Modelling Climate Change Impacts on the Seasonality of Water Resources in the Upper Ca River Watershed in Southeast Asia

The impact of climate change on the seasonality of water resources in the Upper Ca River Watershed in mainland Southeast Asia was assessed using downscaled global climate models coupled with the SWAT model. The results indicated that temperature and evapotranspiration will increase in all months of...

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Main Authors: Pham Quy Giang, Kosuke Toshiki, Masahiro Sakata, Shoichi Kunikane, Tran Quoc Vinh
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2014-01-01
Series:The Scientific World Journal
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/279135
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author Pham Quy Giang
Kosuke Toshiki
Masahiro Sakata
Shoichi Kunikane
Tran Quoc Vinh
author_facet Pham Quy Giang
Kosuke Toshiki
Masahiro Sakata
Shoichi Kunikane
Tran Quoc Vinh
author_sort Pham Quy Giang
collection DOAJ
description The impact of climate change on the seasonality of water resources in the Upper Ca River Watershed in mainland Southeast Asia was assessed using downscaled global climate models coupled with the SWAT model. The results indicated that temperature and evapotranspiration will increase in all months of future years. The area could warm as much as 3.4°C in the 2090s, with an increase of annual evapotranspiration of up to 23% in the same period. We found an increase in the seasonality of precipitation (both an increase in the wet season and a decrease in the dry season). The greatest monthly increase of up to 29% and the greatest monthly decrease of up to 30% are expected in the 2090s. As a result, decreases in dry season discharge and increases in wet season discharge are expected, with a span of ±25% for the highest monthly changes in the 2090s. This is expected to exacerbate the problem of seasonally uneven distribution of water resources: a large volume of water in the wet season and a scarcity of water in the dry season, a pattern that indicates the possibility of more frequent floods in the wet season and droughts in the dry season.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2356-6140
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language English
publishDate 2014-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series The Scientific World Journal
spelling doaj-art-672872735a224f218f23acf1473ed3a32025-02-03T05:50:56ZengWileyThe Scientific World Journal2356-61401537-744X2014-01-01201410.1155/2014/279135279135Modelling Climate Change Impacts on the Seasonality of Water Resources in the Upper Ca River Watershed in Southeast AsiaPham Quy Giang0Kosuke Toshiki1Masahiro Sakata2Shoichi Kunikane3Tran Quoc Vinh4Department of Environmental and Life Sciences, University of Shizuoka, 52-1 Yada, Suruga-ku, Shizuoka-shi, Shizuoka 422-8526, JapanDepartment of Environmental and Life Sciences, University of Shizuoka, 52-1 Yada, Suruga-ku, Shizuoka-shi, Shizuoka 422-8526, JapanDepartment of Environmental and Life Sciences, University of Shizuoka, 52-1 Yada, Suruga-ku, Shizuoka-shi, Shizuoka 422-8526, JapanDepartment of Environmental and Life Sciences, University of Shizuoka, 52-1 Yada, Suruga-ku, Shizuoka-shi, Shizuoka 422-8526, JapanFaculty of Land Management, Vietnam National University of Agriculture, Hanoi 131000, VietnamThe impact of climate change on the seasonality of water resources in the Upper Ca River Watershed in mainland Southeast Asia was assessed using downscaled global climate models coupled with the SWAT model. The results indicated that temperature and evapotranspiration will increase in all months of future years. The area could warm as much as 3.4°C in the 2090s, with an increase of annual evapotranspiration of up to 23% in the same period. We found an increase in the seasonality of precipitation (both an increase in the wet season and a decrease in the dry season). The greatest monthly increase of up to 29% and the greatest monthly decrease of up to 30% are expected in the 2090s. As a result, decreases in dry season discharge and increases in wet season discharge are expected, with a span of ±25% for the highest monthly changes in the 2090s. This is expected to exacerbate the problem of seasonally uneven distribution of water resources: a large volume of water in the wet season and a scarcity of water in the dry season, a pattern that indicates the possibility of more frequent floods in the wet season and droughts in the dry season.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/279135
spellingShingle Pham Quy Giang
Kosuke Toshiki
Masahiro Sakata
Shoichi Kunikane
Tran Quoc Vinh
Modelling Climate Change Impacts on the Seasonality of Water Resources in the Upper Ca River Watershed in Southeast Asia
The Scientific World Journal
title Modelling Climate Change Impacts on the Seasonality of Water Resources in the Upper Ca River Watershed in Southeast Asia
title_full Modelling Climate Change Impacts on the Seasonality of Water Resources in the Upper Ca River Watershed in Southeast Asia
title_fullStr Modelling Climate Change Impacts on the Seasonality of Water Resources in the Upper Ca River Watershed in Southeast Asia
title_full_unstemmed Modelling Climate Change Impacts on the Seasonality of Water Resources in the Upper Ca River Watershed in Southeast Asia
title_short Modelling Climate Change Impacts on the Seasonality of Water Resources in the Upper Ca River Watershed in Southeast Asia
title_sort modelling climate change impacts on the seasonality of water resources in the upper ca river watershed in southeast asia
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2014/279135
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