Monitoring and Simulation of Dynamic Spatiotemporal Land Use/Cover Changes

Changes in land use/cover are among the most prominent impacts that humans have on the environment. Therefore, exploring land use/cover change is of great significance to urban planning and sustainable development. In this study, we preprocessed multiperiod land use and socioeconomic data, combined...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Andong Guo, Yuqing Zhang, Qing Hao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2020-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/3547323
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1832546876461678592
author Andong Guo
Yuqing Zhang
Qing Hao
author_facet Andong Guo
Yuqing Zhang
Qing Hao
author_sort Andong Guo
collection DOAJ
description Changes in land use/cover are among the most prominent impacts that humans have on the environment. Therefore, exploring land use/cover change is of great significance to urban planning and sustainable development. In this study, we preprocessed multiperiod land use and socioeconomic data, combined with spatial zoning, multilayer perception (MLP) artificial neural network, and Markov chain (MC), to construct a cellular automaton model of spatial zoning. Moreover, with the help of ArcGIS 10.2 and TerrSet 18.07 software, we explore the current status of land use and predict future changes. The results showed that drastic changes have occurred among different land use classes in Jinzhou District over the past 13 years owing to the impact of economic development and reclamation projects. Construction land, arable land, and waters have changed by +85.09, −24.42, and −23.62 km2, respectively. By comparing the FoM and Kappa coefficients, we concluded that the prediction accuracy of partitioned MLP-MC is better than that of unpartitioned MLP-MC. Therefore, using the spatial zoning approach to identify the conversion rules among land use classes in different zones can more effectively predict future land use changes and provide a reference for urban planning and policy making.
format Article
id doaj-art-5e039230f24d4e7ea2cca7c4bd2120b5
institution Kabale University
issn 1076-2787
1099-0526
language English
publishDate 2020-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Complexity
spelling doaj-art-5e039230f24d4e7ea2cca7c4bd2120b52025-02-03T06:46:46ZengWileyComplexity1076-27871099-05262020-01-01202010.1155/2020/35473233547323Monitoring and Simulation of Dynamic Spatiotemporal Land Use/Cover ChangesAndong Guo0Yuqing Zhang1Qing Hao2Human Settlements Research Center, Liaoning Normal University, 116029 Dalian, ChinaHuman Settlements Research Center, Liaoning Normal University, 116029 Dalian, ChinaInstitute of Ecological Civilization Study, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing, ChinaChanges in land use/cover are among the most prominent impacts that humans have on the environment. Therefore, exploring land use/cover change is of great significance to urban planning and sustainable development. In this study, we preprocessed multiperiod land use and socioeconomic data, combined with spatial zoning, multilayer perception (MLP) artificial neural network, and Markov chain (MC), to construct a cellular automaton model of spatial zoning. Moreover, with the help of ArcGIS 10.2 and TerrSet 18.07 software, we explore the current status of land use and predict future changes. The results showed that drastic changes have occurred among different land use classes in Jinzhou District over the past 13 years owing to the impact of economic development and reclamation projects. Construction land, arable land, and waters have changed by +85.09, −24.42, and −23.62 km2, respectively. By comparing the FoM and Kappa coefficients, we concluded that the prediction accuracy of partitioned MLP-MC is better than that of unpartitioned MLP-MC. Therefore, using the spatial zoning approach to identify the conversion rules among land use classes in different zones can more effectively predict future land use changes and provide a reference for urban planning and policy making.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/3547323
spellingShingle Andong Guo
Yuqing Zhang
Qing Hao
Monitoring and Simulation of Dynamic Spatiotemporal Land Use/Cover Changes
Complexity
title Monitoring and Simulation of Dynamic Spatiotemporal Land Use/Cover Changes
title_full Monitoring and Simulation of Dynamic Spatiotemporal Land Use/Cover Changes
title_fullStr Monitoring and Simulation of Dynamic Spatiotemporal Land Use/Cover Changes
title_full_unstemmed Monitoring and Simulation of Dynamic Spatiotemporal Land Use/Cover Changes
title_short Monitoring and Simulation of Dynamic Spatiotemporal Land Use/Cover Changes
title_sort monitoring and simulation of dynamic spatiotemporal land use cover changes
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/3547323
work_keys_str_mv AT andongguo monitoringandsimulationofdynamicspatiotemporallandusecoverchanges
AT yuqingzhang monitoringandsimulationofdynamicspatiotemporallandusecoverchanges
AT qinghao monitoringandsimulationofdynamicspatiotemporallandusecoverchanges