Seasonality of livebirths and climatic factors in Italian regions (1863-1933)

Birth seasonality is a phenomenon that characterizes almost all the populations of the world. In spite of this, the causes underlying these seasonal fluctuations represent an as yet unsolved puzzle. Two main theoretical approaches have been proposed to explain birth seasonality. The first encompass...

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Main Authors: Gabriele Ruiu, Marco Breschi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: International Institute of Social History 2017-07-01
Series:Historical Life Course Studies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://acc.openjournals.nl/hlcs/article/view/9342
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author Gabriele Ruiu
Marco Breschi
author_facet Gabriele Ruiu
Marco Breschi
author_sort Gabriele Ruiu
collection DOAJ
description Birth seasonality is a phenomenon that characterizes almost all the populations of the world. In spite of this, the causes underlying these seasonal fluctuations represent an as yet unsolved puzzle. Two main theoretical approaches have been proposed to explain birth seasonality. The first encompasses a social explanation and emphasizes the role of social, economic and cultural factors in determining the optimal moment (from a social perspective) for conception (e.g., according to the cycle of agricultural workload, religious festivity, marriage seasonality, etc.). The second theoretical approach encompasses an environmental explanation and focuses on the role that climatic factors (e.g., temperature, rainfall, light intensity, etc.) play in determining the optimal moment of conception from a biological perspective. Our paper may be collocated in the latter strand of the literature. The aim is to investigate the effects of temperature on conceptions, and subsequently on the seasonality of livebirths, while controlling for a possible social confounding effect, i.e. the seasonal pattern of marriage. To achieve this end, we empirically investigate the role of temperature as well as that of marriage seasonality in Italian regions for the period stretching from the Italian unification to the eve of World War II. We find that extreme temperatures (both cold and hot) negatively affect the number of births. At the same time, marriage seasonality also seems to be an important explicative factor of the seasonal fluctuation of live births.
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spelling doaj-art-531943b3f4104e0585f9f8cd9307bfe52025-02-02T11:13:40ZengInternational Institute of Social HistoryHistorical Life Course Studies2352-63432017-07-014Seasonality of livebirths and climatic factors in Italian regions (1863-1933)Gabriele RuiuMarco Breschi Birth seasonality is a phenomenon that characterizes almost all the populations of the world. In spite of this, the causes underlying these seasonal fluctuations represent an as yet unsolved puzzle. Two main theoretical approaches have been proposed to explain birth seasonality. The first encompasses a social explanation and emphasizes the role of social, economic and cultural factors in determining the optimal moment (from a social perspective) for conception (e.g., according to the cycle of agricultural workload, religious festivity, marriage seasonality, etc.). The second theoretical approach encompasses an environmental explanation and focuses on the role that climatic factors (e.g., temperature, rainfall, light intensity, etc.) play in determining the optimal moment of conception from a biological perspective. Our paper may be collocated in the latter strand of the literature. The aim is to investigate the effects of temperature on conceptions, and subsequently on the seasonality of livebirths, while controlling for a possible social confounding effect, i.e. the seasonal pattern of marriage. To achieve this end, we empirically investigate the role of temperature as well as that of marriage seasonality in Italian regions for the period stretching from the Italian unification to the eve of World War II. We find that extreme temperatures (both cold and hot) negatively affect the number of births. At the same time, marriage seasonality also seems to be an important explicative factor of the seasonal fluctuation of live births. https://acc.openjournals.nl/hlcs/article/view/9342Economic developmentClimatic factorsMarriage seasonalityBirth seasonality
spellingShingle Gabriele Ruiu
Marco Breschi
Seasonality of livebirths and climatic factors in Italian regions (1863-1933)
Historical Life Course Studies
Economic development
Climatic factors
Marriage seasonality
Birth seasonality
title Seasonality of livebirths and climatic factors in Italian regions (1863-1933)
title_full Seasonality of livebirths and climatic factors in Italian regions (1863-1933)
title_fullStr Seasonality of livebirths and climatic factors in Italian regions (1863-1933)
title_full_unstemmed Seasonality of livebirths and climatic factors in Italian regions (1863-1933)
title_short Seasonality of livebirths and climatic factors in Italian regions (1863-1933)
title_sort seasonality of livebirths and climatic factors in italian regions 1863 1933
topic Economic development
Climatic factors
Marriage seasonality
Birth seasonality
url https://acc.openjournals.nl/hlcs/article/view/9342
work_keys_str_mv AT gabrieleruiu seasonalityoflivebirthsandclimaticfactorsinitalianregions18631933
AT marcobreschi seasonalityoflivebirthsandclimaticfactorsinitalianregions18631933