Effects of Catastrophic Insect Outbreaks on the Harvesting Solutions of Dahurian Larch Plantations
Optimal harvesting under pest outbreak risk was studied on a set of even-aged Dahurian larch (Larix gmelinii) stands in northeastern Inner Mongolia, China. The effects of catastrophic pest outbreaks caused by the Siberian moth (Dendrolimus sibiricus) on the economic harvesting plan are compared thro...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Wiley
2015-01-01
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| Series: | International Journal of Forestry Research |
| Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/421858 |
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| author | Qi Jin Lauri Valsta Kari Heliövaara Jing Li Youqing Luo Juan Shi |
| author_facet | Qi Jin Lauri Valsta Kari Heliövaara Jing Li Youqing Luo Juan Shi |
| author_sort | Qi Jin |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Optimal harvesting under pest outbreak risk was studied on a set of even-aged Dahurian larch (Larix gmelinii) stands in northeastern Inner Mongolia, China. The effects of catastrophic pest outbreaks caused by the Siberian moth (Dendrolimus sibiricus) on the economic harvesting plan are compared through both deterministic and stochastic cases. Stand simulation is based on an individual-tree growth system. A scenario approach is applied when simulating the effects of catastrophic pest outbreaks. Insect damage is assumed to be a Poisson process with an average rate of 0.1 per year. One hundred scenarios of insect damage are created using the Poisson process to simulate the distribution of bare land value of each of the optimal regimes. Numerical results show that the optimal rotation is shortened with an increasing probability of a catastrophe. The average bare land values in the stochastic case are approximately 14.8% to 22.9% lower. Numbers of thinnings are decreased for most plots when seeking a highest bare land value, compared to the deterministic optima. If given a constant thinning rate, increasing risk-taking shortens the optimum rotation, as the model set used. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-5000353bd4284d869ccdc4f2ecd30be8 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1687-9368 1687-9376 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2015-01-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | International Journal of Forestry Research |
| spelling | doaj-art-5000353bd4284d869ccdc4f2ecd30be82025-02-03T00:59:45ZengWileyInternational Journal of Forestry Research1687-93681687-93762015-01-01201510.1155/2015/421858421858Effects of Catastrophic Insect Outbreaks on the Harvesting Solutions of Dahurian Larch PlantationsQi Jin0Lauri Valsta1Kari Heliövaara2Jing Li3Youqing Luo4Juan Shi5Department of Forest Sciences, P.O. Box 27, 00014 University of Helsinki, FinlandDepartment of Forest Sciences, P.O. Box 27, 00014 University of Helsinki, FinlandDepartment of Forest Sciences, P.O. Box 27, 00014 University of Helsinki, FinlandKey Laboratory for Silviculture and Conservation of Ministry of Education, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, ChinaKey Laboratory for Silviculture and Conservation of Ministry of Education, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, ChinaKey Laboratory for Silviculture and Conservation of Ministry of Education, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, ChinaOptimal harvesting under pest outbreak risk was studied on a set of even-aged Dahurian larch (Larix gmelinii) stands in northeastern Inner Mongolia, China. The effects of catastrophic pest outbreaks caused by the Siberian moth (Dendrolimus sibiricus) on the economic harvesting plan are compared through both deterministic and stochastic cases. Stand simulation is based on an individual-tree growth system. A scenario approach is applied when simulating the effects of catastrophic pest outbreaks. Insect damage is assumed to be a Poisson process with an average rate of 0.1 per year. One hundred scenarios of insect damage are created using the Poisson process to simulate the distribution of bare land value of each of the optimal regimes. Numerical results show that the optimal rotation is shortened with an increasing probability of a catastrophe. The average bare land values in the stochastic case are approximately 14.8% to 22.9% lower. Numbers of thinnings are decreased for most plots when seeking a highest bare land value, compared to the deterministic optima. If given a constant thinning rate, increasing risk-taking shortens the optimum rotation, as the model set used.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/421858 |
| spellingShingle | Qi Jin Lauri Valsta Kari Heliövaara Jing Li Youqing Luo Juan Shi Effects of Catastrophic Insect Outbreaks on the Harvesting Solutions of Dahurian Larch Plantations International Journal of Forestry Research |
| title | Effects of Catastrophic Insect Outbreaks on the Harvesting Solutions of Dahurian Larch Plantations |
| title_full | Effects of Catastrophic Insect Outbreaks on the Harvesting Solutions of Dahurian Larch Plantations |
| title_fullStr | Effects of Catastrophic Insect Outbreaks on the Harvesting Solutions of Dahurian Larch Plantations |
| title_full_unstemmed | Effects of Catastrophic Insect Outbreaks on the Harvesting Solutions of Dahurian Larch Plantations |
| title_short | Effects of Catastrophic Insect Outbreaks on the Harvesting Solutions of Dahurian Larch Plantations |
| title_sort | effects of catastrophic insect outbreaks on the harvesting solutions of dahurian larch plantations |
| url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2015/421858 |
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