Accelerated Warming and Salinification of the Mediterranean Sea: Implications for Dense Water Formation

Trends in the air–sea freshwater and heat fluxes and hydrographic properties of the Mediterranean Sea are investigated to assess changes in dense water formation over 1979–2023 and 2004–2023. Results show a strong annual evaporation increase that has accelerated over the last two decades following t...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Nikolaos Skliris, Robert Marsh, Matthew Breedon, Simon A. Josey
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-12-01
Series:Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/13/1/25
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1832588273773445120
author Nikolaos Skliris
Robert Marsh
Matthew Breedon
Simon A. Josey
author_facet Nikolaos Skliris
Robert Marsh
Matthew Breedon
Simon A. Josey
author_sort Nikolaos Skliris
collection DOAJ
description Trends in the air–sea freshwater and heat fluxes and hydrographic properties of the Mediterranean Sea are investigated to assess changes in dense water formation over 1979–2023 and 2004–2023. Results show a strong annual evaporation increase that has accelerated over the last two decades following the higher warming rate. Positive trends in winter latent heat flux (<i>LHF</i>) were obtained over 1979–2023 in most of the East Mediterranean, driving an increase in both the ocean heat loss and the haline component of the surface density flux, but there were no significant long-term trends over the western basin and the dense water formation sites. Results show much larger trends over 2004–2023 when a broadscale decrease in sensible heat flux (<i>SHF</i>) is obtained over the western basin as the air temperature is increasing much faster than <i>SST</i>. Decreasing (increasing) <i>LHF</i> and <i>SHF</i> resulted in largely reduced (enhanced) ocean heat loss during winter in the Gulf of Lions (Aegean Sea) over 2004–2023. Robust positive trends are obtained for both the salinity and temperature fields throughout the basin, with accelerated warming and salinification rates after the 2000s. Deep waters have become warmer but also much saltier and denser over recent decades. A water mass transformation method is also used to investigate changes in volumetric distribution in temperature/salinity/density and <i>T/S</i> space. Results suggest that salinification over the last 45 years may have strongly enhanced salt preconditioning in all major dense water formation sites, sustaining or even increasing deep water formation despite the increasingly warming climate.
format Article
id doaj-art-549bf0db378c42adb7cc59080758d7a0
institution Kabale University
issn 2077-1312
language English
publishDate 2024-12-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
spelling doaj-art-549bf0db378c42adb7cc59080758d7a02025-01-24T13:36:35ZengMDPI AGJournal of Marine Science and Engineering2077-13122024-12-011312510.3390/jmse13010025Accelerated Warming and Salinification of the Mediterranean Sea: Implications for Dense Water FormationNikolaos Skliris0Robert Marsh1Matthew Breedon2Simon A. Josey3School of Ocean and Earth Science, University of Southampton, Southampton SO14 3ZH, UKSchool of Ocean and Earth Science, University of Southampton, Southampton SO14 3ZH, UKSchool of Ocean and Earth Science, University of Southampton, Southampton SO14 3ZH, UKNational Oceanography Centre, Southampton SO14 3ZH, UKTrends in the air–sea freshwater and heat fluxes and hydrographic properties of the Mediterranean Sea are investigated to assess changes in dense water formation over 1979–2023 and 2004–2023. Results show a strong annual evaporation increase that has accelerated over the last two decades following the higher warming rate. Positive trends in winter latent heat flux (<i>LHF</i>) were obtained over 1979–2023 in most of the East Mediterranean, driving an increase in both the ocean heat loss and the haline component of the surface density flux, but there were no significant long-term trends over the western basin and the dense water formation sites. Results show much larger trends over 2004–2023 when a broadscale decrease in sensible heat flux (<i>SHF</i>) is obtained over the western basin as the air temperature is increasing much faster than <i>SST</i>. Decreasing (increasing) <i>LHF</i> and <i>SHF</i> resulted in largely reduced (enhanced) ocean heat loss during winter in the Gulf of Lions (Aegean Sea) over 2004–2023. Robust positive trends are obtained for both the salinity and temperature fields throughout the basin, with accelerated warming and salinification rates after the 2000s. Deep waters have become warmer but also much saltier and denser over recent decades. A water mass transformation method is also used to investigate changes in volumetric distribution in temperature/salinity/density and <i>T/S</i> space. Results suggest that salinification over the last 45 years may have strongly enhanced salt preconditioning in all major dense water formation sites, sustaining or even increasing deep water formation despite the increasingly warming climate.https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/13/1/25Mediterranean Seawater cycleheat fluxsalinitytemperaturedensity
spellingShingle Nikolaos Skliris
Robert Marsh
Matthew Breedon
Simon A. Josey
Accelerated Warming and Salinification of the Mediterranean Sea: Implications for Dense Water Formation
Journal of Marine Science and Engineering
Mediterranean Sea
water cycle
heat flux
salinity
temperature
density
title Accelerated Warming and Salinification of the Mediterranean Sea: Implications for Dense Water Formation
title_full Accelerated Warming and Salinification of the Mediterranean Sea: Implications for Dense Water Formation
title_fullStr Accelerated Warming and Salinification of the Mediterranean Sea: Implications for Dense Water Formation
title_full_unstemmed Accelerated Warming and Salinification of the Mediterranean Sea: Implications for Dense Water Formation
title_short Accelerated Warming and Salinification of the Mediterranean Sea: Implications for Dense Water Formation
title_sort accelerated warming and salinification of the mediterranean sea implications for dense water formation
topic Mediterranean Sea
water cycle
heat flux
salinity
temperature
density
url https://www.mdpi.com/2077-1312/13/1/25
work_keys_str_mv AT nikolaosskliris acceleratedwarmingandsalinificationofthemediterraneanseaimplicationsfordensewaterformation
AT robertmarsh acceleratedwarmingandsalinificationofthemediterraneanseaimplicationsfordensewaterformation
AT matthewbreedon acceleratedwarmingandsalinificationofthemediterraneanseaimplicationsfordensewaterformation
AT simonajosey acceleratedwarmingandsalinificationofthemediterraneanseaimplicationsfordensewaterformation