Credit Risk Contagion Based on Asymmetric Information Association

The study of the contagion law of credit risk is very important for financial market supervision. The existing credit risk contagion models based on complex network theory assume that the information between individuals in the network is symmetrical and analyze the proportion of the individuals infe...

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Main Authors: Shanshan Jiang, Hong Fan, Min Xia
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2018-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/2929157
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author Shanshan Jiang
Hong Fan
Min Xia
author_facet Shanshan Jiang
Hong Fan
Min Xia
author_sort Shanshan Jiang
collection DOAJ
description The study of the contagion law of credit risk is very important for financial market supervision. The existing credit risk contagion models based on complex network theory assume that the information between individuals in the network is symmetrical and analyze the proportion of the individuals infected by the credit risk from a macro perspective. However, how individuals are infected from a microscopic perspective is not clear, besides the level of the infection of the individuals is characterized by only two states: completely infected or not infected, which is not realistic. In this paper, a credit risk contagion model based on asymmetric information association is proposed. The model can effectively describe the correlation among individuals with credit risk. The model can analyze how the risk individuals are infected in the network and can effectively reflect the risk contagion degree of the individual. This paper further analyzes the influence of network structure, information association, individual risk attitude, financial market supervision intensity, and individual risk resisting ability on individual risk contagion. The correctness of the model is verified by theoretical deduction and numerical simulation.
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spelling doaj-art-5b22a70cc530419494a94307a2b07e9e2025-02-03T01:24:14ZengWileyComplexity1076-27871099-05262018-01-01201810.1155/2018/29291572929157Credit Risk Contagion Based on Asymmetric Information AssociationShanshan Jiang0Hong Fan1Min Xia2Glorious Sun School of Business and Management, Donghua University, Shanghai 200051, ChinaGlorious Sun School of Business and Management, Donghua University, Shanghai 200051, ChinaJiangsu Key Laboratory of Big Data Analysis Technology, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, ChinaThe study of the contagion law of credit risk is very important for financial market supervision. The existing credit risk contagion models based on complex network theory assume that the information between individuals in the network is symmetrical and analyze the proportion of the individuals infected by the credit risk from a macro perspective. However, how individuals are infected from a microscopic perspective is not clear, besides the level of the infection of the individuals is characterized by only two states: completely infected or not infected, which is not realistic. In this paper, a credit risk contagion model based on asymmetric information association is proposed. The model can effectively describe the correlation among individuals with credit risk. The model can analyze how the risk individuals are infected in the network and can effectively reflect the risk contagion degree of the individual. This paper further analyzes the influence of network structure, information association, individual risk attitude, financial market supervision intensity, and individual risk resisting ability on individual risk contagion. The correctness of the model is verified by theoretical deduction and numerical simulation.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/2929157
spellingShingle Shanshan Jiang
Hong Fan
Min Xia
Credit Risk Contagion Based on Asymmetric Information Association
Complexity
title Credit Risk Contagion Based on Asymmetric Information Association
title_full Credit Risk Contagion Based on Asymmetric Information Association
title_fullStr Credit Risk Contagion Based on Asymmetric Information Association
title_full_unstemmed Credit Risk Contagion Based on Asymmetric Information Association
title_short Credit Risk Contagion Based on Asymmetric Information Association
title_sort credit risk contagion based on asymmetric information association
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/2929157
work_keys_str_mv AT shanshanjiang creditriskcontagionbasedonasymmetricinformationassociation
AT hongfan creditriskcontagionbasedonasymmetricinformationassociation
AT minxia creditriskcontagionbasedonasymmetricinformationassociation