Post‐Glacial Vegetation Trajectories on the Eastern Tibetan Plateau Reflect Millennial‐Scale Migration Lags in Complex Mountain Terrain Based on Sedimentary Ancient DNA and Dynamic Dispersal Modeling

ABSTRACT Mountains with complex terrain and steep environmental gradients are biodiversity hotspots such as the eastern Tibetan Plateau (TP). However, it is generally assumed that mountain terrain plays a secondary role in plant species assembly on a millennial time‐scale compared to climate change....

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Main Authors: Wei Shen, Stefan Kruse, Sisi Liu, Kathleen Stoof‐Leichsenring, Ingolf Kühn, Wenjia Li, Xianyong Cao, Zhi‐Rong Zhang, Chun‐Xia Zeng, Jun‐Bo Yang, De‐Zhu Li, Ulrike Herzschuh
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2025-01-01
Series:Ecology and Evolution
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.70862
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author Wei Shen
Stefan Kruse
Sisi Liu
Kathleen Stoof‐Leichsenring
Ingolf Kühn
Wenjia Li
Xianyong Cao
Zhi‐Rong Zhang
Chun‐Xia Zeng
Jun‐Bo Yang
De‐Zhu Li
Ulrike Herzschuh
author_facet Wei Shen
Stefan Kruse
Sisi Liu
Kathleen Stoof‐Leichsenring
Ingolf Kühn
Wenjia Li
Xianyong Cao
Zhi‐Rong Zhang
Chun‐Xia Zeng
Jun‐Bo Yang
De‐Zhu Li
Ulrike Herzschuh
author_sort Wei Shen
collection DOAJ
description ABSTRACT Mountains with complex terrain and steep environmental gradients are biodiversity hotspots such as the eastern Tibetan Plateau (TP). However, it is generally assumed that mountain terrain plays a secondary role in plant species assembly on a millennial time‐scale compared to climate change. Here, we investigate plant richness and community changes during the last 18,000 years at two sites: Lake Naleng and Lake Ximen on the eastern TP with similar elevation and climatic conditions but contrasting terrain. We applied plant DNA metabarcoding to lake sediments leveraging a new regional reference database for taxa identification. Furthermore, we developed a simplified species dispersal model named SMARC. This was used to simulate species migration along river valleys in response to past climate change at the taxonomic resolution of the sedimentary ancient DNA (sedaDNA) approach. Statistical analyses, including ordination‐based ecological trajectory analysis, yielded a significant match between sedaDNA and simulated results at single taxon and community levels including certain site‐specific differences. Steep terrain downstream of Lake Naleng enhances connectivity to glacial lowland refugia during postglacial warming. In contrast, gentle terrain over long distances implies weak connectivity to the lowland and thus resulted in a strong migration lag at Lake Ximen. Likewise, terrain differences among our sites defined the different connectivity to alpine refugia during late‐Holocene cooling. Our consistent proxy‐ and model‐based results, for the first time, indicate that dispersal related migration lags in complex mountain terrain lead to uneven vegetation trajectories at sites with similar climatic conditions mainly because of differences in connectivity to refugia. Ultimately our results indicate that connectivity to refugia is a first‐order factor for species migration in addition to elevation‐related climatic conditions shaping the postglacial vegetation trajectory in mountainous terrain. This has hitherto largely been ignored when forecasting mountain vegetation responses to climate change and related risk assessment.
