Mapping Groundwater Vulnerability in Arid Regions: A Comparative Risk Assessment Using Modified DRASTIC Models, Land Use, and Climate Change Factors

Groundwater vulnerability in arid regions is increasingly influenced by land use changes and climate variability. This study evaluates groundwater vulnerability and contamination risk in the arid/semi-arid Verde River Basin and Prescott Active Management Area using four models: DRASTIC, DRASTIC-LUCC...

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Main Authors: Simone A. Williams, Sharon B. Megdal, Adriana A. Zuniga-Teran, David M. Quanrud, Gary Christopherson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-12-01
Series:Land
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/14/1/58
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author Simone A. Williams
Sharon B. Megdal
Adriana A. Zuniga-Teran
David M. Quanrud
Gary Christopherson
author_facet Simone A. Williams
Sharon B. Megdal
Adriana A. Zuniga-Teran
David M. Quanrud
Gary Christopherson
author_sort Simone A. Williams
collection DOAJ
description Groundwater vulnerability in arid regions is increasingly influenced by land use changes and climate variability. This study evaluates groundwater vulnerability and contamination risk in the arid/semi-arid Verde River Basin and Prescott Active Management Area using four models: DRASTIC, DRASTIC-LUCC, DRASTIC-LUCC-AHP2, and DRASTIC-LUCC-AHP4. Modifications to the traditional DRASTIC model, including the integration of land use and climate factors and the application of AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) to refine variable weighting, significantly enhanced predictive accuracy. Results demonstrate that models incorporating land use and climate data outperform the traditional approach. The DRASTIC-LUCC model identified elevated nitrate concentrations in high-vulnerability areas, while DRASTIC-LUCC-AHP2 exhibited the greatest sensitivity in classifying vulnerability. Karst aquifers were particularly susceptible due to their high permeability and rapid contaminant transport. Recommendations include routinely integrating land use and climate data into vulnerability assessments, enforcing land use controls in high-risk zones, promoting adaptive management practices, and raising public awareness to mitigate contamination risks. This framework offers actionable strategies for improving groundwater protection and sustainable management in arid and semi-arid regions facing water security challenges.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2073-445X
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spelling doaj-art-6e2859606d574eacb6292847726054f12025-01-24T13:37:44ZengMDPI AGLand2073-445X2024-12-011415810.3390/land14010058Mapping Groundwater Vulnerability in Arid Regions: A Comparative Risk Assessment Using Modified DRASTIC Models, Land Use, and Climate Change FactorsSimone A. Williams0Sharon B. Megdal1Adriana A. Zuniga-Teran2David M. Quanrud3Gary Christopherson4Arid Lands Resource Sciences, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USAWater Resources Research Center, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USASchool of Geography, Development & Environment, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USASchool of Natural Resources and the Environment, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USASchool of Geography, Development & Environment, The University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721, USAGroundwater vulnerability in arid regions is increasingly influenced by land use changes and climate variability. This study evaluates groundwater vulnerability and contamination risk in the arid/semi-arid Verde River Basin and Prescott Active Management Area using four models: DRASTIC, DRASTIC-LUCC, DRASTIC-LUCC-AHP2, and DRASTIC-LUCC-AHP4. Modifications to the traditional DRASTIC model, including the integration of land use and climate factors and the application of AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) to refine variable weighting, significantly enhanced predictive accuracy. Results demonstrate that models incorporating land use and climate data outperform the traditional approach. The DRASTIC-LUCC model identified elevated nitrate concentrations in high-vulnerability areas, while DRASTIC-LUCC-AHP2 exhibited the greatest sensitivity in classifying vulnerability. Karst aquifers were particularly susceptible due to their high permeability and rapid contaminant transport. Recommendations include routinely integrating land use and climate data into vulnerability assessments, enforcing land use controls in high-risk zones, promoting adaptive management practices, and raising public awareness to mitigate contamination risks. This framework offers actionable strategies for improving groundwater protection and sustainable management in arid and semi-arid regions facing water security challenges.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/14/1/58vulnerability mappinggroundwater qualityclimate changeland usenitrate contaminationadaptation strategies
spellingShingle Simone A. Williams
Sharon B. Megdal
Adriana A. Zuniga-Teran
David M. Quanrud
Gary Christopherson
Mapping Groundwater Vulnerability in Arid Regions: A Comparative Risk Assessment Using Modified DRASTIC Models, Land Use, and Climate Change Factors
Land
vulnerability mapping
groundwater quality
climate change
land use
nitrate contamination
adaptation strategies
title Mapping Groundwater Vulnerability in Arid Regions: A Comparative Risk Assessment Using Modified DRASTIC Models, Land Use, and Climate Change Factors
title_full Mapping Groundwater Vulnerability in Arid Regions: A Comparative Risk Assessment Using Modified DRASTIC Models, Land Use, and Climate Change Factors
title_fullStr Mapping Groundwater Vulnerability in Arid Regions: A Comparative Risk Assessment Using Modified DRASTIC Models, Land Use, and Climate Change Factors
title_full_unstemmed Mapping Groundwater Vulnerability in Arid Regions: A Comparative Risk Assessment Using Modified DRASTIC Models, Land Use, and Climate Change Factors
title_short Mapping Groundwater Vulnerability in Arid Regions: A Comparative Risk Assessment Using Modified DRASTIC Models, Land Use, and Climate Change Factors
title_sort mapping groundwater vulnerability in arid regions a comparative risk assessment using modified drastic models land use and climate change factors
topic vulnerability mapping
groundwater quality
climate change
land use
nitrate contamination
adaptation strategies
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/14/1/58
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AT adrianaazunigateran mappinggroundwatervulnerabilityinaridregionsacomparativeriskassessmentusingmodifieddrasticmodelslanduseandclimatechangefactors
AT davidmquanrud mappinggroundwatervulnerabilityinaridregionsacomparativeriskassessmentusingmodifieddrasticmodelslanduseandclimatechangefactors
AT garychristopherson mappinggroundwatervulnerabilityinaridregionsacomparativeriskassessmentusingmodifieddrasticmodelslanduseandclimatechangefactors