Predicting Potential Distribution of <i>Teinopalpus aureus</i> Integrated Multiple Factors and Its Threatened Status Assessment
The accurate prediction of the niche and the potential distribution of a species is a fundamental and key content for biodiversity related research in ecology and biogeography, especially for protected species. Biotic interactions have a significant impact on species distribution but are often overl...
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MDPI AG
2024-11-01
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| author | Congcong Du Xueyu Feng Zhilin Chen Gexia Qiao |
| author_facet | Congcong Du Xueyu Feng Zhilin Chen Gexia Qiao |
| author_sort | Congcong Du |
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| description | The accurate prediction of the niche and the potential distribution of a species is a fundamental and key content for biodiversity related research in ecology and biogeography, especially for protected species. Biotic interactions have a significant impact on species distribution but are often overlooked by SDMs. Therefore, it is crucial to incorporate biotic interaction factors into SDMs to improve their predictive performance. The <i>Teinopalpus aureus</i> Mell, 1923 is endemic to high altitudes in southern East Asia, renowned for its exceptional beauty and rarity. Despite the significant conservation value, its spatial distribution remains unclear. This study integrated climate data, host plants, and empirical expert maps to predict its potential distribution. The results indicated that utilizing the species richness of host plants as a surrogate for biotic interactions was a simple and effective way to significantly improve the predictive performance of the SDMs. The current suitable distribution of <i>T. aureus</i> and its host plants is highly fragmented, primarily concentrated in the Nanling and Wuyi Mountains, and consisting of numerous isolated small populations. Given climate change, their distribution is significantly shrinking, increasing the threatened level in the future. Especially for the population of <i>T. aureus</i> hainani Lee, the likelihood of extinction is extremely high. Abiotic factors not only directly affect the distribution of <i>T. aureus</i> but also indirectly impact it through the host plants. This was evident in the delayed response of <i>T. aureus</i> to climate change compared to its host plants, which is called the “hysteresis effect” caused by biotic interactions. Overall, we tentatively suggest regarding <i>T. aureus</i> as a vulnerable species. In the future, multiple measures could be taken to indirectly protect the feeding and habitat resources of <i>T. aureus</i> by conserving host plants, thereby enhancing its survival prospects. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-47121e172b98425f8c1c25d3d1101d9b |
| institution | OA Journals |
| issn | 2075-4450 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2024-11-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
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| series | Insects |
| spelling | doaj-art-47121e172b98425f8c1c25d3d1101d9b2025-08-20T02:28:14ZengMDPI AGInsects2075-44502024-11-01151187910.3390/insects15110879Predicting Potential Distribution of <i>Teinopalpus aureus</i> Integrated Multiple Factors and Its Threatened Status AssessmentCongcong Du0Xueyu Feng1Zhilin Chen2Gexia Qiao3Key Laboratory of Zoological Systematics and Evolution, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, ChinaKey Laboratory of Ecology of Rare & Endangered Species & Environmental Protection, Guangxi Normal University, Ministry of Education, Guilin 541006, ChinaKey Laboratory of Ecology of Rare & Endangered Species & Environmental Protection, Guangxi Normal University, Ministry of Education, Guilin 541006, ChinaKey Laboratory of Zoological Systematics and Evolution, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, ChinaThe accurate prediction of the niche and the potential distribution of a species is a fundamental and key content for biodiversity related research in ecology and biogeography, especially for protected species. Biotic interactions have a significant impact on species distribution but are often overlooked by SDMs. Therefore, it is crucial to incorporate biotic interaction factors into SDMs to improve their predictive performance. The <i>Teinopalpus aureus</i> Mell, 1923 is endemic to high altitudes in southern East Asia, renowned for its exceptional beauty and rarity. Despite the significant conservation value, its spatial distribution remains unclear. This study integrated climate data, host plants, and empirical expert maps to predict its potential distribution. The results indicated that utilizing the species richness of host plants as a surrogate for biotic interactions was a simple and effective way to significantly improve the predictive performance of the SDMs. The current suitable distribution of <i>T. aureus</i> and its host plants is highly fragmented, primarily concentrated in the Nanling and Wuyi Mountains, and consisting of numerous isolated small populations. Given climate change, their distribution is significantly shrinking, increasing the threatened level in the future. Especially for the population of <i>T. aureus</i> hainani Lee, the likelihood of extinction is extremely high. Abiotic factors not only directly affect the distribution of <i>T. aureus</i> but also indirectly impact it through the host plants. This was evident in the delayed response of <i>T. aureus</i> to climate change compared to its host plants, which is called the “hysteresis effect” caused by biotic interactions. Overall, we tentatively suggest regarding <i>T. aureus</i> as a vulnerable species. In the future, multiple measures could be taken to indirectly protect the feeding and habitat resources of <i>T. aureus</i> by conserving host plants, thereby enhancing its survival prospects.https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4450/15/11/879biotic interactionclimate changeexpert maphost specificitySDMs |
| spellingShingle | Congcong Du Xueyu Feng Zhilin Chen Gexia Qiao Predicting Potential Distribution of <i>Teinopalpus aureus</i> Integrated Multiple Factors and Its Threatened Status Assessment Insects biotic interaction climate change expert map host specificity SDMs |
| title | Predicting Potential Distribution of <i>Teinopalpus aureus</i> Integrated Multiple Factors and Its Threatened Status Assessment |
| title_full | Predicting Potential Distribution of <i>Teinopalpus aureus</i> Integrated Multiple Factors and Its Threatened Status Assessment |
| title_fullStr | Predicting Potential Distribution of <i>Teinopalpus aureus</i> Integrated Multiple Factors and Its Threatened Status Assessment |
| title_full_unstemmed | Predicting Potential Distribution of <i>Teinopalpus aureus</i> Integrated Multiple Factors and Its Threatened Status Assessment |
| title_short | Predicting Potential Distribution of <i>Teinopalpus aureus</i> Integrated Multiple Factors and Its Threatened Status Assessment |
| title_sort | predicting potential distribution of i teinopalpus aureus i integrated multiple factors and its threatened status assessment |
| topic | biotic interaction climate change expert map host specificity SDMs |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4450/15/11/879 |
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