Pricing Chinese Convertible Bonds with Dynamic Credit Risk

To price convertible bonds more precisely, least squares Monte Carlo (LSM) method is used in this paper for its advantage in handling the dependence of derivatives on the path, and dynamic credit risk is used to replace the fixed one to make the value of convertible bonds reflect the real credit ris...

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Main Authors: Ping Li, Jing Song
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2014-01-01
Series:Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/492134
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author Ping Li
Jing Song
author_facet Ping Li
Jing Song
author_sort Ping Li
collection DOAJ
description To price convertible bonds more precisely, least squares Monte Carlo (LSM) method is used in this paper for its advantage in handling the dependence of derivatives on the path, and dynamic credit risk is used to replace the fixed one to make the value of convertible bonds reflect the real credit risk. In the empirical study, we price convertible bonds based on static credit risk and dynamic credit risk, respectively. Empirical results indicate that the ICBC convertible bond has been overpriced, resulting from the underestimation of credit risk. In addition, when there is an issue of dividend, the conversion price will change in China's convertible bonds, while it does not change in the international convertible bonds. So we also empirically study the difference between the convertible bond's prices by assuming whether the conversion price changes or not.
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institution Kabale University
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publisher Wiley
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series Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
spelling doaj-art-6e8c96a668b747b582bfefc71fd94b8f2025-02-03T05:53:43ZengWileyDiscrete Dynamics in Nature and Society1026-02261607-887X2014-01-01201410.1155/2014/492134492134Pricing Chinese Convertible Bonds with Dynamic Credit RiskPing Li0Jing Song1School of Economics and Management, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, ChinaSchool of Economics and Management, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, ChinaTo price convertible bonds more precisely, least squares Monte Carlo (LSM) method is used in this paper for its advantage in handling the dependence of derivatives on the path, and dynamic credit risk is used to replace the fixed one to make the value of convertible bonds reflect the real credit risk. In the empirical study, we price convertible bonds based on static credit risk and dynamic credit risk, respectively. Empirical results indicate that the ICBC convertible bond has been overpriced, resulting from the underestimation of credit risk. In addition, when there is an issue of dividend, the conversion price will change in China's convertible bonds, while it does not change in the international convertible bonds. So we also empirically study the difference between the convertible bond's prices by assuming whether the conversion price changes or not.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/492134
spellingShingle Ping Li
Jing Song
Pricing Chinese Convertible Bonds with Dynamic Credit Risk
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
title Pricing Chinese Convertible Bonds with Dynamic Credit Risk
title_full Pricing Chinese Convertible Bonds with Dynamic Credit Risk
title_fullStr Pricing Chinese Convertible Bonds with Dynamic Credit Risk
title_full_unstemmed Pricing Chinese Convertible Bonds with Dynamic Credit Risk
title_short Pricing Chinese Convertible Bonds with Dynamic Credit Risk
title_sort pricing chinese convertible bonds with dynamic credit risk
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/492134
work_keys_str_mv AT pingli pricingchineseconvertiblebondswithdynamiccreditrisk
AT jingsong pricingchineseconvertiblebondswithdynamiccreditrisk