Spatial Evolution of Grassland Ecological Carrying Capacity and Low-Carbon Development Pathways for Animal Husbandry in Inner Mongolia

Inner Mongolia’s grasslands, covering 22% of China’s total grassland area, face critical challenges in balancing livestock production with carbon sequestration under climate change pressures. This study establishes an integrated assessment framework combining remote sensing monitoring, InVEST modeli...

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Main Authors: Bingxuan Liu, Dacheng Wang, Guozhu Mao, Aixia Yang, Yue Jiao, Kaichen Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-05-01
Series:Land
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/14/5/1092
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author Bingxuan Liu
Dacheng Wang
Guozhu Mao
Aixia Yang
Yue Jiao
Kaichen Zhang
author_facet Bingxuan Liu
Dacheng Wang
Guozhu Mao
Aixia Yang
Yue Jiao
Kaichen Zhang
author_sort Bingxuan Liu
collection DOAJ
description Inner Mongolia’s grasslands, covering 22% of China’s total grassland area, face critical challenges in balancing livestock production with carbon sequestration under climate change pressures. This study establishes an integrated assessment framework combining remote sensing monitoring, InVEST modeling, and life cycle assessment to analyze the spatial–temporal evolution of grassland ecological carrying capacity and livestock-related carbon emissions from 2000 to 2020. Key findings reveal a 78.8% increase in actual livestock carrying capacity (from 53.09 to 94.94 million sheep units), with Tongliao experiencing 185% growth, while Alxa League showed a 229,500 sheep unit decrease. The theoretical carrying capacity grew by 50.6%, yet severe ecological pressure emerged in western regions, as evidenced by Alxa League’s grass–livestock balance index exceeding 2100%. Carbon sequestration exhibited a northeast–southwest spatial pattern, decreasing by 7.4% during 2015–2020, while greenhouse gas emissions from intensive livestock systems reached 6.40 million tons CO<sub>2</sub>-eq in Tongliao by 2020. The results demonstrate that regions combining high-intensity husbandry with low carbon storage require urgent intervention. We propose three pathways: adaptive grazing management to reduce overloading in western pastoral zones, carbon monitoring systems to enhance sequestration in vulnerable ecosystems, and emission reduction technologies for intensive farming systems. These strategies provide actionable solutions for reconciling grassland sustainability with China’s dual carbon goals, offering insights for global pastoral ecosystem management.
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spelling doaj-art-4b1050d35afe4876be7b8a44cf6b4a5d2025-08-20T02:33:57ZengMDPI AGLand2073-445X2025-05-01145109210.3390/land14051092Spatial Evolution of Grassland Ecological Carrying Capacity and Low-Carbon Development Pathways for Animal Husbandry in Inner MongoliaBingxuan Liu0Dacheng Wang1Guozhu Mao2Aixia Yang3Yue Jiao4Kaichen Zhang5School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300350, ChinaAerospace Information Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100094, ChinaSchool of Environmental Science and Engineering, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300350, ChinaAerospace Information Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100094, ChinaAerospace Information Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100094, ChinaSchool of Environmental Science and Engineering, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300350, ChinaInner Mongolia’s grasslands, covering 22% of China’s total grassland area, face critical challenges in balancing livestock production with carbon sequestration under climate change pressures. This study establishes an integrated assessment framework combining remote sensing monitoring, InVEST modeling, and life cycle assessment to analyze the spatial–temporal evolution of grassland ecological carrying capacity and livestock-related carbon emissions from 2000 to 2020. Key findings reveal a 78.8% increase in actual livestock carrying capacity (from 53.09 to 94.94 million sheep units), with Tongliao experiencing 185% growth, while Alxa League showed a 229,500 sheep unit decrease. The theoretical carrying capacity grew by 50.6%, yet severe ecological pressure emerged in western regions, as evidenced by Alxa League’s grass–livestock balance index exceeding 2100%. Carbon sequestration exhibited a northeast–southwest spatial pattern, decreasing by 7.4% during 2015–2020, while greenhouse gas emissions from intensive livestock systems reached 6.40 million tons CO<sub>2</sub>-eq in Tongliao by 2020. The results demonstrate that regions combining high-intensity husbandry with low carbon storage require urgent intervention. We propose three pathways: adaptive grazing management to reduce overloading in western pastoral zones, carbon monitoring systems to enhance sequestration in vulnerable ecosystems, and emission reduction technologies for intensive farming systems. These strategies provide actionable solutions for reconciling grassland sustainability with China’s dual carbon goals, offering insights for global pastoral ecosystem management.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/14/5/1092grassland ecosystemcarrying capacitycarbon livestock emissionslow-carbon development strategies
spellingShingle Bingxuan Liu
Dacheng Wang
Guozhu Mao
Aixia Yang
Yue Jiao
Kaichen Zhang
Spatial Evolution of Grassland Ecological Carrying Capacity and Low-Carbon Development Pathways for Animal Husbandry in Inner Mongolia
Land
grassland ecosystem
carrying capacity
carbon livestock emissions
low-carbon development strategies
title Spatial Evolution of Grassland Ecological Carrying Capacity and Low-Carbon Development Pathways for Animal Husbandry in Inner Mongolia
title_full Spatial Evolution of Grassland Ecological Carrying Capacity and Low-Carbon Development Pathways for Animal Husbandry in Inner Mongolia
title_fullStr Spatial Evolution of Grassland Ecological Carrying Capacity and Low-Carbon Development Pathways for Animal Husbandry in Inner Mongolia
title_full_unstemmed Spatial Evolution of Grassland Ecological Carrying Capacity and Low-Carbon Development Pathways for Animal Husbandry in Inner Mongolia
title_short Spatial Evolution of Grassland Ecological Carrying Capacity and Low-Carbon Development Pathways for Animal Husbandry in Inner Mongolia
title_sort spatial evolution of grassland ecological carrying capacity and low carbon development pathways for animal husbandry in inner mongolia
topic grassland ecosystem
carrying capacity
carbon livestock emissions
low-carbon development strategies
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/14/5/1092
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