Inspection of temperature alteration and it’s prediction possibility in Ardebil province using statistical analysis and adaptive neuro -fuzzy inference system

Temperature alteration plays special role as one of the most basic climate elements. So inspection of temperature alteration and anticipation has scientific- applied magnitude. In this study inspection of several cases of statistical characteristics of monthly­ average, maximum and minimum temperatu...

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Language:fas
Published: Kharazmi University 2016-09-01
Series:تحقیقات کاربردی علوم جغرافیایی
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Online Access:http://jgs.khu.ac.ir/article-1-2686-en.pdf
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description Temperature alteration plays special role as one of the most basic climate elements. So inspection of temperature alteration and anticipation has scientific- applied magnitude. In this study inspection of several cases of statistical characteristics of monthly­ average, maximum and minimum temperature and illumination of their alteration method­, temperatures predictability by ANFIS is evaluated­. Applied data is over 288 months during 24 years of statistical period since January of 1987 until December of 2010 through synoptic stations of Pars Abad, Ardebil and Khalkhal. According to equations of data lineal process­, lineal process of temperatures through all of the stations is positive and­ additive­. Lineal process gradient in minimum temperature is more than other­ maximum and average temperature. Less amplitude more variance and standard aviation and­­ data ­predictability is more. According to present article adaptive Neuro – fuzzy inference system mostly has acceptable function through anticipation of monthly minimum, maximum and average temperature in the stations of Ardebil province.
format Article
id doaj-art-5fa5ebd1fa824e0eab46396015d8b7bc
institution Kabale University
issn 2228-7736
2588-5138
language fas
publishDate 2016-09-01
publisher Kharazmi University
record_format Article
series تحقیقات کاربردی علوم جغرافیایی
spelling doaj-art-5fa5ebd1fa824e0eab46396015d8b7bc2025-01-31T17:23:18ZfasKharazmi Universityتحقیقات کاربردی علوم جغرافیایی2228-77362588-51382016-09-0116422740Inspection of temperature alteration and it’s prediction possibility in Ardebil province using statistical analysis and adaptive neuro -fuzzy inference system01 Temperature alteration plays special role as one of the most basic climate elements. So inspection of temperature alteration and anticipation has scientific- applied magnitude. In this study inspection of several cases of statistical characteristics of monthly­ average, maximum and minimum temperature and illumination of their alteration method­, temperatures predictability by ANFIS is evaluated­. Applied data is over 288 months during 24 years of statistical period since January of 1987 until December of 2010 through synoptic stations of Pars Abad, Ardebil and Khalkhal. According to equations of data lineal process­, lineal process of temperatures through all of the stations is positive and­ additive­. Lineal process gradient in minimum temperature is more than other­ maximum and average temperature. Less amplitude more variance and standard aviation and­­ data ­predictability is more. According to present article adaptive Neuro – fuzzy inference system mostly has acceptable function through anticipation of monthly minimum, maximum and average temperature in the stations of Ardebil province.http://jgs.khu.ac.ir/article-1-2686-en.pdftemperature alterationpredictionanfisardabil province.
spellingShingle Inspection of temperature alteration and it’s prediction possibility in Ardebil province using statistical analysis and adaptive neuro -fuzzy inference system
تحقیقات کاربردی علوم جغرافیایی
temperature alteration
prediction
anfis
ardabil province.
title Inspection of temperature alteration and it’s prediction possibility in Ardebil province using statistical analysis and adaptive neuro -fuzzy inference system
title_full Inspection of temperature alteration and it’s prediction possibility in Ardebil province using statistical analysis and adaptive neuro -fuzzy inference system
title_fullStr Inspection of temperature alteration and it’s prediction possibility in Ardebil province using statistical analysis and adaptive neuro -fuzzy inference system
title_full_unstemmed Inspection of temperature alteration and it’s prediction possibility in Ardebil province using statistical analysis and adaptive neuro -fuzzy inference system
title_short Inspection of temperature alteration and it’s prediction possibility in Ardebil province using statistical analysis and adaptive neuro -fuzzy inference system
title_sort inspection of temperature alteration and it s prediction possibility in ardebil province using statistical analysis and adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system
topic temperature alteration
prediction
anfis
ardabil province.
url http://jgs.khu.ac.ir/article-1-2686-en.pdf