Evaluating Proton Intensities for the SMILE Mission

Abstract This study introduces five linear regression models developed to accurately predict proton intensities in the critical energy range of 92.2–159.7 keV. To achieve this task we utilized 14 years of data sourced from the Cluster's RAPID experiment and NASA's OMNI database. This data...

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Main Authors: Simon Mischel, Elena A. Kronberg, C. P. Escoubet
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-12-01
Series:Space Weather
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024SW003934
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author Simon Mischel
Elena A. Kronberg
C. P. Escoubet
author_facet Simon Mischel
Elena A. Kronberg
C. P. Escoubet
author_sort Simon Mischel
collection DOAJ
description Abstract This study introduces five linear regression models developed to accurately predict proton intensities in the critical energy range of 92.2–159.7 keV. To achieve this task we utilized 14 years of data sourced from the Cluster's RAPID experiment and NASA's OMNI database. This data was then aligned with the Solar wind‐Magnetosphere‐Ionosphere Link Explorer (SMILE) mission's trajectory, to increase model accuracy in the relevant regions. Our approach diverges from existing methodologies by offering a user‐friendly model that doesn't require specialized software, making it accessible for broader applications in satellite mission planning and risk assessment. The research segregates the data set into four distinct regions, each analyzed for proton intensity dynamics. In the outer regions (|YGSE|≥6RE) there is a pronounced dependence on radial distance and solar wind speed. In contrast, the inner regions (|YGSE|≤6RE) demonstrate a significant dependence of proton intensities on the absolute value of the z‐coordinate and the magnetic field line topology. Our models achieved a Spearman correlation ranging from 0.57 to 0.72 on the test set, indicating good predictive capabilities. The findings emphasize the role of regional characteristics in space weather prediction and underscore the potential for tailored approaches in future research.
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spelling doaj-art-64d15f6b13db44129eb0432b223f46132025-02-01T08:10:32ZengWileySpace Weather1542-73902024-12-012212n/an/a10.1029/2024SW003934Evaluating Proton Intensities for the SMILE MissionSimon Mischel0Elena A. Kronberg1C. P. Escoubet2Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences Ludwig‐Maximilians‐Universität München Munich GermanyDepartment of Earth and Environmental Sciences Ludwig‐Maximilians‐Universität München Munich GermanyEuropean Space Research and Technology Centre Noordwjik The NetherlandsAbstract This study introduces five linear regression models developed to accurately predict proton intensities in the critical energy range of 92.2–159.7 keV. To achieve this task we utilized 14 years of data sourced from the Cluster's RAPID experiment and NASA's OMNI database. This data was then aligned with the Solar wind‐Magnetosphere‐Ionosphere Link Explorer (SMILE) mission's trajectory, to increase model accuracy in the relevant regions. Our approach diverges from existing methodologies by offering a user‐friendly model that doesn't require specialized software, making it accessible for broader applications in satellite mission planning and risk assessment. The research segregates the data set into four distinct regions, each analyzed for proton intensity dynamics. In the outer regions (|YGSE|≥6RE) there is a pronounced dependence on radial distance and solar wind speed. In contrast, the inner regions (|YGSE|≤6RE) demonstrate a significant dependence of proton intensities on the absolute value of the z‐coordinate and the magnetic field line topology. Our models achieved a Spearman correlation ranging from 0.57 to 0.72 on the test set, indicating good predictive capabilities. The findings emphasize the role of regional characteristics in space weather prediction and underscore the potential for tailored approaches in future research.https://doi.org/10.1029/2024SW003934X‐ray telescopesX‐ray detectorsproton intensitieslinear regressionmachine learning
spellingShingle Simon Mischel
Elena A. Kronberg
C. P. Escoubet
Evaluating Proton Intensities for the SMILE Mission
Space Weather
X‐ray telescopes
X‐ray detectors
proton intensities
linear regression
machine learning
title Evaluating Proton Intensities for the SMILE Mission
title_full Evaluating Proton Intensities for the SMILE Mission
title_fullStr Evaluating Proton Intensities for the SMILE Mission
title_full_unstemmed Evaluating Proton Intensities for the SMILE Mission
title_short Evaluating Proton Intensities for the SMILE Mission
title_sort evaluating proton intensities for the smile mission
topic X‐ray telescopes
X‐ray detectors
proton intensities
linear regression
machine learning
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2024SW003934
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AT elenaakronberg evaluatingprotonintensitiesforthesmilemission
AT cpescoubet evaluatingprotonintensitiesforthesmilemission