Towards the Thousandth CubeSat: A Statistical Overview
CubeSats have become an interesting innovation in the space sector. Such platforms are being used for several space applications, such as education, Earth remote sensing, science, and defense. As of May 31st, 2018, 855 CubeSats had been launched. Remote sensing application is the main sector in whic...
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| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Wiley
2019-01-01
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| Series: | International Journal of Aerospace Engineering |
| Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/5063145 |
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| author | Thyrso Villela Cesar A. Costa Alessandra M. Brandão Fernando T. Bueno Rodrigo Leonardi |
| author_facet | Thyrso Villela Cesar A. Costa Alessandra M. Brandão Fernando T. Bueno Rodrigo Leonardi |
| author_sort | Thyrso Villela |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | CubeSats have become an interesting innovation in the space sector. Such platforms are being used for several space applications, such as education, Earth remote sensing, science, and defense. As of May 31st, 2018, 855 CubeSats had been launched. Remote sensing application is the main sector in which CubeSats are being used, corresponding to about 45% of all applications. This fact indicates the commercial potential of such a platform. Fifty eight countries have already been involved with developing CubeSats. The most used CubeSat configuration is 3U (about 64%), followed by 1U (18%), while 6U platforms account for about 4%. In this paper, we present an analysis of the current situation regarding CubeSats worldwide, through the use of a dataset built to encompass information about these satellites. The overall success rate of the CubeSat missions is increasing over time. Moreover, considering CubeSat missions as a Bernoulli experiment, and excluding launch failures, the current success rate was estimated, as a parameter of a binomial distribution, to be about 75%. By using a logistic model and considering that the launchings keep following the current tendency, one can expect that one thousand CubeSats will be launched in 2021, within 95% certainty. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-67c2a1638ec848aaaf7d79f419e2f060 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1687-5966 1687-5974 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2019-01-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | International Journal of Aerospace Engineering |
| spelling | doaj-art-67c2a1638ec848aaaf7d79f419e2f0602025-02-03T06:07:26ZengWileyInternational Journal of Aerospace Engineering1687-59661687-59742019-01-01201910.1155/2019/50631455063145Towards the Thousandth CubeSat: A Statistical OverviewThyrso Villela0Cesar A. Costa1Alessandra M. Brandão2Fernando T. Bueno3Rodrigo Leonardi4Centro de Gestão e Estudos Estratégicos (CGEE), SCS, Quadra 9, Torre C, 70308-200 Brasília, DF, BrazilCentro de Gestão e Estudos Estratégicos (CGEE), SCS, Quadra 9, Torre C, 70308-200 Brasília, DF, BrazilCentro de Gestão e Estudos Estratégicos (CGEE), SCS, Quadra 9, Torre C, 70308-200 Brasília, DF, BrazilCentro de Gestão e Estudos Estratégicos (CGEE), SCS, Quadra 9, Torre C, 70308-200 Brasília, DF, BrazilAgência Espacial Brasileira (AEB), Brasília, DF, BrazilCubeSats have become an interesting innovation in the space sector. Such platforms are being used for several space applications, such as education, Earth remote sensing, science, and defense. As of May 31st, 2018, 855 CubeSats had been launched. Remote sensing application is the main sector in which CubeSats are being used, corresponding to about 45% of all applications. This fact indicates the commercial potential of such a platform. Fifty eight countries have already been involved with developing CubeSats. The most used CubeSat configuration is 3U (about 64%), followed by 1U (18%), while 6U platforms account for about 4%. In this paper, we present an analysis of the current situation regarding CubeSats worldwide, through the use of a dataset built to encompass information about these satellites. The overall success rate of the CubeSat missions is increasing over time. Moreover, considering CubeSat missions as a Bernoulli experiment, and excluding launch failures, the current success rate was estimated, as a parameter of a binomial distribution, to be about 75%. By using a logistic model and considering that the launchings keep following the current tendency, one can expect that one thousand CubeSats will be launched in 2021, within 95% certainty.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/5063145 |
| spellingShingle | Thyrso Villela Cesar A. Costa Alessandra M. Brandão Fernando T. Bueno Rodrigo Leonardi Towards the Thousandth CubeSat: A Statistical Overview International Journal of Aerospace Engineering |
| title | Towards the Thousandth CubeSat: A Statistical Overview |
| title_full | Towards the Thousandth CubeSat: A Statistical Overview |
| title_fullStr | Towards the Thousandth CubeSat: A Statistical Overview |
| title_full_unstemmed | Towards the Thousandth CubeSat: A Statistical Overview |
| title_short | Towards the Thousandth CubeSat: A Statistical Overview |
| title_sort | towards the thousandth cubesat a statistical overview |
| url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2019/5063145 |
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