The Effect of the HIV/AIDS Epidemic on Africa's Truck Drivers
The AIDS epidemic is having a growing impact on the transport sectorof the economy of sub-Saharan Africa, where long-distance truck driversare at an increased risk of infection due to their frequent contacts withcommercial sex workers. The spread of AIDS in the transport industry isespecially signif...
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AIMS Press
2005-09-01
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Series: | Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering |
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Online Access: | https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2005.2.771 |
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author | Christopher M. Kribs-Zaleta Melanie Lee Christine Román Shari Wiley Carlos M. Hernández-Suárez |
author_facet | Christopher M. Kribs-Zaleta Melanie Lee Christine Román Shari Wiley Carlos M. Hernández-Suárez |
author_sort | Christopher M. Kribs-Zaleta |
collection | DOAJ |
description | The AIDS epidemic is having a growing impact on the transport sectorof the economy of sub-Saharan Africa, where long-distance truck driversare at an increased risk of infection due to their frequent contacts withcommercial sex workers. The spread of AIDS in the transport industry isespecially significant to the economy, as truck drivers are largely responsiblefor transporting crops and supplies needed for daily subsistence. In thispaper we analyze these effects via two models, one employing a switch andthe other a Verhulst saturation function, to describe the rate at which newdrivers are recruited in terms of the supply and demand for them in thegeneral population. Results provide an estimate of the epidemic's economicimpact on the transportation sector through the loss of truck drivers(an estimated 10% per year, with endemic levels near 90%). |
format | Article |
id | doaj-art-6b36711303d54c0ebd7289c7eed0115c |
institution | Kabale University |
issn | 1551-0018 |
language | English |
publishDate | 2005-09-01 |
publisher | AIMS Press |
record_format | Article |
series | Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering |
spelling | doaj-art-6b36711303d54c0ebd7289c7eed0115c2025-01-24T01:49:46ZengAIMS PressMathematical Biosciences and Engineering1551-00182005-09-012477178810.3934/mbe.2005.2.771The Effect of the HIV/AIDS Epidemic on Africa's Truck DriversChristopher M. Kribs-Zaleta0Melanie Lee1Christine Román2Shari Wiley3Carlos M. Hernández-Suárez4Mathematics Department, University of Texas at Arlington, Box 19408, Arlington, TX 76019-0408Courant Institute, New York University, 251 Mercer Street, New York, NY 10012Department of Mathematics, St. Mary's University, One Camino Santa Maria, San Antonio, TX 78228-8503Department of Mathematics, Howard University, 204 Academic Support Building B, Washington, DC 20059Facultad de Ciencias, Universidad de Colima, Bernal Díaz del Castillo No. 340, Col. Villa San Sebastián, Colima, Colima, México, C.P. 28045The AIDS epidemic is having a growing impact on the transport sectorof the economy of sub-Saharan Africa, where long-distance truck driversare at an increased risk of infection due to their frequent contacts withcommercial sex workers. The spread of AIDS in the transport industry isespecially significant to the economy, as truck drivers are largely responsiblefor transporting crops and supplies needed for daily subsistence. In thispaper we analyze these effects via two models, one employing a switch andthe other a Verhulst saturation function, to describe the rate at which newdrivers are recruited in terms of the supply and demand for them in thegeneral population. Results provide an estimate of the epidemic's economicimpact on the transportation sector through the loss of truck drivers(an estimated 10% per year, with endemic levels near 90%).https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2005.2.771acquired immunodeficiencysyndrome (aids)africaeconomymathe-matical modelcommercial sex workersnonlinear dynamics.truck drivershuman immunodeficiency virus (hiv)epidemiology |
spellingShingle | Christopher M. Kribs-Zaleta Melanie Lee Christine Román Shari Wiley Carlos M. Hernández-Suárez The Effect of the HIV/AIDS Epidemic on Africa's Truck Drivers Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering acquired immunodeficiencysyndrome (aids) africa economy mathe-matical model commercial sex workers nonlinear dynamics. truck drivers human immunodeficiency virus (hiv) epidemiology |
title | The Effect of the HIV/AIDS Epidemic on Africa's Truck Drivers |
title_full | The Effect of the HIV/AIDS Epidemic on Africa's Truck Drivers |
title_fullStr | The Effect of the HIV/AIDS Epidemic on Africa's Truck Drivers |
title_full_unstemmed | The Effect of the HIV/AIDS Epidemic on Africa's Truck Drivers |
title_short | The Effect of the HIV/AIDS Epidemic on Africa's Truck Drivers |
title_sort | effect of the hiv aids epidemic on africa s truck drivers |
topic | acquired immunodeficiencysyndrome (aids) africa economy mathe-matical model commercial sex workers nonlinear dynamics. truck drivers human immunodeficiency virus (hiv) epidemiology |
url | https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2005.2.771 |
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