui Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2013-01-01
Series:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/741318
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author Zi-Ke Zhang
Ye Sun
Chu-Xu Zhang
Kuan Fang
Xiang Xu
Chuang Liu
Xueqi Wang
Kui Zhang
author_facet Zi-Ke Zhang
Ye Sun
Chu-Xu Zhang
Kuan Fang
Xiang Xu
Chuang Liu
Xueqi Wang
Kui Zhang
author_sort Zi-Ke Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Ecological balance is one of the most attractive topics in biological, environmental, earth sciences, and so on. However, due to the complexity of ecosystems, it is not easy to find a perfect way to conclusively explain all the potential impacts. In this paper, by considering several important elements, we seek to build a dynamic network model to predict the Earth’s health, trying to identify and explain how the human behavior and policies affect the model results. We firstly empirically analyze both the topological properties and time-dependent features of nodes and propose an Earth’s health index based on Shannon Entropy. Secondly, we identify the importance of each element by a machine learning approach. Thirdly, we use a spreading model to predict the Earth’s health. Finally, we integrate the topological property and the proposed health index to identify the influential nodes in the observed ecological network. Experimental results show that the oceans are the key nodes in affecting the Earth’s health, and Big countries are also important nodes in influencing the Earth’s health. In addition, the results suggest a possible solution that returning more living lands might be an effective way to solve the dilemma of ecological balance.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1026-0226
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language English
publishDate 2013-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
spelling doaj-art-719719e1935f4b0f94f18981a423fd062025-02-03T01:08:00ZengWileyDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1026-02261607-887X2013-01-01201310.1155/2013/741318741318Diagnosing and Predicting the Earth’s Health via Ecological Network AnalysisZi-Ke Zhang0Ye Sun1Chu-Xu Zhang2Kuan Fang3Xiang Xu4Chuang Liu5Xueqi Wang6Kui Zhang7Institute of Information Economy, Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou 310036, ChinaInstitute of Information Economy, Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou 310036, ChinaInstitute of Information Economy, Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou 310036, ChinaWeb Sciences Center, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu 610054, ChinaInstitute of Information Economy, Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou 310036, ChinaInstitute of Information Economy, Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou 310036, ChinaDivision of Translational Medicine, Shanghai Changzheng Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai 200003, ChinaCollege of Communication Engineering, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400044, ChinaEcological balance is one of the most attractive topics in biological, environmental, earth sciences, and so on. However, due to the complexity of ecosystems, it is not easy to find a perfect way to conclusively explain all the potential impacts. In this paper, by considering several important elements, we seek to build a dynamic network model to predict the Earth’s health, trying to identify and explain how the human behavior and policies affect the model results. We firstly empirically analyze both the topological properties and time-dependent features of nodes and propose an Earth’s health index based on Shannon Entropy. Secondly, we identify the importance of each element by a machine learning approach. Thirdly, we use a spreading model to predict the Earth’s health. Finally, we integrate the topological property and the proposed health index to identify the influential nodes in the observed ecological network. Experimental results show that the oceans are the key nodes in affecting the Earth’s health, and Big countries are also important nodes in influencing the Earth’s health. In addition, the results suggest a possible solution that returning more living lands might be an effective way to solve the dilemma of ecological balance.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/741318
spellingShingle Zi-Ke Zhang
Ye Sun
Chu-Xu Zhang
Kuan Fang
Xiang Xu
Chuang Liu
Xueqi Wang
Kui Zhang
Diagnosing and Predicting the Earth’s Health via Ecological Network Analysis
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
title Diagnosing and Predicting the Earth’s Health via Ecological Network Analysis
title_full Diagnosing and Predicting the Earth’s Health via Ecological Network Analysis
title_fullStr Diagnosing and Predicting the Earth’s Health via Ecological Network Analysis
title_full_unstemmed Diagnosing and Predicting the Earth’s Health via Ecological Network Analysis
title_short Diagnosing and Predicting the Earth’s Health via Ecological Network Analysis
title_sort diagnosing and predicting the earth s health via ecological network analysis
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/741318
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