Nonparametric spatio-temporal modeling: Contruction of a geographically and temporally weighted spline regression

This research introduces a new model called Geographically Temporally and Weighted Spline Nonparametric Regression (GTWSNR), which is an extension of the Geographically Temporally Weighted Regression (GTWR) model. The GTWSNR model combines nonparametric spline regression with spatial and temporal we...

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Main Authors: Sifriyani, Syaripuddin, M. Fathurahman, Nariza Wanti Wulan Sari, Meirinda Fauziyah, Andrea Tri Rian Dani, Raudhatul Jannah, S. Dwi Juriani, Ratna Kusuma
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-06-01
Series:MethodsX
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2215016124005491
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author Sifriyani
Syaripuddin
M. Fathurahman
Nariza Wanti Wulan Sari
Meirinda Fauziyah
Andrea Tri Rian Dani
Raudhatul Jannah
S. Dwi Juriani
Ratna Kusuma
author_facet Sifriyani
Syaripuddin
M. Fathurahman
Nariza Wanti Wulan Sari
Meirinda Fauziyah
Andrea Tri Rian Dani
Raudhatul Jannah
S. Dwi Juriani
Ratna Kusuma
author_sort Sifriyani
collection DOAJ
description This research introduces a new model called Geographically Temporally and Weighted Spline Nonparametric Regression (GTWSNR), which is an extension of the Geographically Temporally Weighted Regression (GTWR) model. The GTWSNR model combines nonparametric spline regression with spatial and temporal weighting, integrating geographic information and time series on an unknown regression curve. This model provides insights into spatial influences over multiple time series observations and produces forecasting results based on the analyzed spatial data. GTWSNR is designed to address the limitations of the traditional GTWR model in handling unknown regression functions. The research aims to develop the GTWSNR model to overcome these challenges and uses the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) to estimate the model. Key contributions of this study include: • The development of the GTWSNR model as a spatiotemporal approach to address unknown regression functions using a truncated spline estimator in nonparametric regression. • The application of a weighted Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) method for estimating the GTWSNR model. • The implementation of the GTWSNR model on rice productivity data from 34 provinces in Indonesia to demonstrate its effectiveness as the best model.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2215-0161
language English
publishDate 2025-06-01
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spelling doaj-art-5583d1c6f39f48b592ff04ed086236c72025-01-18T05:04:43ZengElsevierMethodsX2215-01612025-06-0114103098Nonparametric spatio-temporal modeling: Contruction of a geographically and temporally weighted spline regression Sifriyani0 Syaripuddin1M. Fathurahman2Nariza Wanti Wulan Sari3Meirinda Fauziyah4Andrea Tri Rian Dani5Raudhatul Jannah6S. Dwi Juriani7Ratna Kusuma8Study Program of Statistics, Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Mulawarman University, Samarinda, Indonesia; Corresponding author.Study Program of Mathematics, Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Mulawarman University, Samarinda, IndonesiaApplied Statistics Laboratory, Study Program of Statistics, Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Mulawarman University, Samarinda, IndonesiaApplied Statistics Laboratory, Study Program of Statistics, Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Mulawarman University, Samarinda, IndonesiaApplied Statistics Laboratory, Study Program of Statistics, Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Mulawarman University, Samarinda, IndonesiaStudy Program of Mathematics, Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Mulawarman University, Samarinda, IndonesiaApplied Statistics Laboratory, Study Program of Statistics, Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Mulawarman University, Samarinda, IndonesiaApplied Statistics Laboratory, Study Program of Statistics, Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Mulawarman University, Samarinda, IndonesiaDepartment of Biology, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, Universitas Mulawarman, Samarinda, IndonesiaThis research introduces a new model called Geographically Temporally and Weighted Spline Nonparametric Regression (GTWSNR), which is an extension of the Geographically Temporally Weighted Regression (GTWR) model. The GTWSNR model combines nonparametric spline regression with spatial and temporal weighting, integrating geographic information and time series on an unknown regression curve. This model provides insights into spatial influences over multiple time series observations and produces forecasting results based on the analyzed spatial data. GTWSNR is designed to address the limitations of the traditional GTWR model in handling unknown regression functions. The research aims to develop the GTWSNR model to overcome these challenges and uses the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) to estimate the model. Key contributions of this study include: • The development of the GTWSNR model as a spatiotemporal approach to address unknown regression functions using a truncated spline estimator in nonparametric regression. • The application of a weighted Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) method for estimating the GTWSNR model. • The implementation of the GTWSNR model on rice productivity data from 34 provinces in Indonesia to demonstrate its effectiveness as the best model.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2215016124005491Geographically Temporally and Weighted Spline Nonparametric Regression (GTWSNR) Model
spellingShingle Sifriyani
Syaripuddin
M. Fathurahman
Nariza Wanti Wulan Sari
Meirinda Fauziyah
Andrea Tri Rian Dani
Raudhatul Jannah
S. Dwi Juriani
Ratna Kusuma
Nonparametric spatio-temporal modeling: Contruction of a geographically and temporally weighted spline regression
MethodsX
Geographically Temporally and Weighted Spline Nonparametric Regression (GTWSNR) Model
title Nonparametric spatio-temporal modeling: Contruction of a geographically and temporally weighted spline regression
title_full Nonparametric spatio-temporal modeling: Contruction of a geographically and temporally weighted spline regression
title_fullStr Nonparametric spatio-temporal modeling: Contruction of a geographically and temporally weighted spline regression
title_full_unstemmed Nonparametric spatio-temporal modeling: Contruction of a geographically and temporally weighted spline regression
title_short Nonparametric spatio-temporal modeling: Contruction of a geographically and temporally weighted spline regression
title_sort nonparametric spatio temporal modeling contruction of a geographically and temporally weighted spline regression
topic Geographically Temporally and Weighted Spline Nonparametric Regression (GTWSNR) Model
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2215016124005491
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