Analysis of Freeway Secondary Crashes in Different Traffic Flow States by Three-Phase Traffic Theory

The objective of this study is to analyse the relationship between secondary crash risk and traffic flow states and explore the contributing factors of secondary crashes in different traffic flow states. Crash data and traffic data were collected on the I-880 freeway in California from 2006 to 2011....

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Main Authors: Bo Yang, Yao Wu, Weihua Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2020-01-01
Series:Journal of Advanced Transportation
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/8890351
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author Bo Yang
Yao Wu
Weihua Zhang
author_facet Bo Yang
Yao Wu
Weihua Zhang
author_sort Bo Yang
collection DOAJ
description The objective of this study is to analyse the relationship between secondary crash risk and traffic flow states and explore the contributing factors of secondary crashes in different traffic flow states. Crash data and traffic data were collected on the I-880 freeway in California from 2006 to 2011. The traffic flow states are categorised by three-phase traffic theory. The Bayesian conditional logit model has been established to analyse the statistical relationship between the secondary crash probability and various traffic flow states. The results showed that free flow (F) state has the best safety performance of secondary crash and synchronized flow (S) state has the worst safety performance of secondary crashes. The traditional logistic regression model has been used to analyse the contributing factors of secondary crashes in different traffic flow states. The results indicated that the contributing factors in different traffic flow states are significantly different.
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institution Kabale University
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publishDate 2020-01-01
publisher Wiley
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series Journal of Advanced Transportation
spelling doaj-art-496ff718ca3545aba413d1af8feed09e2025-02-03T01:05:12ZengWileyJournal of Advanced Transportation0197-67292042-31952020-01-01202010.1155/2020/88903518890351Analysis of Freeway Secondary Crashes in Different Traffic Flow States by Three-Phase Traffic TheoryBo Yang0Yao Wu1Weihua Zhang2Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Urban ITS, Southeast University, Jiangsu Province Collaborative Innovation Center of Modern Urban Traffic Technologies, Si Pai Lou #2, Nanjing 210096, ChinaJiangsu Key Laboratory of Urban ITS, Southeast University, Jiangsu Province Collaborative Innovation Center of Modern Urban Traffic Technologies, Si Pai Lou #2, Nanjing 210096, ChinaSchool of Automobile and Traffic Engineering, Hefei University of Technology, Hefei 230009, ChinaThe objective of this study is to analyse the relationship between secondary crash risk and traffic flow states and explore the contributing factors of secondary crashes in different traffic flow states. Crash data and traffic data were collected on the I-880 freeway in California from 2006 to 2011. The traffic flow states are categorised by three-phase traffic theory. The Bayesian conditional logit model has been established to analyse the statistical relationship between the secondary crash probability and various traffic flow states. The results showed that free flow (F) state has the best safety performance of secondary crash and synchronized flow (S) state has the worst safety performance of secondary crashes. The traditional logistic regression model has been used to analyse the contributing factors of secondary crashes in different traffic flow states. The results indicated that the contributing factors in different traffic flow states are significantly different.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/8890351
spellingShingle Bo Yang
Yao Wu
Weihua Zhang
Analysis of Freeway Secondary Crashes in Different Traffic Flow States by Three-Phase Traffic Theory
Journal of Advanced Transportation
title Analysis of Freeway Secondary Crashes in Different Traffic Flow States by Three-Phase Traffic Theory
title_full Analysis of Freeway Secondary Crashes in Different Traffic Flow States by Three-Phase Traffic Theory
title_fullStr Analysis of Freeway Secondary Crashes in Different Traffic Flow States by Three-Phase Traffic Theory
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of Freeway Secondary Crashes in Different Traffic Flow States by Three-Phase Traffic Theory
title_short Analysis of Freeway Secondary Crashes in Different Traffic Flow States by Three-Phase Traffic Theory
title_sort analysis of freeway secondary crashes in different traffic flow states by three phase traffic theory
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/8890351
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AT yaowu analysisoffreewaysecondarycrashesindifferenttrafficflowstatesbythreephasetraffictheory
AT weihuazhang analysisoffreewaysecondarycrashesindifferenttrafficflowstatesbythreephasetraffictheory