A cost-based comparison of quarantine strategies for new emerging diseases
A classical epidemiological framework is used to provide a preliminary cost analysis of the effects of quarantine and isolation on the dynamics of infectious diseases for which no treatment or immediate diagnosis tools are available.Within this framework we consider the cost incurred from the implem...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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AIMS Press
2010-05-01
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| Series: | Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering |
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| Online Access: | https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2010.7.687 |
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| author | Anuj Mubayi Christopher Kribs Zaleta Maia Martcheva Carlos Castillo-Chávez |
| author_facet | Anuj Mubayi Christopher Kribs Zaleta Maia Martcheva Carlos Castillo-Chávez |
| author_sort | Anuj Mubayi |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | A classical epidemiological framework is used to provide a preliminary cost analysis of the effects of quarantine and isolation on the dynamics of infectious diseases for which no treatment or immediate diagnosis tools are available.Within this framework we consider the cost incurred from the implementation of three types of dynamic control strategies. Taking the context of the 2003 SARS outbreak in Hong Kong as an example, we use a simple cost function to compare the total cost of each mixed (quarantine and isolation) control strategy from a public health resource allocation perspective.The goal is to extend existing epi-economics methodology by developing a theoretical framework of dynamic quarantine strategies aimed at emerging diseases, by drawing upon the large body of literature on the dynamics of infectious diseases.We find that the total cost decreases with increases in the quarantine rates past a critical value, regardless of the resource allocation strategy.In the case of a manageable outbreak resources must be used early to achieve the best results whereas in case of an unmanageable outbreak, a constant-effort strategy seems the best among our limited plausible sets. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-6d305a19fe73407490ed01ece323af90 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1551-0018 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2010-05-01 |
| publisher | AIMS Press |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering |
| spelling | doaj-art-6d305a19fe73407490ed01ece323af902025-01-24T02:00:43ZengAIMS PressMathematical Biosciences and Engineering1551-00182010-05-017368771710.3934/mbe.2010.7.687A cost-based comparison of quarantine strategies for new emerging diseasesAnuj Mubayi0Christopher Kribs Zaleta1Maia Martcheva2Carlos Castillo-Chávez3Mathematical, Computational & Modeling Science Center, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287-1904Mathematical, Computational & Modeling Science Center, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287-1904Mathematical, Computational & Modeling Science Center, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287-1904Mathematical, Computational & Modeling Science Center, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85287-1904A classical epidemiological framework is used to provide a preliminary cost analysis of the effects of quarantine and isolation on the dynamics of infectious diseases for which no treatment or immediate diagnosis tools are available.Within this framework we consider the cost incurred from the implementation of three types of dynamic control strategies. Taking the context of the 2003 SARS outbreak in Hong Kong as an example, we use a simple cost function to compare the total cost of each mixed (quarantine and isolation) control strategy from a public health resource allocation perspective.The goal is to extend existing epi-economics methodology by developing a theoretical framework of dynamic quarantine strategies aimed at emerging diseases, by drawing upon the large body of literature on the dynamics of infectious diseases.We find that the total cost decreases with increases in the quarantine rates past a critical value, regardless of the resource allocation strategy.In the case of a manageable outbreak resources must be used early to achieve the best results whereas in case of an unmanageable outbreak, a constant-effort strategy seems the best among our limited plausible sets.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2010.7.687reproductive numbersarsisolationcost-effectiveness analysis.quarantinecontact tracing |
| spellingShingle | Anuj Mubayi Christopher Kribs Zaleta Maia Martcheva Carlos Castillo-Chávez A cost-based comparison of quarantine strategies for new emerging diseases Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering reproductive number sars isolation cost-effectiveness analysis. quarantine contact tracing |
| title | A cost-based comparison of quarantine strategies for new emerging diseases |
| title_full | A cost-based comparison of quarantine strategies for new emerging diseases |
| title_fullStr | A cost-based comparison of quarantine strategies for new emerging diseases |
| title_full_unstemmed | A cost-based comparison of quarantine strategies for new emerging diseases |
| title_short | A cost-based comparison of quarantine strategies for new emerging diseases |
| title_sort | cost based comparison of quarantine strategies for new emerging diseases |
| topic | reproductive number sars isolation cost-effectiveness analysis. quarantine contact tracing |
| url | https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2010.7.687 |
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