China’s Perceptions of Russia during the Ukraine Conflict

The ongoing Russian military operation in Ukraine since February 2022 has presented significant challenges to China's foreign and security policies, as well as its economic and technological ties with the West. Initially, China refrained from criticizing Russia's military actions and adopt...

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Main Author: Srikanth Kondapalli
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MGIMO University Press 2023-05-01
Series:Vestnik MGIMO-Universiteta
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.vestnik.mgimo.ru/jour/article/view/3370
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author Srikanth Kondapalli
author_facet Srikanth Kondapalli
author_sort Srikanth Kondapalli
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description The ongoing Russian military operation in Ukraine since February 2022 has presented significant challenges to China's foreign and security policies, as well as its economic and technological ties with the West. Initially, China refrained from criticizing Russia's military actions and adopted a "neutral" or "independent" stance in response to Western criticism. However, China was taken aback by the protracted nature of the conflict and Russia's inability to successfully conclude its military operation. This raised concerns within China, considering its own situation of potentially reunifying with Taiwan through military means if necessary. While there are distinctions between the situations in Ukraine and Taiwan, the initial speculation of China conducting military operations against Taiwan has gradually diminished, although military pressure on Taiwan remains. The conflict in Ukraine has also caused internal divisions within China and has had an impact on its relations with the West, which are crucial for China's rise on the global stage. This article aims to examine China's interests and positions regarding the ongoing Ukrainian conflict, the implications for its relations with Russia, and the opportunities and challenges that China faces in the current situation. The article employs an inductive approach, analyzing China's predicaments at four levels: perceptions within the decision-making bodies of the Communist Party, the foreign ministry, think-tanks, and the media community. It argues that in conjunction with China's economic contraction resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic, the Russian military operation has prompted China to seriously contemplate how to safeguard its national interests, particularly with regard to Taiwan and its strategic objectives of attaining a prominent global position. These considerations carry medium to long-term implications for the evolving regional and global orders. In conclusion, the article briefly discusses the implications of these developments on India, shedding light on the broader regional dynamics influenced by China's response to the Ukrainian conflict.
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spelling doaj-art-69dbc0187f764a43accf8ea595b836ef2025-01-30T12:16:17ZengMGIMO University PressVestnik MGIMO-Universiteta2071-81602541-90992023-05-011628710310.24833/2071-8160-2023-2-89-87-1032530China’s Perceptions of Russia during the Ukraine ConflictSrikanth Kondapalli0Jawaharlal Nehru UniversityThe ongoing Russian military operation in Ukraine since February 2022 has presented significant challenges to China's foreign and security policies, as well as its economic and technological ties with the West. Initially, China refrained from criticizing Russia's military actions and adopted a "neutral" or "independent" stance in response to Western criticism. However, China was taken aback by the protracted nature of the conflict and Russia's inability to successfully conclude its military operation. This raised concerns within China, considering its own situation of potentially reunifying with Taiwan through military means if necessary. While there are distinctions between the situations in Ukraine and Taiwan, the initial speculation of China conducting military operations against Taiwan has gradually diminished, although military pressure on Taiwan remains. The conflict in Ukraine has also caused internal divisions within China and has had an impact on its relations with the West, which are crucial for China's rise on the global stage. This article aims to examine China's interests and positions regarding the ongoing Ukrainian conflict, the implications for its relations with Russia, and the opportunities and challenges that China faces in the current situation. The article employs an inductive approach, analyzing China's predicaments at four levels: perceptions within the decision-making bodies of the Communist Party, the foreign ministry, think-tanks, and the media community. It argues that in conjunction with China's economic contraction resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic, the Russian military operation has prompted China to seriously contemplate how to safeguard its national interests, particularly with regard to Taiwan and its strategic objectives of attaining a prominent global position. These considerations carry medium to long-term implications for the evolving regional and global orders. In conclusion, the article briefly discusses the implications of these developments on India, shedding light on the broader regional dynamics influenced by China's response to the Ukrainian conflict.https://www.vestnik.mgimo.ru/jour/article/view/3370china's foreign and security policieseconomic and technological tiesmilitary operationsreunification with taiwanimplications for china-west relationsemerging regional and global orders
spellingShingle Srikanth Kondapalli
China’s Perceptions of Russia during the Ukraine Conflict
Vestnik MGIMO-Universiteta
china's foreign and security policies
economic and technological ties
military operations
reunification with taiwan
implications for china-west relations
emerging regional and global orders
title China’s Perceptions of Russia during the Ukraine Conflict
title_full China’s Perceptions of Russia during the Ukraine Conflict
title_fullStr China’s Perceptions of Russia during the Ukraine Conflict
title_full_unstemmed China’s Perceptions of Russia during the Ukraine Conflict
title_short China’s Perceptions of Russia during the Ukraine Conflict
title_sort china s perceptions of russia during the ukraine conflict
topic china's foreign and security policies
economic and technological ties
military operations
reunification with taiwan
implications for china-west relations
emerging regional and global orders
url https://www.vestnik.mgimo.ru/jour/article/view/3370
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