Modeling the determinants of cigarette consumption in Iranian households with children under 5 years of age using the Income and Expenditure Survey 2021

Abstract Background Cigarette smoking remains a significant public health concern, with detrimental effects on both smokers and those exposed to secondhand smoke. This study investigates the factors influencing smoking behaviors in Iranian households, focusing on households with children under five...

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Main Authors: Shakila Bagheri, Naser Kamyari, Saeed Hesam, Maryam Seyedtabib
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-01-01
Series:Archives of Public Health
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s13690-024-01496-x
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author Shakila Bagheri
Naser Kamyari
Saeed Hesam
Maryam Seyedtabib
author_facet Shakila Bagheri
Naser Kamyari
Saeed Hesam
Maryam Seyedtabib
author_sort Shakila Bagheri
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Cigarette smoking remains a significant public health concern, with detrimental effects on both smokers and those exposed to secondhand smoke. This study investigates the factors influencing smoking behaviors in Iranian households, focusing on households with children under five years old. Methods We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of 8751 Iranian households using data from the Iranian Household Income and Expenditure Survey (HIES) collected by the Statistical Center of Iran (SCI) in 2021. A variety of count regression models were examined, including Poisson (P), Negative Binomial (NB), Generalized Poisson (GP) and their zero-inflated counterparts. The best fitting model was selected based on goodness-of-fit indices. Results Approximately 87% of households were non-smokers, with a mean daily cigarette consumption of 14.29 (SD = 8.64) among smokers. The three-level Zero-Inflated Generalized Poisson (TL-ZIGP) model was considered a suitable model for the interpretation of the data. Key predictors of smoking included older age, male gender, lower education, higher income, and larger homes. Homeownership was negatively associated with smoking. Considerable geographic variation in smoking prevalence was observed. Conclusions Socioeconomic and demographic factors, including lifestyle and geographic regions, are associated with smoking behavior among Iranian households. A three-level ZIGP regression model is appropriate for analyzing these complex relationships. This study reveals different patterns of smoking prevalence in different population subgroups and emphasizes the need for targeted interventions to effectively reduce smoking rates.
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spelling doaj-art-6d6e493b5b8b445db127919fb89fe1ed2025-01-26T12:16:18ZengBMCArchives of Public Health2049-32582025-01-0183111310.1186/s13690-024-01496-xModeling the determinants of cigarette consumption in Iranian households with children under 5 years of age using the Income and Expenditure Survey 2021Shakila Bagheri0Naser Kamyari1Saeed Hesam2Maryam Seyedtabib3Department of Biostatistics & Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical SciencesDepartment of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Research Center for Environmental Contaminants (RCEC), School of Health, Abadan University of Medical SciencesDepartment of Biostatistics & Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical SciencesDepartment of Biostatistics & Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Infectious Ophthalmologic Research Center, Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical SciencesAbstract Background Cigarette smoking remains a significant public health concern, with detrimental effects on both smokers and those exposed to secondhand smoke. This study investigates the factors influencing smoking behaviors in Iranian households, focusing on households with children under five years old. Methods We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of 8751 Iranian households using data from the Iranian Household Income and Expenditure Survey (HIES) collected by the Statistical Center of Iran (SCI) in 2021. A variety of count regression models were examined, including Poisson (P), Negative Binomial (NB), Generalized Poisson (GP) and their zero-inflated counterparts. The best fitting model was selected based on goodness-of-fit indices. Results Approximately 87% of households were non-smokers, with a mean daily cigarette consumption of 14.29 (SD = 8.64) among smokers. The three-level Zero-Inflated Generalized Poisson (TL-ZIGP) model was considered a suitable model for the interpretation of the data. Key predictors of smoking included older age, male gender, lower education, higher income, and larger homes. Homeownership was negatively associated with smoking. Considerable geographic variation in smoking prevalence was observed. Conclusions Socioeconomic and demographic factors, including lifestyle and geographic regions, are associated with smoking behavior among Iranian households. A three-level ZIGP regression model is appropriate for analyzing these complex relationships. This study reveals different patterns of smoking prevalence in different population subgroups and emphasizes the need for targeted interventions to effectively reduce smoking rates.https://doi.org/10.1186/s13690-024-01496-xSmoking behaviorIranian householdsCount regression modelsZero-inflated models
spellingShingle Shakila Bagheri
Naser Kamyari
Saeed Hesam
Maryam Seyedtabib
Modeling the determinants of cigarette consumption in Iranian households with children under 5 years of age using the Income and Expenditure Survey 2021
Archives of Public Health
Smoking behavior
Iranian households
Count regression models
Zero-inflated models
title Modeling the determinants of cigarette consumption in Iranian households with children under 5 years of age using the Income and Expenditure Survey 2021
title_full Modeling the determinants of cigarette consumption in Iranian households with children under 5 years of age using the Income and Expenditure Survey 2021
title_fullStr Modeling the determinants of cigarette consumption in Iranian households with children under 5 years of age using the Income and Expenditure Survey 2021
title_full_unstemmed Modeling the determinants of cigarette consumption in Iranian households with children under 5 years of age using the Income and Expenditure Survey 2021
title_short Modeling the determinants of cigarette consumption in Iranian households with children under 5 years of age using the Income and Expenditure Survey 2021
title_sort modeling the determinants of cigarette consumption in iranian households with children under 5 years of age using the income and expenditure survey 2021
topic Smoking behavior
Iranian households
Count regression models
Zero-inflated models
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s13690-024-01496-x
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