Application of Trend Analysis on Drought Indices in the West Black Sea Region

This study has been carried out to trend analysis on drought indices in the West Black Sea Region. Drought is very important subject for climate researchers in recent years. In this study, it was investigated whether there is a trend in drought indices by using trend analysis methods. Firstly, the s...

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Main Authors: Turgay Partal, Ercan Yavuz
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Artvin Coruh University 2020-07-01
Series:Doğal Afetler ve Çevre Dergisi
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Online Access:http://dacd.artvin.edu.tr/tr/download/article-file/1160729
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author Turgay Partal
Ercan Yavuz
author_facet Turgay Partal
Ercan Yavuz
author_sort Turgay Partal
collection DOAJ
description This study has been carried out to trend analysis on drought indices in the West Black Sea Region. Drought is very important subject for climate researchers in recent years. In this study, it was investigated whether there is a trend in drought indices by using trend analysis methods. Firstly, the standardized precipitation index and De Martonne index were obtained for the trend analysis. After then, the Mann-Kendall test was applied to the drought indexes. The data network used in this study consists of 6 stations spanning from 1960 to 2015. The used data was selected to reflect general hydro-climatic conditions of the Western Black Sea Region. According to the trend analysis, there is an increasing trend that is not statistically significant at the 5% significance level in all stations in the extremely severe drought class for the 1-month standard precipitation index. On the other hand, the negative z values were determined in annual and winter De-Martonne indexes. The application of a trend detection in observed precipitations were resulted in the identification of decreasing trends in November, December and January precipitations for the mostly of stations.
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id doaj-art-4a2bf3cf209f4e05991a4ef007f691eb
institution Kabale University
issn 2528-9640
language English
publishDate 2020-07-01
publisher Artvin Coruh University
record_format Article
series Doğal Afetler ve Çevre Dergisi
spelling doaj-art-4a2bf3cf209f4e05991a4ef007f691eb2025-02-03T08:44:56ZengArtvin Coruh UniversityDoğal Afetler ve Çevre Dergisi2528-96402020-07-0162345353https://doi.org/10.21324/dacd.643161Application of Trend Analysis on Drought Indices in the West Black Sea RegionTurgay Partal0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3779-441XErcan Yavuz1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1365-4711Ondokuz Mayıs Üniversitesi, Mühendislik Fakültesi, İnşaat Mühendisliği Bölümü, 55139 Atakum, Samsun.Ondokuz Mayıs Üniversitesi, Mühendislik Fakültesi, İnşaat Mühendisliği Bölümü, 55139 Atakum, Samsun.This study has been carried out to trend analysis on drought indices in the West Black Sea Region. Drought is very important subject for climate researchers in recent years. In this study, it was investigated whether there is a trend in drought indices by using trend analysis methods. Firstly, the standardized precipitation index and De Martonne index were obtained for the trend analysis. After then, the Mann-Kendall test was applied to the drought indexes. The data network used in this study consists of 6 stations spanning from 1960 to 2015. The used data was selected to reflect general hydro-climatic conditions of the Western Black Sea Region. According to the trend analysis, there is an increasing trend that is not statistically significant at the 5% significance level in all stations in the extremely severe drought class for the 1-month standard precipitation index. On the other hand, the negative z values were determined in annual and winter De-Martonne indexes. The application of a trend detection in observed precipitations were resulted in the identification of decreasing trends in November, December and January precipitations for the mostly of stations.http://dacd.artvin.edu.tr/tr/download/article-file/1160729west black seade-martonne indexstandardized precipitation indextrend analysis
spellingShingle Turgay Partal
Ercan Yavuz
Application of Trend Analysis on Drought Indices in the West Black Sea Region
Doğal Afetler ve Çevre Dergisi
west black sea
de-martonne index
standardized precipitation index
trend analysis
title Application of Trend Analysis on Drought Indices in the West Black Sea Region
title_full Application of Trend Analysis on Drought Indices in the West Black Sea Region
title_fullStr Application of Trend Analysis on Drought Indices in the West Black Sea Region
title_full_unstemmed Application of Trend Analysis on Drought Indices in the West Black Sea Region
title_short Application of Trend Analysis on Drought Indices in the West Black Sea Region
title_sort application of trend analysis on drought indices in the west black sea region
topic west black sea
de-martonne index
standardized precipitation index
trend analysis
url http://dacd.artvin.edu.tr/tr/download/article-file/1160729
work_keys_str_mv AT turgaypartal applicationoftrendanalysisondroughtindicesinthewestblacksearegion
AT ercanyavuz applicationoftrendanalysisondroughtindicesinthewestblacksearegion