Parameter Estimation of a Partially Observed Hypoelliptic Stochastic Linear System

In this article, we address the problem of the parameter estimation of a partially observed linear hypoelliptic stochastic system in continuous time, a relevant problem in various fields, including mechanical and structural engineering. We propose an online approach which is an approximation to the...

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Main Authors: Nilton O. B. Ávido, Paula Milheiro-Oliveira
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-02-01
Series:Mathematics
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/13/3/529
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author Nilton O. B. Ávido
Paula Milheiro-Oliveira
author_facet Nilton O. B. Ávido
Paula Milheiro-Oliveira
author_sort Nilton O. B. Ávido
collection DOAJ
description In this article, we address the problem of the parameter estimation of a partially observed linear hypoelliptic stochastic system in continuous time, a relevant problem in various fields, including mechanical and structural engineering. We propose an online approach which is an approximation to the expectation–maximization (EM) algorithm. This approach combines the Kalman–Bucy filter, to deal with partial observations, with the maximum likelihood estimator for a degenerate <i>n</i>-dimensional system under complete observation. The performance of the proposed approach is illustrated by means of a simulation study undertaken on a harmonic oscillator that describes the dynamic behavior of an elementary engineering structure subject to random vibrations. The unknown parameters represent the oscillator’s stiffness and damping coefficients. The simulation results indicate that, as the variance of the observation error vanishes, the proposed approach remains reasonably close to the output of the EM algorithm, with the advantage of a significant reduction in computing time.
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spelling doaj-art-4b9d1b01a03a40d98d419ccad8fc9d5f2025-08-20T03:12:35ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902025-02-0113352910.3390/math13030529Parameter Estimation of a Partially Observed Hypoelliptic Stochastic Linear SystemNilton O. B. Ávido0Paula Milheiro-Oliveira1Polytechnic Institute of Huila, Mandume Ya Ndemufayo University, Arimba Main Road, 776, Lubango P.O. Box 201, AngolaCenter for Mathematics of the University of Porto (CMUP), Rua do Campo Alegre s/n, 4169-007 Porto, PortugalIn this article, we address the problem of the parameter estimation of a partially observed linear hypoelliptic stochastic system in continuous time, a relevant problem in various fields, including mechanical and structural engineering. We propose an online approach which is an approximation to the expectation–maximization (EM) algorithm. This approach combines the Kalman–Bucy filter, to deal with partial observations, with the maximum likelihood estimator for a degenerate <i>n</i>-dimensional system under complete observation. The performance of the proposed approach is illustrated by means of a simulation study undertaken on a harmonic oscillator that describes the dynamic behavior of an elementary engineering structure subject to random vibrations. The unknown parameters represent the oscillator’s stiffness and damping coefficients. The simulation results indicate that, as the variance of the observation error vanishes, the proposed approach remains reasonably close to the output of the EM algorithm, with the advantage of a significant reduction in computing time.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/13/3/529EM algorithmpartially observed systemsparameter estimationstochastic differential equationshypoelliptic modelsharmonic oscillator
spellingShingle Nilton O. B. Ávido
Paula Milheiro-Oliveira
Parameter Estimation of a Partially Observed Hypoelliptic Stochastic Linear System
Mathematics
EM algorithm
partially observed systems
parameter estimation
stochastic differential equations
hypoelliptic models
harmonic oscillator
title Parameter Estimation of a Partially Observed Hypoelliptic Stochastic Linear System
title_full Parameter Estimation of a Partially Observed Hypoelliptic Stochastic Linear System
title_fullStr Parameter Estimation of a Partially Observed Hypoelliptic Stochastic Linear System
title_full_unstemmed Parameter Estimation of a Partially Observed Hypoelliptic Stochastic Linear System
title_short Parameter Estimation of a Partially Observed Hypoelliptic Stochastic Linear System
title_sort parameter estimation of a partially observed hypoelliptic stochastic linear system
topic EM algorithm
partially observed systems
parameter estimation
stochastic differential equations
hypoelliptic models
harmonic oscillator
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/13/3/529
work_keys_str_mv AT niltonobavido parameterestimationofapartiallyobservedhypoellipticstochasticlinearsystem
AT paulamilheirooliveira parameterestimationofapartiallyobservedhypoellipticstochasticlinearsystem