Real time forecasting in the coastal zone: Stream power in the lower Mississippi River

Study region: This study details the development of a real time forecasting system for the coastal zone of the Northern Gulf of Mexico providing a twice daily, ten-day forecast of two-dimensional hydrodynamics. The Mississippi River Delta is the primary entrance to over 2300 miles of commercial wate...

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Main Authors: Laura Manuel, Ehab Meselhe, Kelin Hu, Arnejan van Loenen, Thies Blokhuijsen, Md Nazmul Azim Beg
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-02-01
Series:Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581824004373
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author Laura Manuel
Ehab Meselhe
Kelin Hu
Arnejan van Loenen
Thies Blokhuijsen
Md Nazmul Azim Beg
author_facet Laura Manuel
Ehab Meselhe
Kelin Hu
Arnejan van Loenen
Thies Blokhuijsen
Md Nazmul Azim Beg
author_sort Laura Manuel
collection DOAJ
description Study region: This study details the development of a real time forecasting system for the coastal zone of the Northern Gulf of Mexico providing a twice daily, ten-day forecast of two-dimensional hydrodynamics. The Mississippi River Delta is the primary entrance to over 2300 miles of commercial waterway and faces year-round dredging and evolving unregulated natural outlets. The provision of real time forecast data is becoming increasingly important for navigation and various ecosystem services in the Gulf region. Study focus: Advances in hydrologic forecasting are swiftly progressing due to advances in computing technology, modeling techniques, and data availability. However, coastal zones remain challenging for forecasting due to the complexity of coastal processes governing the dynamics in these regions. A promising solution to predicting coastal conditions is the development of process-based modeling approaches that represent the transition zone, operating in a forecasting mode. New hydrological insights for the region: Primary outputs of the forecasting system, which are not produced by public agencies at the time of this study, include the provision of reach scale stream power forecasts for the Lower Mississippi River profile from Baton Rouge, LA to the Gulf of Mexico and detailed forecasts of flow partitioning among the natural outlets near the Mississippi River Delta. This study demonstrates a forecasting system using a high-resolution model with functionalities that open services to groups besides traditional early warning users.
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publishDate 2025-02-01
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series Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
spelling doaj-art-6c885d1e160e4edfb2e1dd5bd6e1d0e72025-01-22T05:41:58ZengElsevierJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studies2214-58182025-02-0157102088Real time forecasting in the coastal zone: Stream power in the lower Mississippi RiverLaura Manuel0Ehab Meselhe1Kelin Hu2Arnejan van Loenen3Thies Blokhuijsen4Md Nazmul Azim Beg5Tulane University, USA; Correspondence to: 618Leontine Street Apt. D, New Orleans, LA 70115, USA.Tulane University, USATulane University, USADeltares, The NetherlandsDeltares, The NetherlandsTulane University, USAStudy region: This study details the development of a real time forecasting system for the coastal zone of the Northern Gulf of Mexico providing a twice daily, ten-day forecast of two-dimensional hydrodynamics. The Mississippi River Delta is the primary entrance to over 2300 miles of commercial waterway and faces year-round dredging and evolving unregulated natural outlets. The provision of real time forecast data is becoming increasingly important for navigation and various ecosystem services in the Gulf region. Study focus: Advances in hydrologic forecasting are swiftly progressing due to advances in computing technology, modeling techniques, and data availability. However, coastal zones remain challenging for forecasting due to the complexity of coastal processes governing the dynamics in these regions. A promising solution to predicting coastal conditions is the development of process-based modeling approaches that represent the transition zone, operating in a forecasting mode. New hydrological insights for the region: Primary outputs of the forecasting system, which are not produced by public agencies at the time of this study, include the provision of reach scale stream power forecasts for the Lower Mississippi River profile from Baton Rouge, LA to the Gulf of Mexico and detailed forecasts of flow partitioning among the natural outlets near the Mississippi River Delta. This study demonstrates a forecasting system using a high-resolution model with functionalities that open services to groups besides traditional early warning users.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581824004373Real time forecastingGulf of MexicoLower Mississippi RiverProcess-based modelingCoastal zone forecastsStream power
spellingShingle Laura Manuel
Ehab Meselhe
Kelin Hu
Arnejan van Loenen
Thies Blokhuijsen
Md Nazmul Azim Beg
Real time forecasting in the coastal zone: Stream power in the lower Mississippi River
Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Real time forecasting
Gulf of Mexico
Lower Mississippi River
Process-based modeling
Coastal zone forecasts
Stream power
title Real time forecasting in the coastal zone: Stream power in the lower Mississippi River
title_full Real time forecasting in the coastal zone: Stream power in the lower Mississippi River
title_fullStr Real time forecasting in the coastal zone: Stream power in the lower Mississippi River
title_full_unstemmed Real time forecasting in the coastal zone: Stream power in the lower Mississippi River
title_short Real time forecasting in the coastal zone: Stream power in the lower Mississippi River
title_sort real time forecasting in the coastal zone stream power in the lower mississippi river
topic Real time forecasting
Gulf of Mexico
Lower Mississippi River
Process-based modeling
Coastal zone forecasts
Stream power
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581824004373
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