Fault Diagnosis and Prediction of Continuous Industrial Processes Based on Hidden Markov Model-Bayesian Network Hybrid Model

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) have been recently used for fault detection and prediction in continuous industrial processes; however, the expected maximum (EM) algorithm in the HMM has local optimality problems and cannot accurately find the fault root cause variables in complex industrial processes w...

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Main Authors: Jiarula Yasenjiang, Chenxing Xu, Shengpeng Zhang, Xin Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-01-01
Series:International Journal of Chemical Engineering
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/3511073
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author Jiarula Yasenjiang
Chenxing Xu
Shengpeng Zhang
Xin Zhang
author_facet Jiarula Yasenjiang
Chenxing Xu
Shengpeng Zhang
Xin Zhang
author_sort Jiarula Yasenjiang
collection DOAJ
description Hidden Markov models (HMMs) have been recently used for fault detection and prediction in continuous industrial processes; however, the expected maximum (EM) algorithm in the HMM has local optimality problems and cannot accurately find the fault root cause variables in complex industrial processes with high-dimensional data and strong variable coupling. To alleviate this problem, a hidden Markov model-Bayesian network (HMM-BN) hybrid model is proposed to alleviate the local optimum problem in the EM algorithm and diagnose the fault root cause variable. Firstly, the model introduces expert empirical knowledge for constructing BN to accurately diagnose the fault root cause variable. Then, the EM algorithm is improved by sequential and parallel learning to alleviate the initial sensitivity and local optimum problems. Finally, the log-likelihood estimates (LL) calculated by the improved hidden Markov model provide empirical evidence for the BN and give fault detection, prediction, and root cause variable detection results based on information about the similar increasing and decreasing patterns of LL for the training data and the online data. Combining the Tennessee Eastman (TE) process and the continuously stirred tank reactor (CSTR) process, the feasibility and effectiveness of the model are verified. The results show that the model can not only find the fault in time but also find the cause of the fault accurately.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1687-8078
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spelling doaj-art-4fc90dc18ff6420cbaf9602dae0b66352025-02-03T05:57:56ZengWileyInternational Journal of Chemical Engineering1687-80782022-01-01202210.1155/2022/3511073Fault Diagnosis and Prediction of Continuous Industrial Processes Based on Hidden Markov Model-Bayesian Network Hybrid ModelJiarula Yasenjiang0Chenxing Xu1Shengpeng Zhang2Xin Zhang3Department of Industrial EngineeringDepartment of Industrial EngineeringChina National Petroleum Corporation Western Drilling and Engineering Research InstituteChina National Petroleum Corporation Western Drilling and Engineering Research InstituteHidden Markov models (HMMs) have been recently used for fault detection and prediction in continuous industrial processes; however, the expected maximum (EM) algorithm in the HMM has local optimality problems and cannot accurately find the fault root cause variables in complex industrial processes with high-dimensional data and strong variable coupling. To alleviate this problem, a hidden Markov model-Bayesian network (HMM-BN) hybrid model is proposed to alleviate the local optimum problem in the EM algorithm and diagnose the fault root cause variable. Firstly, the model introduces expert empirical knowledge for constructing BN to accurately diagnose the fault root cause variable. Then, the EM algorithm is improved by sequential and parallel learning to alleviate the initial sensitivity and local optimum problems. Finally, the log-likelihood estimates (LL) calculated by the improved hidden Markov model provide empirical evidence for the BN and give fault detection, prediction, and root cause variable detection results based on information about the similar increasing and decreasing patterns of LL for the training data and the online data. Combining the Tennessee Eastman (TE) process and the continuously stirred tank reactor (CSTR) process, the feasibility and effectiveness of the model are verified. The results show that the model can not only find the fault in time but also find the cause of the fault accurately.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/3511073
spellingShingle Jiarula Yasenjiang
Chenxing Xu
Shengpeng Zhang
Xin Zhang
Fault Diagnosis and Prediction of Continuous Industrial Processes Based on Hidden Markov Model-Bayesian Network Hybrid Model
International Journal of Chemical Engineering
title Fault Diagnosis and Prediction of Continuous Industrial Processes Based on Hidden Markov Model-Bayesian Network Hybrid Model
title_full Fault Diagnosis and Prediction of Continuous Industrial Processes Based on Hidden Markov Model-Bayesian Network Hybrid Model
title_fullStr Fault Diagnosis and Prediction of Continuous Industrial Processes Based on Hidden Markov Model-Bayesian Network Hybrid Model
title_full_unstemmed Fault Diagnosis and Prediction of Continuous Industrial Processes Based on Hidden Markov Model-Bayesian Network Hybrid Model
title_short Fault Diagnosis and Prediction of Continuous Industrial Processes Based on Hidden Markov Model-Bayesian Network Hybrid Model
title_sort fault diagnosis and prediction of continuous industrial processes based on hidden markov model bayesian network hybrid model
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/3511073
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AT chenxingxu faultdiagnosisandpredictionofcontinuousindustrialprocessesbasedonhiddenmarkovmodelbayesiannetworkhybridmodel
AT shengpengzhang faultdiagnosisandpredictionofcontinuousindustrialprocessesbasedonhiddenmarkovmodelbayesiannetworkhybridmodel
AT xinzhang faultdiagnosisandpredictionofcontinuousindustrialprocessesbasedonhiddenmarkovmodelbayesiannetworkhybridmodel