Comparative Analysis on Propagation Effects of Flight Delays: A Case Study of China Airlines

This paper aims to capture the interdependency among the sequence of flight delays due to airline operations in airports, weather, and air traffic control conditions. A copula function is used to determine the distribution of delay sequence and examine the propagation effects. Using the actual data...

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Main Authors: Weiwei Wu, Cheng-Lung Wu, Tao Feng, Haoyu Zhang, Shuping Qiu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2018-01-01
Series:Journal of Advanced Transportation
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/5236798
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author Weiwei Wu
Cheng-Lung Wu
Tao Feng
Haoyu Zhang
Shuping Qiu
author_facet Weiwei Wu
Cheng-Lung Wu
Tao Feng
Haoyu Zhang
Shuping Qiu
author_sort Weiwei Wu
collection DOAJ
description This paper aims to capture the interdependency among the sequence of flight delays due to airline operations in airports, weather, and air traffic control conditions. A copula function is used to determine the distribution of delay sequence and examine the propagation effects. Using the actual data sourced from an airline in Asia Pacific region, it is found that flight delays could propagate to downstream airports/airlines, where the strength of delays was decreased, passed on, or increased. Considering the possible effects of increased delays under air traffic control or airline factors, scenarios that adjust flight schedules with additional buffer time were created and analyzed. Results show that, by adding buffer time efficiently, flight schedules can become more reliable.
format Article
id doaj-art-5853675b51e5483d8e2bb6306af1be41
institution Kabale University
issn 0197-6729
2042-3195
language English
publishDate 2018-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Journal of Advanced Transportation
spelling doaj-art-5853675b51e5483d8e2bb6306af1be412025-02-03T01:10:04ZengWileyJournal of Advanced Transportation0197-67292042-31952018-01-01201810.1155/2018/52367985236798Comparative Analysis on Propagation Effects of Flight Delays: A Case Study of China AirlinesWeiwei Wu0Cheng-Lung Wu1Tao Feng2Haoyu Zhang3Shuping Qiu4College of Civil Aviation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210016, ChinaSchool of Aviation, UNSW Sydney, Kensington, NSW 2052, AustraliaDepartment of the Built Environment, Eindhoven University of Technology, 5600 MB Eindhoven, NetherlandsCollege of Civil Aviation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210016, ChinaCollege of Civil Aviation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, Jiangsu 210016, ChinaThis paper aims to capture the interdependency among the sequence of flight delays due to airline operations in airports, weather, and air traffic control conditions. A copula function is used to determine the distribution of delay sequence and examine the propagation effects. Using the actual data sourced from an airline in Asia Pacific region, it is found that flight delays could propagate to downstream airports/airlines, where the strength of delays was decreased, passed on, or increased. Considering the possible effects of increased delays under air traffic control or airline factors, scenarios that adjust flight schedules with additional buffer time were created and analyzed. Results show that, by adding buffer time efficiently, flight schedules can become more reliable.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/5236798
spellingShingle Weiwei Wu
Cheng-Lung Wu
Tao Feng
Haoyu Zhang
Shuping Qiu
Comparative Analysis on Propagation Effects of Flight Delays: A Case Study of China Airlines
Journal of Advanced Transportation
title Comparative Analysis on Propagation Effects of Flight Delays: A Case Study of China Airlines
title_full Comparative Analysis on Propagation Effects of Flight Delays: A Case Study of China Airlines
title_fullStr Comparative Analysis on Propagation Effects of Flight Delays: A Case Study of China Airlines
title_full_unstemmed Comparative Analysis on Propagation Effects of Flight Delays: A Case Study of China Airlines
title_short Comparative Analysis on Propagation Effects of Flight Delays: A Case Study of China Airlines
title_sort comparative analysis on propagation effects of flight delays a case study of china airlines
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/5236798
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AT chenglungwu comparativeanalysisonpropagationeffectsofflightdelaysacasestudyofchinaairlines
AT taofeng comparativeanalysisonpropagationeffectsofflightdelaysacasestudyofchinaairlines
AT haoyuzhang comparativeanalysisonpropagationeffectsofflightdelaysacasestudyofchinaairlines
AT shupingqiu comparativeanalysisonpropagationeffectsofflightdelaysacasestudyofchinaairlines