Multivariate Deep Learning Approach for Electric Vehicle Speed Forecasting

Speed forecasting has numerous applications in intelligent transport systems’ design and control, especially for safety and road efficiency applications. In the field of electromobility, it represents the most dynamic parameter for efficient online in-vehicle energy management. However, vehicles’ sp...

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Main Authors: Youssef Nait Malek, Mehdi Najib, Mohamed Bakhouya, Mohammed Essaaidi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Tsinghua University Press 2021-03-01
Series:Big Data Mining and Analytics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.sciopen.com/article/10.26599/BDMA.2020.9020027
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author Youssef Nait Malek
Mehdi Najib
Mohamed Bakhouya
Mohammed Essaaidi
author_facet Youssef Nait Malek
Mehdi Najib
Mohamed Bakhouya
Mohammed Essaaidi
author_sort Youssef Nait Malek
collection DOAJ
description Speed forecasting has numerous applications in intelligent transport systems’ design and control, especially for safety and road efficiency applications. In the field of electromobility, it represents the most dynamic parameter for efficient online in-vehicle energy management. However, vehicles’ speed forecasting is a challenging task, because its estimation is closely related to various features, which can be classified into two categories, endogenous and exogenous features. Endogenous features represent electric vehicles’ characteristics, whereas exogenous ones represent its surrounding context, such as traffic, weather, and road conditions. In this paper, a speed forecasting method based on the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is introduced. The LSTM model training is performed upon a dataset collected from a traffic simulator based on real-world data representing urban itineraries. The proposed models are generated for univariate and multivariate scenarios and are assessed in terms of accuracy for speed forecasting. Simulation results show that the multivariate model outperforms the univariate model for short- and long-term forecasting.
format Article
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institution Kabale University
issn 2096-0654
language English
publishDate 2021-03-01
publisher Tsinghua University Press
record_format Article
series Big Data Mining and Analytics
spelling doaj-art-51f64d259a724d98a74d2c330a74e0112025-02-02T06:50:16ZengTsinghua University PressBig Data Mining and Analytics2096-06542021-03-0141566410.26599/BDMA.2020.9020027Multivariate Deep Learning Approach for Electric Vehicle Speed ForecastingYoussef Nait Malek0Mehdi Najib1Mohamed Bakhouya2Mohammed Essaaidi3<institution content-type="dept">LERMA Lab, College of Engineering and Architecture</institution>, <institution>International University of Rabat</institution>, <city>Sala Al Jadida</city> <postal-code>11100</postal-code>, <country>Morocco</country>.<institution content-type="dept">TICLab, College of Engineering and Architecture</institution>, <institution>International University of Rabat</institution>, <city>Sala Al Jadida</city> <postal-code>11100</postal-code>, <country>Morocco</country>.<institution content-type="dept">LERMA Lab, College of Engineering</institution>, <institution>International University of Rabat</institution>, <city>Sala Al Jadida</city> <postal-code>11100</postal-code>, <country>Morocco</country>.<institution>ENSIAS, Mohamed V University</institution>, <city>Agdal Rabat</city> <postal-code>10112</postal-code>, <country>Morocco</country>.Speed forecasting has numerous applications in intelligent transport systems’ design and control, especially for safety and road efficiency applications. In the field of electromobility, it represents the most dynamic parameter for efficient online in-vehicle energy management. However, vehicles’ speed forecasting is a challenging task, because its estimation is closely related to various features, which can be classified into two categories, endogenous and exogenous features. Endogenous features represent electric vehicles’ characteristics, whereas exogenous ones represent its surrounding context, such as traffic, weather, and road conditions. In this paper, a speed forecasting method based on the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is introduced. The LSTM model training is performed upon a dataset collected from a traffic simulator based on real-world data representing urban itineraries. The proposed models are generated for univariate and multivariate scenarios and are assessed in terms of accuracy for speed forecasting. Simulation results show that the multivariate model outperforms the univariate model for short- and long-term forecasting.https://www.sciopen.com/article/10.26599/BDMA.2020.9020027electric vehicle (ev)multivariate long short-term memory (lstm)speed forecastingdeep learning
spellingShingle Youssef Nait Malek
Mehdi Najib
Mohamed Bakhouya
Mohammed Essaaidi
Multivariate Deep Learning Approach for Electric Vehicle Speed Forecasting
Big Data Mining and Analytics
electric vehicle (ev)
multivariate long short-term memory (lstm)
speed forecasting
deep learning
title Multivariate Deep Learning Approach for Electric Vehicle Speed Forecasting
title_full Multivariate Deep Learning Approach for Electric Vehicle Speed Forecasting
title_fullStr Multivariate Deep Learning Approach for Electric Vehicle Speed Forecasting
title_full_unstemmed Multivariate Deep Learning Approach for Electric Vehicle Speed Forecasting
title_short Multivariate Deep Learning Approach for Electric Vehicle Speed Forecasting
title_sort multivariate deep learning approach for electric vehicle speed forecasting
topic electric vehicle (ev)
multivariate long short-term memory (lstm)
speed forecasting
deep learning
url https://www.sciopen.com/article/10.26599/BDMA.2020.9020027
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AT mehdinajib multivariatedeeplearningapproachforelectricvehiclespeedforecasting
AT mohamedbakhouya multivariatedeeplearningapproachforelectricvehiclespeedforecasting
AT mohammedessaaidi multivariatedeeplearningapproachforelectricvehiclespeedforecasting