Carbon dioxide emissions, forest area, and economic growth of SAARC countries: Evidence from FMOLS approach

This study aims to examine the relationship between CO2 emissions, forest area, and GDP in each South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) country. This study uses a panel dataset that spans South Asian countries from 1990 to 2020 for econometric analysis. The Fully Modified Least Squa...

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Main Authors: Yadav Mani Upadhyaya, Khom Raj Kharel, Omkar Poudel, Pramshu Nepal
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: LLC "CPC "Business Perspectives" 2025-01-01
Series:Environmental Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/publishing/templates/article/assets/21382/EE_2025_01_Upadhyaya.pdf
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author Yadav Mani Upadhyaya
Khom Raj Kharel
Omkar Poudel
Pramshu Nepal
author_facet Yadav Mani Upadhyaya
Khom Raj Kharel
Omkar Poudel
Pramshu Nepal
author_sort Yadav Mani Upadhyaya
collection DOAJ
description This study aims to examine the relationship between CO2 emissions, forest area, and GDP in each South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) country. This study uses a panel dataset that spans South Asian countries from 1990 to 2020 for econometric analysis. The Fully Modified Least Squares (FMOLS) method adds annual forested area to the regression model. The study results show that India, Nepal, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka must prioritize decoupling CO2 emissions from economic growth, as their strong correlation shows significant environmental costs of development. Although Bangladesh, Bhutan, and the Maldives are in a slightly better position, they need strategies to manage emissions as they progress economically. The study once again revealed a relationship between a 1% increase in GDP and a 0.68% rise in CO2 emissions, whereas a 1% increase in forest area led to a slightly higher 0.79% rise in CO2 over the period. The hypotheses testing results confirm a positive correlation between economic growth and carbon dioxide emissions in SAARC countries, indicating that emissions rise as economies expand. Additionally, a negative relationship was found between forest area and carbon dioxide emissions, where larger forest coverage is linked to lower emissions. The conclusion is that an increase in forest area is associated with a relatively small increase in CO2 emissions, indicating that the relationship between forest area and CO2 emissions is less pronounced compared to GDP.
format Article
id doaj-art-4f0bd2d9d4194969b530e4d250c72912
institution Kabale University
issn 1998-6041
1998-605X
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher LLC "CPC "Business Perspectives"
record_format Article
series Environmental Economics
spelling doaj-art-4f0bd2d9d4194969b530e4d250c729122025-01-23T08:47:41ZengLLC "CPC "Business Perspectives"Environmental Economics1998-60411998-605X2025-01-01161132910.21511/ee.16(1).2025.0221382Carbon dioxide emissions, forest area, and economic growth of SAARC countries: Evidence from FMOLS approach Yadav Mani Upadhyaya0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3089-3615Khom Raj Kharel1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9806-7224Omkar Poudel2https://orcid.org/0009-0008-7873-0237Pramshu Nepal3https://orcid.org/0009-0009-7116-636XAssistant Professor of Economics, Dr., Tribhuvan University, Saraswati Multiple Campus, NepalAssociate Professor of Economics, Dr., Tribhuvan University, Saraswati Multiple Campus, NepalAssistant Professor of Economics, Birendra Multiple Campus, Tribhuvan University, NepalAssociate Professor, Central Department of Economics, Tribhuvan University, NepalThis study aims to examine the relationship between CO2 emissions, forest area, and GDP in each South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) country. This study uses a panel dataset that spans South Asian countries from 1990 to 2020 for econometric analysis. The Fully Modified Least Squares (FMOLS) method adds annual forested area to the regression model. The study results show that India, Nepal, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka must prioritize decoupling CO2 emissions from economic growth, as their strong correlation shows significant environmental costs of development. Although Bangladesh, Bhutan, and the Maldives are in a slightly better position, they need strategies to manage emissions as they progress economically. The study once again revealed a relationship between a 1% increase in GDP and a 0.68% rise in CO2 emissions, whereas a 1% increase in forest area led to a slightly higher 0.79% rise in CO2 over the period. The hypotheses testing results confirm a positive correlation between economic growth and carbon dioxide emissions in SAARC countries, indicating that emissions rise as economies expand. Additionally, a negative relationship was found between forest area and carbon dioxide emissions, where larger forest coverage is linked to lower emissions. The conclusion is that an increase in forest area is associated with a relatively small increase in CO2 emissions, indicating that the relationship between forest area and CO2 emissions is less pronounced compared to GDP.https://www.businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/publishing/templates/article/assets/21382/EE_2025_01_Upadhyaya.pdfcarbon emissionseconomic growthenvironmental sustainabilityforest areaforest preservationgreen practices
spellingShingle Yadav Mani Upadhyaya
Khom Raj Kharel
Omkar Poudel
Pramshu Nepal
Carbon dioxide emissions, forest area, and economic growth of SAARC countries: Evidence from FMOLS approach
Environmental Economics
carbon emissions
economic growth
environmental sustainability
forest area
forest preservation
green practices
title Carbon dioxide emissions, forest area, and economic growth of SAARC countries: Evidence from FMOLS approach
title_full Carbon dioxide emissions, forest area, and economic growth of SAARC countries: Evidence from FMOLS approach
title_fullStr Carbon dioxide emissions, forest area, and economic growth of SAARC countries: Evidence from FMOLS approach
title_full_unstemmed Carbon dioxide emissions, forest area, and economic growth of SAARC countries: Evidence from FMOLS approach
title_short Carbon dioxide emissions, forest area, and economic growth of SAARC countries: Evidence from FMOLS approach
title_sort carbon dioxide emissions forest area and economic growth of saarc countries evidence from fmols approach
topic carbon emissions
economic growth
environmental sustainability
forest area
forest preservation
green practices
url https://www.businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/publishing/templates/article/assets/21382/EE_2025_01_Upadhyaya.pdf
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AT omkarpoudel carbondioxideemissionsforestareaandeconomicgrowthofsaarccountriesevidencefromfmolsapproach
AT pramshunepal carbondioxideemissionsforestareaandeconomicgrowthofsaarccountriesevidencefromfmolsapproach