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spelling doaj-art-4df4c6daffa643e0a86ae51535538b952025-01-29T05:08:42ZengWileyEcology and Evolution2045-77582025-01-01151n/an/a10.1002/ece3.70862Post‐Glacial Vegetation Trajectories on the Eastern Tibetan Plateau Reflect Millennial‐Scale Migration Lags in Complex Mountain Terrain Based on Sedimentary Ancient DNA and Dynamic Dispersal ModelingWei Shen0Stefan Kruse1Sisi Liu2Kathleen Stoof‐Leichsenring3Ingolf Kühn4Wenjia Li5Xianyong Cao6Zhi‐Rong Zhang7Chun‐Xia Zeng8Jun‐Bo Yang9De‐Zhu Li10Ulrike Herzschuh11Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Polar Terrestrial Environmental Systems Potsdam GermanyAlfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Polar Terrestrial Environmental Systems Potsdam GermanyAlfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Polar Terrestrial Environmental Systems Potsdam GermanyAlfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Polar Terrestrial Environmental Systems Potsdam GermanyDepartment of Community Ecology Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research – UFZ Halle GermanyGroup of Alpine Paleoecology and Human Adaptation (ALPHA), state Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System, Environment and Resources (TPESER) Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing ChinaGroup of Alpine Paleoecology and Human Adaptation (ALPHA), state Key Laboratory of Tibetan Plateau Earth System, Environment and Resources (TPESER) Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences Beijing ChinaGermplasm Bank of Wild Species Kunming Institute of Botany, Chinese Academy of Sciences Kunming ChinaGermplasm Bank of Wild Species Kunming Institute of Botany, Chinese Academy of Sciences Kunming ChinaGermplasm Bank of Wild Species Kunming Institute of Botany, Chinese Academy of Sciences Kunming ChinaGermplasm Bank of Wild Species Kunming Institute of Botany, Chinese Academy of Sciences Kunming ChinaAlfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Polar Terrestrial Environmental Systems Potsdam GermanyABSTRACT Mountains with complex terrain and steep environmental gradients are biodiversity hotspots such as the eastern Tibetan Plateau (TP). However, it is generally assumed that mountain terrain plays a secondary role in plant species assembly on a millennial time‐scale compared to climate change. Here, we investigate plant richness and community changes during the last 18,000 years at two sites: Lake Naleng and Lake Ximen on the eastern TP with similar elevation and climatic conditions but contrasting terrain. We applied plant DNA metabarcoding to lake sediments leveraging a new regional reference database for taxa identification. Furthermore, we developed a simplified species dispersal model named SMARC. This was used to simulate species migration along river valleys in response to past climate change at the taxonomic resolution of the sedimentary ancient DNA (sedaDNA) approach. Statistical analyses, including ordination‐based ecological trajectory analysis, yielded a significant match between sedaDNA and simulated results at single taxon and community levels including certain site‐specific differences. Steep terrain downstream of Lake Naleng enhances connectivity to glacial lowland refugia during postglacial warming. In contrast, gentle terrain over long distances implies weak connectivity to the lowland and thus resulted in a strong migration lag at Lake Ximen. Likewise, terrain differences among our sites defined the different connectivity to alpine refugia during late‐Holocene cooling. Our consistent proxy‐ and model‐based results, for the first time, indicate that dispersal related migration lags in complex mountain terrain lead to uneven vegetation trajectories at sites with similar climatic conditions mainly because of differences in connectivity to refugia. Ultimately our results indicate that connectivity to refugia is a first‐order factor for species migration in addition to elevation‐related climatic conditions shaping the postglacial vegetation trajectory in mountainous terrain. This has hitherto largely been ignored when forecasting mountain vegetation responses to climate change and related risk assessment.https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.70862ancient eDNAconnectivitydynamic dispersal modelmigration lagrefugiatrajectory analysis
spellingShingle Wei Shen
Stefan Kruse
Sisi Liu
Kathleen Stoof‐Leichsenring
Ingolf Kühn
Wenjia Li
Xianyong Cao
Zhi‐Rong Zhang
Chun‐Xia Zeng
Jun‐Bo Yang
De‐Zhu Li
Ulrike Herzschuh
Post‐Glacial Vegetation Trajectories on the Eastern Tibetan Plateau Reflect Millennial‐Scale Migration Lags in Complex Mountain Terrain Based on Sedimentary Ancient DNA and Dynamic Dispersal Modeling
Ecology and Evolution
ancient eDNA
connectivity
dynamic dispersal model
migration lag
refugia
trajectory analysis
title Post‐Glacial Vegetation Trajectories on the Eastern Tibetan Plateau Reflect Millennial‐Scale Migration Lags in Complex Mountain Terrain Based on Sedimentary Ancient DNA and Dynamic Dispersal Modeling
title_full Post‐Glacial Vegetation Trajectories on the Eastern Tibetan Plateau Reflect Millennial‐Scale Migration Lags in Complex Mountain Terrain Based on Sedimentary Ancient DNA and Dynamic Dispersal Modeling
title_fullStr Post‐Glacial Vegetation Trajectories on the Eastern Tibetan Plateau Reflect Millennial‐Scale Migration Lags in Complex Mountain Terrain Based on Sedimentary Ancient DNA and Dynamic Dispersal Modeling
title_full_unstemmed Post‐Glacial Vegetation Trajectories on the Eastern Tibetan Plateau Reflect Millennial‐Scale Migration Lags in Complex Mountain Terrain Based on Sedimentary Ancient DNA and Dynamic Dispersal Modeling
title_short Post‐Glacial Vegetation Trajectories on the Eastern Tibetan Plateau Reflect Millennial‐Scale Migration Lags in Complex Mountain Terrain Based on Sedimentary Ancient DNA and Dynamic Dispersal Modeling
title_sort post glacial vegetation trajectories on the eastern tibetan plateau reflect millennial scale migration lags in complex mountain terrain based on sedimentary ancient dna and dynamic dispersal modeling
topic ancient eDNA
connectivity
dynamic dispersal model
migration lag
refugia
trajectory analysis
url https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.70862
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