The Middle East Shiite Arc: A Real Threat or Geopolitical Chimera?

The term Shiite Crescent, or Shiite Arc, is becoming increasingly popular in political and academic discourse as well as in the media. It is used to indicate a threat allegedly posed by an alliance of states and forces dependent on Iran. However, there is no consensus on who the exact members of the...

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Main Author: A. V. Sarabiev
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Moscow University Press 2020-11-01
Series:Вестник Московского Университета. Серия XXV: Международные отношения и мировая политика
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Online Access:https://fmp.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/13
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author A. V. Sarabiev
author_facet A. V. Sarabiev
author_sort A. V. Sarabiev
collection DOAJ
description The term Shiite Crescent, or Shiite Arc, is becoming increasingly popular in political and academic discourse as well as in the media. It is used to indicate a threat allegedly posed by an alliance of states and forces dependent on Iran. However, there is no consensus on who the exact members of the alliance are. Since the basic criteria of membership in the alliance are the allegiance to Iran and the commitment to Shia Islam it can be expanded to include Iraq, Syria, Lebanese Hezbollah, and sometimes the Shiite forces of Bahrain and even Yemen. The relevance of this agenda peaks with the outbursts of anti-Iranian rhetoric as it was the case in the spring and early summer of 2019. Meanwhile, is the author emphasizes that the concept of the Shiite Arc contains a number of fundamental errors in terms of both methodological premises and the logic of reasoning. Particularly, the author argues that since this concept is based on a dialectic method it cannot be regarded as an appropriate tool for assessing or forecasting the development of the regional processes. On the one hand, the application of this method may entail artificial extrapolation of foreign political culture and assessment criteria in regional realities. For example, the author stresses that Middle Eastern civilizational antinomies can hardly be understood within the framework of the Western political thought as they represent contraries but not contradictions. Ignoring this fact leads to artificial fueling of regional conflicts and controversies. On the other hand, the dialectic method tends to create new, and speculative, fault lines in the region. The author concludes that from the outset the concept of Shiite Arc is founded on an erroneous theoretical ground and therefore is methodologically untenable. Meanwhile, the author stresses that in the current international conditions this concept turned out to be a popular propaganda construct paradoxically suitable to Iran, as well as to its opponents. The concept of the Shiite Arc appears to be an enabling ideology for a new stage of military and political confrontation which may cause more suffering to peoples of the Middle East.
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spelling doaj-art-56b88303d10f4934a1fb442288c69ddb2025-02-02T11:10:30ZengMoscow University PressВестник Московского Университета. Серия XXV: Международные отношения и мировая политика2076-74042020-11-01112396412The Middle East Shiite Arc: A Real Threat or Geopolitical Chimera?A. V. Sarabiev0Institute of Oriental StudiesThe term Shiite Crescent, or Shiite Arc, is becoming increasingly popular in political and academic discourse as well as in the media. It is used to indicate a threat allegedly posed by an alliance of states and forces dependent on Iran. However, there is no consensus on who the exact members of the alliance are. Since the basic criteria of membership in the alliance are the allegiance to Iran and the commitment to Shia Islam it can be expanded to include Iraq, Syria, Lebanese Hezbollah, and sometimes the Shiite forces of Bahrain and even Yemen. The relevance of this agenda peaks with the outbursts of anti-Iranian rhetoric as it was the case in the spring and early summer of 2019. Meanwhile, is the author emphasizes that the concept of the Shiite Arc contains a number of fundamental errors in terms of both methodological premises and the logic of reasoning. Particularly, the author argues that since this concept is based on a dialectic method it cannot be regarded as an appropriate tool for assessing or forecasting the development of the regional processes. On the one hand, the application of this method may entail artificial extrapolation of foreign political culture and assessment criteria in regional realities. For example, the author stresses that Middle Eastern civilizational antinomies can hardly be understood within the framework of the Western political thought as they represent contraries but not contradictions. Ignoring this fact leads to artificial fueling of regional conflicts and controversies. On the other hand, the dialectic method tends to create new, and speculative, fault lines in the region. The author concludes that from the outset the concept of Shiite Arc is founded on an erroneous theoretical ground and therefore is methodologically untenable. Meanwhile, the author stresses that in the current international conditions this concept turned out to be a popular propaganda construct paradoxically suitable to Iran, as well as to its opponents. The concept of the Shiite Arc appears to be an enabling ideology for a new stage of military and political confrontation which may cause more suffering to peoples of the Middle East.https://fmp.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/13the middle eastshiite crescentshiite arcsunni-shiite conflictmilitary regional conflictsexternal interventionpropagandaa dialectical methodiraniraqsyrialebanonhezbollah
spellingShingle A. V. Sarabiev
The Middle East Shiite Arc: A Real Threat or Geopolitical Chimera?
Вестник Московского Университета. Серия XXV: Международные отношения и мировая политика
the middle east
shiite crescent
shiite arc
sunni-shiite conflict
military regional conflicts
external intervention
propaganda
a dialectical method
iran
iraq
syria
lebanon
hezbollah
title The Middle East Shiite Arc: A Real Threat or Geopolitical Chimera?
title_full The Middle East Shiite Arc: A Real Threat or Geopolitical Chimera?
title_fullStr The Middle East Shiite Arc: A Real Threat or Geopolitical Chimera?
title_full_unstemmed The Middle East Shiite Arc: A Real Threat or Geopolitical Chimera?
title_short The Middle East Shiite Arc: A Real Threat or Geopolitical Chimera?
title_sort middle east shiite arc a real threat or geopolitical chimera
topic the middle east
shiite crescent
shiite arc
sunni-shiite conflict
military regional conflicts
external intervention
propaganda
a dialectical method
iran
iraq
syria
lebanon
hezbollah
url https://fmp.elpub.ru/jour/article/view/13
work_keys_str_mv AT avsarabiev themiddleeastshiitearcarealthreatorgeopoliticalchimera
AT avsarabiev middleeastshiitearcarealthreatorgeopoliticalchimera