Runoff responses to Atlantic multidecadal and Pacific decadal oscillations in China: Insights from the last millennium simulations

Study region: China Study focus: There is usually a teleconnection between large-scale climate indices and runoff. Among multiple large-scale climate indices, Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) have received increased attention due to their long periodiciti...

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Main Authors: Yangyi Liu, Jie Chen, Lihua Xiong, Chong-Yu Xu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-04-01
Series:Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581825000369
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author Yangyi Liu
Jie Chen
Lihua Xiong
Chong-Yu Xu
author_facet Yangyi Liu
Jie Chen
Lihua Xiong
Chong-Yu Xu
author_sort Yangyi Liu
collection DOAJ
description Study region: China Study focus: There is usually a teleconnection between large-scale climate indices and runoff. Among multiple large-scale climate indices, Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) have received increased attention due to their long periodicities and low-frequency variability. However, the short observations limit the study of runoff response to AMO and PDO. Taking Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA) and Little Ice Age (LIA) as study periods and focusing on summer runoff in China, this study aims to investigate 1) the major time scales at which AMO/PDO affects runoff, and 2) the individual and coupled effects of AMO and PDO on runoff by using last millennium climate model simulations. New hydrological insights for the region: AMO and PDO have stronger correlations with summer runoff at interdecadal time scales than at interannual time scales during MCA and LIA. For individual effects during MCA, the positive AMO phase can cause positive summer runoff anomalies in eastern China, northern China, and southern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, while PDO has the opposite effect. The results during LIA are similar to those during MCA. For coupled effects during MCA, when the AMO phase is positive, the influence of PDO on runoff is much smaller than AMO. During LIA, the synergistic effects on summer runoff are shown by the in-phase AMO and PDO in southern China and the southern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.
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spelling doaj-art-4c7d3b729dd14b78b7266b66662c35e52025-01-31T05:11:21ZengElsevierJournal of Hydrology: Regional Studies2214-58182025-04-0158102212Runoff responses to Atlantic multidecadal and Pacific decadal oscillations in China: Insights from the last millennium simulationsYangyi Liu0Jie Chen1Lihua Xiong2Chong-Yu Xu3State Key Laboratory of Water Resources Engineering and Management, Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei 430072, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Water Resources Engineering and Management, Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei 430072, China; Hubei Key Laboratory of Water System Science for Sponge City Construction, Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei 430072, China; Corresponding author at: State Key Laboratory of Water Resources Engineering and Management, Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei 430072, China.State Key Laboratory of Water Resources Engineering and Management, Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei 430072, China; Hubei Key Laboratory of Water System Science for Sponge City Construction, Wuhan University, Wuhan, Hubei 430072, ChinaDepartment of Geosciences, University of Oslo, P.O. Box 1047 Blindern, Oslo N-0316, NorwayStudy region: China Study focus: There is usually a teleconnection between large-scale climate indices and runoff. Among multiple large-scale climate indices, Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) have received increased attention due to their long periodicities and low-frequency variability. However, the short observations limit the study of runoff response to AMO and PDO. Taking Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA) and Little Ice Age (LIA) as study periods and focusing on summer runoff in China, this study aims to investigate 1) the major time scales at which AMO/PDO affects runoff, and 2) the individual and coupled effects of AMO and PDO on runoff by using last millennium climate model simulations. New hydrological insights for the region: AMO and PDO have stronger correlations with summer runoff at interdecadal time scales than at interannual time scales during MCA and LIA. For individual effects during MCA, the positive AMO phase can cause positive summer runoff anomalies in eastern China, northern China, and southern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, while PDO has the opposite effect. The results during LIA are similar to those during MCA. For coupled effects during MCA, when the AMO phase is positive, the influence of PDO on runoff is much smaller than AMO. During LIA, the synergistic effects on summer runoff are shown by the in-phase AMO and PDO in southern China and the southern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581825000369RunoffAtlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO)Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)Last millenniumChina
spellingShingle Yangyi Liu
Jie Chen
Lihua Xiong
Chong-Yu Xu
Runoff responses to Atlantic multidecadal and Pacific decadal oscillations in China: Insights from the last millennium simulations
Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies
Runoff
Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO)
Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)
Last millennium
China
title Runoff responses to Atlantic multidecadal and Pacific decadal oscillations in China: Insights from the last millennium simulations
title_full Runoff responses to Atlantic multidecadal and Pacific decadal oscillations in China: Insights from the last millennium simulations
title_fullStr Runoff responses to Atlantic multidecadal and Pacific decadal oscillations in China: Insights from the last millennium simulations
title_full_unstemmed Runoff responses to Atlantic multidecadal and Pacific decadal oscillations in China: Insights from the last millennium simulations
title_short Runoff responses to Atlantic multidecadal and Pacific decadal oscillations in China: Insights from the last millennium simulations
title_sort runoff responses to atlantic multidecadal and pacific decadal oscillations in china insights from the last millennium simulations
topic Runoff
Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO)
Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)
Last millennium
China
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214581825000369
work_keys_str_mv AT yangyiliu runoffresponsestoatlanticmultidecadalandpacificdecadaloscillationsinchinainsightsfromthelastmillenniumsimulations
AT jiechen runoffresponsestoatlanticmultidecadalandpacificdecadaloscillationsinchinainsightsfromthelastmillenniumsimulations
AT lihuaxiong runoffresponsestoatlanticmultidecadalandpacificdecadaloscillationsinchinainsightsfromthelastmillenniumsimulations
AT chongyuxu runoffresponsestoatlanticmultidecadalandpacificdecadaloscillationsinchinainsightsfromthelastmillenniumsimulations