Robust Traffic Signal Retiming Based on Queue Service Time Estimation Using Low-Penetration Connected Vehicle Data

Signal retiming is the most cost-efficient measure to reduce vehicle delay and alleviate congestion on urban roads. Previous studies have explored the potential of using connected vehicle data for signal retiming specifically under the current low-penetration environment, which will significantly re...

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Main Authors: Chengchuan An, Weihua Zhang, Yinpu Wang, Siping Ke, Jingxin Xia
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-12-01
Series:Systems
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/13/1/15
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author Chengchuan An
Weihua Zhang
Yinpu Wang
Siping Ke
Jingxin Xia
author_facet Chengchuan An
Weihua Zhang
Yinpu Wang
Siping Ke
Jingxin Xia
author_sort Chengchuan An
collection DOAJ
description Signal retiming is the most cost-efficient measure to reduce vehicle delay and alleviate congestion on urban roads. Previous studies have explored the potential of using connected vehicle data for signal retiming specifically under the current low-penetration environment, which will significantly reduce the cost and increase the productivity of signal retiming. However, the existing methods are mostly deterministic and do not well consider the uncertainty in both traffic demand and capacity. This compromises their robustness in a real application. In this study, a novel traffic state measure—queue service time (QST)—is introduced and used as the only input to generate a robust signal plan at isolated intersections for a time-of-day period. First, a Bayesian-based model is proposed to estimate the QST distribution by collectively using the lower and upper boundary observations reported by connected vehicles. Then, a goal programming-based signal optimization model is formulated using quantiles of QST as input, which accounts for the combined uncertainty in both traffic demand and capacity. Simulation experiments validate the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed method. It is shown that the proposed QST estimation model is reliable to use under a penetration rate as low as 0.05 and can effectively estimate the actual distribution in both under- and oversaturation conditions. Compared with a demand-based method that only accounts for uncertainty in traffic demand, the proposed QST-based signal timing optimization method shows its superiority in reducing the occurrence of oversaturation or phase failure, as well as enhancing performance against the worst cases.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2079-8954
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publisher MDPI AG
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spelling doaj-art-5cb4fbdacf064506acddce6003fb1ee12025-01-24T13:50:29ZengMDPI AGSystems2079-89542024-12-011311510.3390/systems13010015Robust Traffic Signal Retiming Based on Queue Service Time Estimation Using Low-Penetration Connected Vehicle DataChengchuan An0Weihua Zhang1Yinpu Wang2Siping Ke3Jingxin Xia4Intelligent Transportation System Research Center, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, ChinaIntelligent Transportation System Research Center, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, ChinaIntelligent Transportation System Research Center, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, ChinaIntelligent Transportation System Research Center, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, ChinaIntelligent Transportation System Research Center, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, ChinaSignal retiming is the most cost-efficient measure to reduce vehicle delay and alleviate congestion on urban roads. Previous studies have explored the potential of using connected vehicle data for signal retiming specifically under the current low-penetration environment, which will significantly reduce the cost and increase the productivity of signal retiming. However, the existing methods are mostly deterministic and do not well consider the uncertainty in both traffic demand and capacity. This compromises their robustness in a real application. In this study, a novel traffic state measure—queue service time (QST)—is introduced and used as the only input to generate a robust signal plan at isolated intersections for a time-of-day period. First, a Bayesian-based model is proposed to estimate the QST distribution by collectively using the lower and upper boundary observations reported by connected vehicles. Then, a goal programming-based signal optimization model is formulated using quantiles of QST as input, which accounts for the combined uncertainty in both traffic demand and capacity. Simulation experiments validate the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed method. It is shown that the proposed QST estimation model is reliable to use under a penetration rate as low as 0.05 and can effectively estimate the actual distribution in both under- and oversaturation conditions. Compared with a demand-based method that only accounts for uncertainty in traffic demand, the proposed QST-based signal timing optimization method shows its superiority in reducing the occurrence of oversaturation or phase failure, as well as enhancing performance against the worst cases.https://www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/13/1/15connected vehiclevehicle trajectory dataqueue service timelow penetration raterobust signal retiming
spellingShingle Chengchuan An
Weihua Zhang
Yinpu Wang
Siping Ke
Jingxin Xia
Robust Traffic Signal Retiming Based on Queue Service Time Estimation Using Low-Penetration Connected Vehicle Data
Systems
connected vehicle
vehicle trajectory data
queue service time
low penetration rate
robust signal retiming
title Robust Traffic Signal Retiming Based on Queue Service Time Estimation Using Low-Penetration Connected Vehicle Data
title_full Robust Traffic Signal Retiming Based on Queue Service Time Estimation Using Low-Penetration Connected Vehicle Data
title_fullStr Robust Traffic Signal Retiming Based on Queue Service Time Estimation Using Low-Penetration Connected Vehicle Data
title_full_unstemmed Robust Traffic Signal Retiming Based on Queue Service Time Estimation Using Low-Penetration Connected Vehicle Data
title_short Robust Traffic Signal Retiming Based on Queue Service Time Estimation Using Low-Penetration Connected Vehicle Data
title_sort robust traffic signal retiming based on queue service time estimation using low penetration connected vehicle data
topic connected vehicle
vehicle trajectory data
queue service time
low penetration rate
robust signal retiming
url https://www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/13/1/15
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AT weihuazhang robusttrafficsignalretimingbasedonqueueservicetimeestimationusinglowpenetrationconnectedvehicledata
AT yinpuwang robusttrafficsignalretimingbasedonqueueservicetimeestimationusinglowpenetrationconnectedvehicledata
AT sipingke robusttrafficsignalretimingbasedonqueueservicetimeestimationusinglowpenetrationconnectedvehicledata
AT jingxinxia robusttrafficsignalretimingbasedonqueueservicetimeestimationusinglowpenetrationconnectedvehicledata