A risk-based model for allocating post-earthquake reconstruction finance in medium-size Iranian Cities

Abstract Introduction and Background This study explores effective strategies for allocating financial resources in postearthquake urban reconstruction. Given the financial complexities of such projects, it is essential to have a structured plan to identify challenges and address potential gaps. The...

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Main Authors: Niloofar Kazemiasl, Hooman Motamed, Mohsen Fazlavi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: SpringerOpen 2025-01-01
Series:Geoenvironmental Disasters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s40677-024-00306-4
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author Niloofar Kazemiasl
Hooman Motamed
Mohsen Fazlavi
author_facet Niloofar Kazemiasl
Hooman Motamed
Mohsen Fazlavi
author_sort Niloofar Kazemiasl
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Introduction and Background This study explores effective strategies for allocating financial resources in postearthquake urban reconstruction. Given the financial complexities of such projects, it is essential to have a structured plan to identify challenges and address potential gaps. The research underscores the importance of predisaster planning in managing financial resources efficiently. Methodology District 2 of Tehran municipality was chosen as the case study due to its significant risk exposure and vulnerability, making it a suitable representation of a medium-sized urban area. The study includes two key components: seismic risk assessment and financial resource allocation. Seismic risk was modeled using computational methods and risk analysis techniques. Strategies for budget allocation were formulated based on insights from interviews, historical case studies, and computational modeling. Results Scenarios ranging from optimistic to pessimistic were analyzed to assess their impact on reconstruction timelines. Results show that reconstruction for an urban area like District 2 could be completed in 4.3 years in the optimistic scenario, 9.2 years in the probable scenario, and 11.3 years in the pessimistic scenario. Conclusion The study reveals that efficient resource allocation minimizes delays, while insufficient planning significantly prolongs recovery. These findings demonstrate the importance of pre-disaster planning and effective resource allocation in expediting recovery and improving resilience in medium-sized cities.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2197-8670
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spelling doaj-art-680f328762444d2681a730eff1e564232025-01-19T12:38:19ZengSpringerOpenGeoenvironmental Disasters2197-86702025-01-0112112710.1186/s40677-024-00306-4A risk-based model for allocating post-earthquake reconstruction finance in medium-size Iranian CitiesNiloofar Kazemiasl0Hooman Motamed1Mohsen Fazlavi2Pars University of Architecture and Art (PU)Allianz CommercialNational University of Skills (NUS)Abstract Introduction and Background This study explores effective strategies for allocating financial resources in postearthquake urban reconstruction. Given the financial complexities of such projects, it is essential to have a structured plan to identify challenges and address potential gaps. The research underscores the importance of predisaster planning in managing financial resources efficiently. Methodology District 2 of Tehran municipality was chosen as the case study due to its significant risk exposure and vulnerability, making it a suitable representation of a medium-sized urban area. The study includes two key components: seismic risk assessment and financial resource allocation. Seismic risk was modeled using computational methods and risk analysis techniques. Strategies for budget allocation were formulated based on insights from interviews, historical case studies, and computational modeling. Results Scenarios ranging from optimistic to pessimistic were analyzed to assess their impact on reconstruction timelines. Results show that reconstruction for an urban area like District 2 could be completed in 4.3 years in the optimistic scenario, 9.2 years in the probable scenario, and 11.3 years in the pessimistic scenario. Conclusion The study reveals that efficient resource allocation minimizes delays, while insufficient planning significantly prolongs recovery. These findings demonstrate the importance of pre-disaster planning and effective resource allocation in expediting recovery and improving resilience in medium-sized cities.https://doi.org/10.1186/s40677-024-00306-4Post-earthquake reconstructionFinancial resource allocationSeismic riskTehran earthquakeEarthquake loss estimationDisaster management
spellingShingle Niloofar Kazemiasl
Hooman Motamed
Mohsen Fazlavi
A risk-based model for allocating post-earthquake reconstruction finance in medium-size Iranian Cities
Geoenvironmental Disasters
Post-earthquake reconstruction
Financial resource allocation
Seismic risk
Tehran earthquake
Earthquake loss estimation
Disaster management
title A risk-based model for allocating post-earthquake reconstruction finance in medium-size Iranian Cities
title_full A risk-based model for allocating post-earthquake reconstruction finance in medium-size Iranian Cities
title_fullStr A risk-based model for allocating post-earthquake reconstruction finance in medium-size Iranian Cities
title_full_unstemmed A risk-based model for allocating post-earthquake reconstruction finance in medium-size Iranian Cities
title_short A risk-based model for allocating post-earthquake reconstruction finance in medium-size Iranian Cities
title_sort risk based model for allocating post earthquake reconstruction finance in medium size iranian cities
topic Post-earthquake reconstruction
Financial resource allocation
Seismic risk
Tehran earthquake
Earthquake loss estimation
Disaster management
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s40677-024-00306-4
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AT mohsenfazlavi ariskbasedmodelforallocatingpostearthquakereconstructionfinanceinmediumsizeiraniancities
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