An Analysis of the Economic Impact of US Presidential Elections Based on Principal Component and Logical Regression

Economy is one of the major issues in the United States presidential election campaign. In order to investigate the impact of the US presidential election on the economy, this paper first constructs an analysis model of the economic impact on the United States based on stepwise regression and princi...

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Main Authors: Jing-Jing Wang, Yan Liang, Jin-Tao Su, Jia-Ming Zhu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2021-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/5593967
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author Jing-Jing Wang
Yan Liang
Jin-Tao Su
Jia-Ming Zhu
author_facet Jing-Jing Wang
Yan Liang
Jin-Tao Su
Jia-Ming Zhu
author_sort Jing-Jing Wang
collection DOAJ
description Economy is one of the major issues in the United States presidential election campaign. In order to investigate the impact of the US presidential election on the economy, this paper first constructs an analysis model of the economic impact on the United States based on stepwise regression and principal component analysis to analyze the focus of different candidates’ attention on the economic issues and its possible impact on the US economy in the election year and after the election; secondly, a Chinese economic impact analysis model based on factor analysis and machine learning logistic regression was constructed to analyze the impact of the US presidential election on the Chinese economy. At the same time, the future economic development of the United States and China based on the time series prediction model is forecast and analyzed, respectively. Finally, the countermeasures and policy suggestions on China’s related economic development are put forward.
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institution Kabale University
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publishDate 2021-01-01
publisher Wiley
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series Complexity
spelling doaj-art-5f7c1dac83b04769b617709459c23d4f2025-02-03T05:52:27ZengWileyComplexity1076-27871099-05262021-01-01202110.1155/2021/55939675593967An Analysis of the Economic Impact of US Presidential Elections Based on Principal Component and Logical RegressionJing-Jing Wang0Yan Liang1Jin-Tao Su2Jia-Ming Zhu3School of Foreign Languages, Soochow University, Suzhou 215006, ChinaInstitute of Finance, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu 233030, ChinaInstitute of Finance, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu 233030, ChinaInstitute of Quantitative Economics, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu 233030, ChinaEconomy is one of the major issues in the United States presidential election campaign. In order to investigate the impact of the US presidential election on the economy, this paper first constructs an analysis model of the economic impact on the United States based on stepwise regression and principal component analysis to analyze the focus of different candidates’ attention on the economic issues and its possible impact on the US economy in the election year and after the election; secondly, a Chinese economic impact analysis model based on factor analysis and machine learning logistic regression was constructed to analyze the impact of the US presidential election on the Chinese economy. At the same time, the future economic development of the United States and China based on the time series prediction model is forecast and analyzed, respectively. Finally, the countermeasures and policy suggestions on China’s related economic development are put forward.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/5593967
spellingShingle Jing-Jing Wang
Yan Liang
Jin-Tao Su
Jia-Ming Zhu
An Analysis of the Economic Impact of US Presidential Elections Based on Principal Component and Logical Regression
Complexity
title An Analysis of the Economic Impact of US Presidential Elections Based on Principal Component and Logical Regression
title_full An Analysis of the Economic Impact of US Presidential Elections Based on Principal Component and Logical Regression
title_fullStr An Analysis of the Economic Impact of US Presidential Elections Based on Principal Component and Logical Regression
title_full_unstemmed An Analysis of the Economic Impact of US Presidential Elections Based on Principal Component and Logical Regression
title_short An Analysis of the Economic Impact of US Presidential Elections Based on Principal Component and Logical Regression
title_sort analysis of the economic impact of us presidential elections based on principal component and logical regression
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2021/5593967
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