The U-shaped association of fasting plasma glucose to HbA1c ratio with mortality in diabetic and prediabetic populations: the mediating role of systemic immune-inflammation index

BackgroundsThis study aimed to assess the association between fasting plasma glucose to glycated hemoglobin (FPG/HbA1c) ratio and mortality and to explore the mediating role of immunity and inflammation in diabetic and prediabetic populations.MethodsOur analysis included 10,267 participants with pre...

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Main Authors: Ming Yang, Qing Shangguan, Guobo Xie, Guotai Sheng, Jingqi Yang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-01-01
Series:Frontiers in Endocrinology
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fendo.2025.1465242/full
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author Ming Yang
Qing Shangguan
Guobo Xie
Guotai Sheng
Jingqi Yang
author_facet Ming Yang
Qing Shangguan
Guobo Xie
Guotai Sheng
Jingqi Yang
author_sort Ming Yang
collection DOAJ
description BackgroundsThis study aimed to assess the association between fasting plasma glucose to glycated hemoglobin (FPG/HbA1c) ratio and mortality and to explore the mediating role of immunity and inflammation in diabetic and prediabetic populations.MethodsOur analysis included 10,267 participants with prediabetes or diabetes from the NHANES (1999-2018). The association between the FPG/HbA1c ratio and all-cause and cardiovascular(CVD) mortality was assessed using multivariate Cox proportional hazards models, restricted cubic splines(RCS), two-piecewise Cox proportional hazards models and sensitivity analysis. Mediation analysis was conducted to evaluate the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) as a potential mediator.ResultsOver a median follow-up of 103 months, there were 535 CVD deaths and 1918 all-cause deaths. After multivariate adjustment, a U-shaped relationship was observed between the FPG/HbA1c ratio and both CVD and all-cause mortality, with threshold points at 1.080 and 1.013, respectively. Below the thresholds, the FPG/HbA1c ratio was negatively associated with CVD mortality (HR:0.200, 95% CI: 0.072, 0.559) and all-cause mortality(HR: 0.242, 95% CI: 0.118, 0.494). Above the thresholds, the ratio was positively associated with CVD mortality (HR=3.691, 95% CI: 2.011, 6.772) and all-cause mortality (HR=3.025, 95% CI: 2.279, 4.016). Mediation analysis revealed that SII mediated 19.02% of the association with CVD mortality and 8.86% with all-cause mortality (P < 0.05).ConclusionsIn the prospective cohort, the FPG/HbA1c ratio demonstrated a U-shaped association with mortality in diabetic and prediabetic adults, with SII playing a significant mediating role. These findings suggest that interventions targeting immunity and inflammation may improve clinical outcomes in these populations.
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spelling doaj-art-69a86db210c3409b93a04aee6e76941e2025-01-27T05:14:26ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Endocrinology1664-23922025-01-011610.3389/fendo.2025.14652421465242The U-shaped association of fasting plasma glucose to HbA1c ratio with mortality in diabetic and prediabetic populations: the mediating role of systemic immune-inflammation indexMing YangQing ShangguanGuobo XieGuotai ShengJingqi YangBackgroundsThis study aimed to assess the association between fasting plasma glucose to glycated hemoglobin (FPG/HbA1c) ratio and mortality and to explore the mediating role of immunity and inflammation in diabetic and prediabetic populations.MethodsOur analysis included 10,267 participants with prediabetes or diabetes from the NHANES (1999-2018). The association between the FPG/HbA1c ratio and all-cause and cardiovascular(CVD) mortality was assessed using multivariate Cox proportional hazards models, restricted cubic splines(RCS), two-piecewise Cox proportional hazards models and sensitivity analysis. Mediation analysis was conducted to evaluate the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) as a potential mediator.ResultsOver a median follow-up of 103 months, there were 535 CVD deaths and 1918 all-cause deaths. After multivariate adjustment, a U-shaped relationship was observed between the FPG/HbA1c ratio and both CVD and all-cause mortality, with threshold points at 1.080 and 1.013, respectively. Below the thresholds, the FPG/HbA1c ratio was negatively associated with CVD mortality (HR:0.200, 95% CI: 0.072, 0.559) and all-cause mortality(HR: 0.242, 95% CI: 0.118, 0.494). Above the thresholds, the ratio was positively associated with CVD mortality (HR=3.691, 95% CI: 2.011, 6.772) and all-cause mortality (HR=3.025, 95% CI: 2.279, 4.016). Mediation analysis revealed that SII mediated 19.02% of the association with CVD mortality and 8.86% with all-cause mortality (P < 0.05).ConclusionsIn the prospective cohort, the FPG/HbA1c ratio demonstrated a U-shaped association with mortality in diabetic and prediabetic adults, with SII playing a significant mediating role. These findings suggest that interventions targeting immunity and inflammation may improve clinical outcomes in these populations.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fendo.2025.1465242/fullfasting plasma glucose to glycated hemoglobin ratiomortalityimmunityinflammationdiabetes
spellingShingle Ming Yang
Qing Shangguan
Guobo Xie
Guotai Sheng
Jingqi Yang
The U-shaped association of fasting plasma glucose to HbA1c ratio with mortality in diabetic and prediabetic populations: the mediating role of systemic immune-inflammation index
Frontiers in Endocrinology
fasting plasma glucose to glycated hemoglobin ratio
mortality
immunity
inflammation
diabetes
title The U-shaped association of fasting plasma glucose to HbA1c ratio with mortality in diabetic and prediabetic populations: the mediating role of systemic immune-inflammation index
title_full The U-shaped association of fasting plasma glucose to HbA1c ratio with mortality in diabetic and prediabetic populations: the mediating role of systemic immune-inflammation index
title_fullStr The U-shaped association of fasting plasma glucose to HbA1c ratio with mortality in diabetic and prediabetic populations: the mediating role of systemic immune-inflammation index
title_full_unstemmed The U-shaped association of fasting plasma glucose to HbA1c ratio with mortality in diabetic and prediabetic populations: the mediating role of systemic immune-inflammation index
title_short The U-shaped association of fasting plasma glucose to HbA1c ratio with mortality in diabetic and prediabetic populations: the mediating role of systemic immune-inflammation index
title_sort u shaped association of fasting plasma glucose to hba1c ratio with mortality in diabetic and prediabetic populations the mediating role of systemic immune inflammation index
topic fasting plasma glucose to glycated hemoglobin ratio
mortality
immunity
inflammation
diabetes
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fendo.2025.1465242/full
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