Econometric Analysis of Macroeconomic to Age-Specific Mortality Rate in Malaysia: Evidence from Panel Data

Human mortality is unanticipated and unavoidable, particularly in light of the recent COVID-19 pandemic. Insurance companies, actuaries, financial institutions, demographers, and the government may suffer catastrophic losses as a result of imprecise mortality estimates. Understanding the factors tha...

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Main Authors: Robiaatul Adawiah Edrus, Zailan Siri, Mohd Azmi Haron, Muhammad Aslam Mohd Safari, Mohammed K. A. Kaabar
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-01-01
Series:Journal of Mathematics
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/8268177
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author Robiaatul Adawiah Edrus
Zailan Siri
Mohd Azmi Haron
Muhammad Aslam Mohd Safari
Mohammed K. A. Kaabar
author_facet Robiaatul Adawiah Edrus
Zailan Siri
Mohd Azmi Haron
Muhammad Aslam Mohd Safari
Mohammed K. A. Kaabar
author_sort Robiaatul Adawiah Edrus
collection DOAJ
description Human mortality is unanticipated and unavoidable, particularly in light of the recent COVID-19 pandemic. Insurance companies, actuaries, financial institutions, demographers, and the government may suffer catastrophic losses as a result of imprecise mortality estimates. Understanding the factors that contribute to mortality at the population level can help the government improve its efforts to promote health and reduce health inequalities. Consequently, the present study utilizes an econometrics model to estimate Malaysia’s mortality rate, with macroeconomic factors as explanatory variables. The present study employed the unemployment rate, pension liabilities, gross domestic product, education expenditure, and healthcare expenditure as explanatory variables. The empirical results imply that the fixed effects model is feasible when using panel data across specific age groups. Moreover, the fixed effects model is devoid of cross-sectional dependency, heteroscedasticity, and serial correlation. The findings reveal that the unemployment rate, gross domestic product, and education expenditure all have a significant influence on the mortality rate. However, pension liabilities and health expenditure have an insignificant relationship with the mortality rate. The fixed effects model is demonstrated to be a robust model that fits the Malaysian scenario with an R-squared of approximately 84.69%. The present study is novel due to the fact that the model established between explanatory variables and the mortality rate shows a significant relationship, which can be helpful in forecasting the mortality at population level as a preparation for the post-COVID-19 mortality. The present study aims to contribute to the development of an effective support mechanism by rectifying Malaysia’s socioeconomic inequalities in order to mitigate the COVID-19 increase in mortality rate. Therefore, the Malaysian government is strongly encouraged to examine its expenditure on education and gross domestic product in order to improve the mortality rate, particularly among the adult and older population.
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spelling doaj-art-4eca85ed8a3b4cfba7f57106c71c99c92025-02-03T01:11:56ZengWileyJournal of Mathematics2314-47852022-01-01202210.1155/2022/8268177Econometric Analysis of Macroeconomic to Age-Specific Mortality Rate in Malaysia: Evidence from Panel DataRobiaatul Adawiah Edrus0Zailan Siri1Mohd Azmi Haron2Muhammad Aslam Mohd Safari3Mohammed K. A. Kaabar4Institute of Mathematical SciencesInstitute of Mathematical SciencesInstitute of Mathematical SciencesDepartment of Mathematics and StatisticsInstitute of Mathematical SciencesHuman mortality is unanticipated and unavoidable, particularly in light of the recent COVID-19 pandemic. Insurance companies, actuaries, financial institutions, demographers, and the government may suffer catastrophic losses as a result of imprecise mortality estimates. Understanding the factors that contribute to mortality at the population level can help the government improve its efforts to promote health and reduce health inequalities. Consequently, the present study utilizes an econometrics model to estimate Malaysia’s mortality rate, with macroeconomic factors as explanatory variables. The present study employed the unemployment rate, pension liabilities, gross domestic product, education expenditure, and healthcare expenditure as explanatory variables. The empirical results imply that the fixed effects model is feasible when using panel data across specific age groups. Moreover, the fixed effects model is devoid of cross-sectional dependency, heteroscedasticity, and serial correlation. The findings reveal that the unemployment rate, gross domestic product, and education expenditure all have a significant influence on the mortality rate. However, pension liabilities and health expenditure have an insignificant relationship with the mortality rate. The fixed effects model is demonstrated to be a robust model that fits the Malaysian scenario with an R-squared of approximately 84.69%. The present study is novel due to the fact that the model established between explanatory variables and the mortality rate shows a significant relationship, which can be helpful in forecasting the mortality at population level as a preparation for the post-COVID-19 mortality. The present study aims to contribute to the development of an effective support mechanism by rectifying Malaysia’s socioeconomic inequalities in order to mitigate the COVID-19 increase in mortality rate. Therefore, the Malaysian government is strongly encouraged to examine its expenditure on education and gross domestic product in order to improve the mortality rate, particularly among the adult and older population.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/8268177
spellingShingle Robiaatul Adawiah Edrus
Zailan Siri
Mohd Azmi Haron
Muhammad Aslam Mohd Safari
Mohammed K. A. Kaabar
Econometric Analysis of Macroeconomic to Age-Specific Mortality Rate in Malaysia: Evidence from Panel Data
Journal of Mathematics
title Econometric Analysis of Macroeconomic to Age-Specific Mortality Rate in Malaysia: Evidence from Panel Data
title_full Econometric Analysis of Macroeconomic to Age-Specific Mortality Rate in Malaysia: Evidence from Panel Data
title_fullStr Econometric Analysis of Macroeconomic to Age-Specific Mortality Rate in Malaysia: Evidence from Panel Data
title_full_unstemmed Econometric Analysis of Macroeconomic to Age-Specific Mortality Rate in Malaysia: Evidence from Panel Data
title_short Econometric Analysis of Macroeconomic to Age-Specific Mortality Rate in Malaysia: Evidence from Panel Data
title_sort econometric analysis of macroeconomic to age specific mortality rate in malaysia evidence from panel data
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/8268177
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