A Novel Hybrid Model for Credit Risk Assessment of Supply Chain Finance Based on Topological Data Analysis and Graph Neural Network

Supply Chain Finance (SCF) in the energy sector has emerged as a critical area of focus due to the need for sustainable and efficient financial solutions to manage the complex interactions between various stakeholders, including suppliers, financial institutions, and energy companies. This study pro...

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Main Authors: Kosar Farajpour Mojdehi, Babak Amiri, Amirali Haddadi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IEEE 2025-01-01
Series:IEEE Access
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10838507/
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author Kosar Farajpour Mojdehi
Babak Amiri
Amirali Haddadi
author_facet Kosar Farajpour Mojdehi
Babak Amiri
Amirali Haddadi
author_sort Kosar Farajpour Mojdehi
collection DOAJ
description Supply Chain Finance (SCF) in the energy sector has emerged as a critical area of focus due to the need for sustainable and efficient financial solutions to manage the complex interactions between various stakeholders, including suppliers, financial institutions, and energy companies. This study proposes a novel hybrid Topological Data Analysis (TDA) and Graph Neural Network (GNN) to optimize credit risk assessment in SCF. By leveraging BallMapper (BM) topological data analysis model and network-based features, the proposed model provides deeper insights into credit risk factors, enhancing the accuracy and dependability of credit risk evaluation for SMEs. Results demonstrate that the proposed BallMapper- Graph Neural Network (BM-GNN) model achieves higher accuracy and F1-scores, outperforming traditional machine learning approaches. Notably, incorporating network-based features alongside financial ratios yields the most favorable results in credit risk assessment. The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) model highlights the pivotal role of certain features in predicting bankruptcy, offering valuable insights for risk mitigation strategies. These results contribute to the growing body of evidence supporting the efficacy of TDA and GNN in financial applications, particularly in credit risk evaluation for SMEs in supply chain finance. Using network-based models opens up new avenues for improving accuracy and reliability in risk assessment, ultimately empowering financial institutions and stakeholders to make more informed decisions.
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spelling doaj-art-55b7ae7e02ef4f5ca37cc9309ea06a8d2025-01-25T00:01:45ZengIEEEIEEE Access2169-35362025-01-0113131011312710.1109/ACCESS.2025.352837310838507A Novel Hybrid Model for Credit Risk Assessment of Supply Chain Finance Based on Topological Data Analysis and Graph Neural NetworkKosar Farajpour Mojdehi0https://orcid.org/0009-0002-5048-0455Babak Amiri1https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9469-5648Amirali Haddadi2School of Industrial Engineering, Iran University of Science and Technology, Tehran, IranSchool of Industrial Engineering, Iran University of Science and Technology, Tehran, IranSchool of Industrial Engineering, Iran University of Science and Technology, Tehran, IranSupply Chain Finance (SCF) in the energy sector has emerged as a critical area of focus due to the need for sustainable and efficient financial solutions to manage the complex interactions between various stakeholders, including suppliers, financial institutions, and energy companies. This study proposes a novel hybrid Topological Data Analysis (TDA) and Graph Neural Network (GNN) to optimize credit risk assessment in SCF. By leveraging BallMapper (BM) topological data analysis model and network-based features, the proposed model provides deeper insights into credit risk factors, enhancing the accuracy and dependability of credit risk evaluation for SMEs. Results demonstrate that the proposed BallMapper- Graph Neural Network (BM-GNN) model achieves higher accuracy and F1-scores, outperforming traditional machine learning approaches. Notably, incorporating network-based features alongside financial ratios yields the most favorable results in credit risk assessment. The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) model highlights the pivotal role of certain features in predicting bankruptcy, offering valuable insights for risk mitigation strategies. These results contribute to the growing body of evidence supporting the efficacy of TDA and GNN in financial applications, particularly in credit risk evaluation for SMEs in supply chain finance. Using network-based models opens up new avenues for improving accuracy and reliability in risk assessment, ultimately empowering financial institutions and stakeholders to make more informed decisions.https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10838507/Topological data analysisgraph neural networkcredit riskBallMappersupply chain finance
spellingShingle Kosar Farajpour Mojdehi
Babak Amiri
Amirali Haddadi
A Novel Hybrid Model for Credit Risk Assessment of Supply Chain Finance Based on Topological Data Analysis and Graph Neural Network
IEEE Access
Topological data analysis
graph neural network
credit risk
BallMapper
supply chain finance
title A Novel Hybrid Model for Credit Risk Assessment of Supply Chain Finance Based on Topological Data Analysis and Graph Neural Network
title_full A Novel Hybrid Model for Credit Risk Assessment of Supply Chain Finance Based on Topological Data Analysis and Graph Neural Network
title_fullStr A Novel Hybrid Model for Credit Risk Assessment of Supply Chain Finance Based on Topological Data Analysis and Graph Neural Network
title_full_unstemmed A Novel Hybrid Model for Credit Risk Assessment of Supply Chain Finance Based on Topological Data Analysis and Graph Neural Network
title_short A Novel Hybrid Model for Credit Risk Assessment of Supply Chain Finance Based on Topological Data Analysis and Graph Neural Network
title_sort novel hybrid model for credit risk assessment of supply chain finance based on topological data analysis and graph neural network
topic Topological data analysis
graph neural network
credit risk
BallMapper
supply chain finance
url https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10838507/
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