The Management and Evaluation of Independent Project Portfolios under Uncertainty and Projects Incompatibility

This research focuses on evaluating and proposing some approaches in order to choose the most economic projects under risk and uncertainty. In this investigation, the considered projects are independent and naturally selecting multiple options, as a project portfolio, is possible. The restrictive cr...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Hadi Mokhtari, Zeinab Habibi
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: University of Qom 2020-09-01
Series:مدیریت مهندسی و رایانش نرم
Subjects:
Online Access:https://jemsc.qom.ac.ir/article_1072_250c67c68105ae063878c3d22e7f54a6.pdf
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1832577579538710528
author Hadi Mokhtari
Zeinab Habibi
author_facet Hadi Mokhtari
Zeinab Habibi
author_sort Hadi Mokhtari
collection DOAJ
description This research focuses on evaluating and proposing some approaches in order to choose the most economic projects under risk and uncertainty. In this investigation, the considered projects are independent and naturally selecting multiple options, as a project portfolio, is possible. The restrictive criterion for the investor in selecting large-scale portfolios is the limited available budget and capital that determine which projects are economic and can be selected. However, variations and inconsistencies in the economic utility of projects, which is caused by external uncertainties, is an important factor that should be considered in such evaluations. In this research, two different approaches are proposed for the economic evaluation of project portfolio under risk and uncertainty. The first approach is designed based on a normal distribution curve and the minimum coefficient of variation (CV), while the second one acts based on a corrected available budget and the maximum expected value. Finally, the results of the proposed approaches are evaluated and analyzed considering the presented sample problems.
format Article
id doaj-art-4c72977534c049dba63b5ce33c51416a
institution Kabale University
issn 2538-6239
2538-2675
language fas
publishDate 2020-09-01
publisher University of Qom
record_format Article
series مدیریت مهندسی و رایانش نرم
spelling doaj-art-4c72977534c049dba63b5ce33c51416a2025-01-30T20:17:43ZfasUniversity of Qomمدیریت مهندسی و رایانش نرم2538-62392538-26752020-09-01628311210.22091/jemsc.2018.2451.10601072The Management and Evaluation of Independent Project Portfolios under Uncertainty and Projects IncompatibilityHadi Mokhtari0Zeinab Habibi1Assistant Professor, Department of Industrial Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, University of Kashan, Kashan, Iran.BSc Student of Industrial Engineering, Department of Industrial Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, University of Kashan, Kashan, Iran.This research focuses on evaluating and proposing some approaches in order to choose the most economic projects under risk and uncertainty. In this investigation, the considered projects are independent and naturally selecting multiple options, as a project portfolio, is possible. The restrictive criterion for the investor in selecting large-scale portfolios is the limited available budget and capital that determine which projects are economic and can be selected. However, variations and inconsistencies in the economic utility of projects, which is caused by external uncertainties, is an important factor that should be considered in such evaluations. In this research, two different approaches are proposed for the economic evaluation of project portfolio under risk and uncertainty. The first approach is designed based on a normal distribution curve and the minimum coefficient of variation (CV), while the second one acts based on a corrected available budget and the maximum expected value. Finally, the results of the proposed approaches are evaluated and analyzed considering the presented sample problems.https://jemsc.qom.ac.ir/article_1072_250c67c68105ae063878c3d22e7f54a6.pdfeconomic crisiseconomic evaluationproject portfoliosrisk and uncertainty
spellingShingle Hadi Mokhtari
Zeinab Habibi
The Management and Evaluation of Independent Project Portfolios under Uncertainty and Projects Incompatibility
مدیریت مهندسی و رایانش نرم
economic crisis
economic evaluation
project portfolios
risk and uncertainty
title The Management and Evaluation of Independent Project Portfolios under Uncertainty and Projects Incompatibility
title_full The Management and Evaluation of Independent Project Portfolios under Uncertainty and Projects Incompatibility
title_fullStr The Management and Evaluation of Independent Project Portfolios under Uncertainty and Projects Incompatibility
title_full_unstemmed The Management and Evaluation of Independent Project Portfolios under Uncertainty and Projects Incompatibility
title_short The Management and Evaluation of Independent Project Portfolios under Uncertainty and Projects Incompatibility
title_sort management and evaluation of independent project portfolios under uncertainty and projects incompatibility
topic economic crisis
economic evaluation
project portfolios
risk and uncertainty
url https://jemsc.qom.ac.ir/article_1072_250c67c68105ae063878c3d22e7f54a6.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT hadimokhtari themanagementandevaluationofindependentprojectportfoliosunderuncertaintyandprojectsincompatibility
AT zeinabhabibi themanagementandevaluationofindependentprojectportfoliosunderuncertaintyandprojectsincompatibility
AT hadimokhtari managementandevaluationofindependentprojectportfoliosunderuncertaintyandprojectsincompatibility
AT zeinabhabibi managementandevaluationofindependentprojectportfoliosunderuncertaintyandprojectsincompatibility