The Consequences of an Embargo on Russian Gas

Abstract Sanctions and their effectiveness are at the centre of the discussion about an appropriate response to Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine. At the latest since the atrocities of the war became evident and payment for gas supplies in roubles was brought into play, voices calling for a...

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Main Authors: Veronika Grimm, Andreas Löschel, Karen Pittel
Format: Article
Language:deu
Published: Sciendo 2022-04-01
Series:Wirtschaftsdienst
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-022-3151-2
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author Veronika Grimm
Andreas Löschel
Karen Pittel
author_facet Veronika Grimm
Andreas Löschel
Karen Pittel
author_sort Veronika Grimm
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Sanctions and their effectiveness are at the centre of the discussion about an appropriate response to Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine. At the latest since the atrocities of the war became evident and payment for gas supplies in roubles was brought into play, voices calling for a natural gas embargo have been growing. In the discussion about the possible consequences of such an embargo, forecasts vary from serious but manageable effects on economic development to mass unemployment and deindustrialisation. Regarding the short run, the main question is: How much of Russian natural gas supply can be replaced and saved by next winter. We provide an overview of existing analyses on savings and substitution potentials, followed by some fundamental policy principles aimed at dealing with a halt in Russian natural gas supplies.
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spelling doaj-art-69d3edd245f3426487e2c74af3cf450a2025-02-02T19:42:05ZdeuSciendoWirtschaftsdienst1613-978X2022-04-01102425125510.1007/s10273-022-3151-2The Consequences of an Embargo on Russian GasVeronika Grimm0Andreas Löschel1Karen Pittel2FB Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften, Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-NürnbergRuhr-Universität Bochum (RUB)ifo Zentrum für Energie, Klima und RessourcenAbstract Sanctions and their effectiveness are at the centre of the discussion about an appropriate response to Russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine. At the latest since the atrocities of the war became evident and payment for gas supplies in roubles was brought into play, voices calling for a natural gas embargo have been growing. In the discussion about the possible consequences of such an embargo, forecasts vary from serious but manageable effects on economic development to mass unemployment and deindustrialisation. Regarding the short run, the main question is: How much of Russian natural gas supply can be replaced and saved by next winter. We provide an overview of existing analyses on savings and substitution potentials, followed by some fundamental policy principles aimed at dealing with a halt in Russian natural gas supplies.https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-022-3151-2
spellingShingle Veronika Grimm
Andreas Löschel
Karen Pittel
The Consequences of an Embargo on Russian Gas
Wirtschaftsdienst
title The Consequences of an Embargo on Russian Gas
title_full The Consequences of an Embargo on Russian Gas
title_fullStr The Consequences of an Embargo on Russian Gas
title_full_unstemmed The Consequences of an Embargo on Russian Gas
title_short The Consequences of an Embargo on Russian Gas
title_sort consequences of an embargo on russian gas
url https://doi.org/10.1007/s10273-022-3151-2
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