Unbiased Isotonic Regression Tree for Discovering Hidden Heterogeneity in Monotonicity Constraints

Integrating domain knowledge is increasingly recognized as vital for improving the relevance and reliability of machine learning models. This integration is often implemented through specific types of constraints that reflect real-world conditions or theoretical insights. Within the family of regres...

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Main Author: Doowon Choi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-01-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/2/818
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author Doowon Choi
author_facet Doowon Choi
author_sort Doowon Choi
collection DOAJ
description Integrating domain knowledge is increasingly recognized as vital for improving the relevance and reliability of machine learning models. This integration is often implemented through specific types of constraints that reflect real-world conditions or theoretical insights. Within the family of regression trees, the isotonic regression tree is used to incorporate a monotonicity constraint between a predictor and a response variable. However, the isotonic regression tree could be susceptible to split selection bias, as it selects both its split variable and cutpoint simultaneously. This study first explores the possibility of selection bias on split variables in the isotonic regression tree and proposes an unbiased isotonic regression tree that mitigates the issue of the selection bias problem. The results of the simulation and case study demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach and the ability to discover hidden heterogeneous monotonic constraints.
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spelling doaj-art-6c32e42ffb1c4b6a861709b28efa79cf2025-01-24T13:20:56ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172025-01-0115281810.3390/app15020818Unbiased Isotonic Regression Tree for Discovering Hidden Heterogeneity in Monotonicity ConstraintsDoowon Choi0Department of Data Science, Inha University, Incheon 22212, Republic of KoreaIntegrating domain knowledge is increasingly recognized as vital for improving the relevance and reliability of machine learning models. This integration is often implemented through specific types of constraints that reflect real-world conditions or theoretical insights. Within the family of regression trees, the isotonic regression tree is used to incorporate a monotonicity constraint between a predictor and a response variable. However, the isotonic regression tree could be susceptible to split selection bias, as it selects both its split variable and cutpoint simultaneously. This study first explores the possibility of selection bias on split variables in the isotonic regression tree and proposes an unbiased isotonic regression tree that mitigates the issue of the selection bias problem. The results of the simulation and case study demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach and the ability to discover hidden heterogeneous monotonic constraints.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/2/818isotonic regression treemonotonically increasing constraintssubgroup identificationunbiased split variable selection
spellingShingle Doowon Choi
Unbiased Isotonic Regression Tree for Discovering Hidden Heterogeneity in Monotonicity Constraints
Applied Sciences
isotonic regression tree
monotonically increasing constraints
subgroup identification
unbiased split variable selection
title Unbiased Isotonic Regression Tree for Discovering Hidden Heterogeneity in Monotonicity Constraints
title_full Unbiased Isotonic Regression Tree for Discovering Hidden Heterogeneity in Monotonicity Constraints
title_fullStr Unbiased Isotonic Regression Tree for Discovering Hidden Heterogeneity in Monotonicity Constraints
title_full_unstemmed Unbiased Isotonic Regression Tree for Discovering Hidden Heterogeneity in Monotonicity Constraints
title_short Unbiased Isotonic Regression Tree for Discovering Hidden Heterogeneity in Monotonicity Constraints
title_sort unbiased isotonic regression tree for discovering hidden heterogeneity in monotonicity constraints
topic isotonic regression tree
monotonically increasing constraints
subgroup identification
unbiased split variable selection
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/15/2/818
work_keys_str_mv AT doowonchoi unbiasedisotonicregressiontreefordiscoveringhiddenheterogeneityinmonotonicityconstraints